New polling shows an early lead for National’s candidate in the Napier electorate.
The departure of Stuart Nash from politics at this year’s election means there is no incumbent running to be re-elected. Instead, Labour’s replacement candidate Mark Hutchinson will go up against National’s Katie Nimon, the 32-year-old who previously stood for the seat three years. In the that election, which saw many seats comfortably secured by Labour candidates, she lost to Nash with 15,469 votes to his 21,325.
But a new Taxpayers’ Union Curia poll released this evening has Nimon out in front on 37%, with Hutchinson behind on 28%.
It’s worth noting there was a high number of undecideds: 18% didn’t know who they were going to vote for come election day. Readjusted to acknowledge this, the poll has 48% support for National’s Nimon and 37% for Labour’s Hutchinson.
Perhaps due to the fact neither are currently in parliament, there was also relatively low name awareness in the seat. The poll showed 53% could name Nimon as the National candidate and 38% Hutchinson as the Labour candidate.
According to Curia, 400 people agreed to be polled on August 20 from a broader sample selection of 5,000 Napier phone numbers.