The Labour Party has overtaken National in a new poll released by the Taxpayers’ Union this afternoon. But, with the support of Act, National would still be able to form a government.
Labour’s up to 35.5%, a bump of 1.1% from last month and the first time in about a year that Labour has been ahead of National. The oppositions now sitting on 34.8%, up just 0.4%.
Both Act and the Greens have taken a tumble – the former down just over two points to 9.3% and the latter sitting on 5.7% and only just above the threshold needed to return to parliament (unless Chlöe Swarbrick retains Auckland Central). Te Pāti Māori lost 0.7% and now sit on 1.4%.
The support lost across the spectrum has largely been snapped up by parties outside of parliament. New Zealand First rises to 4.2% and the New Conservative Party rose almost two points to 2.5%.
On these numbers, the centre-right bloc led by National would have a combined 61 seats and enter government, with the Labour-led left bloc just shy on 57.