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Image: Getty Images

The BulletinSeptember 27, 2021

Buy now, pay forever?

Image: Getty Images
Image: Getty Images

Calls for buy-now, pay-later providers to be regulated as millions of dollars in late fees are paid annually by New Zealand consumers. Madeleine Chapman writes for The Bulletin.

Buy now, pay forever?

Consumer NZ is calling for buy-now, pay-later services to be regulated under the Credit Contracts and Consumer Finance Act after its survey found that New Zealanders are paying more than $10 million a year in late fees charged by such services as Afterpay, Laybuy, Humm and Zip. The survey also found that over half of buy-now, pay-later customers say they had felt encouraged to make purchases they otherwise wouldn’t have.

What is buy-now, pay-later? 

Through buy-now, pay-later services, consumers purchase goods upfront without paying the full cost, then pay the rest in small instalments (four instalments for Afterpay, six for Laybuy). The payment option is appealing thanks to being interest-free, but late payments incur a fee. Consumer’s survey found that 40% of New Zealand consumers had used a buy-now, pay-later service and more than one in three had paid a late fee.

So what’s the problem?

By charging no interest, buy-now, pay-later providers are not considered lenders of credit and therefore don’t fall under the Contracts and Consumer Finance Act, which requires lenders to conduct affordability checks and take further steps to ensure they are not causing harm to the customer.

Consumer NZ’s Gemma Rasmussen says no matter how it’s dressed up, these providers are in the lending space. The breaking up of payments can help to minimise the feeling of taking on a debt, making it more palatable, but “the implications are the same”.

Afterpay, for example, is available through an app, proclaims to “never do credit checks”, and takes mere minutes to join before users are informed they have $600 “available to spend”. Users can then shop at dozens of retailers directly through the app. Anecdotal reports of people signing up to multiple platforms and finding themselves with up to a dozen small loans to repay simultaneously have become more frequent for some 900 financial mentors around the country.

Jake Lilley, policy advisor at FinCap, the organisation that supports those financial mentors, says by not being required to conduct affordability checks, buy-now, pay-later providers are able to supply multiple lines of credit to consumers who are already struggling. He says it’s not about shutting down the services, but ensuring they “check before they lend to someone that taking up a loan wouldn’t mean they have to decide between paying rent and buying food”.

So what’s the solution?

Regulation. “It’s good for there to be competition for things like credit cards but it’s just more about where it’s sitting,” says Rasmussen. “We think it should be sitting as a credit product and it’s really problematic that it’s not covered under the Act.”

Lilley agrees. “It might be a lot better for people than other types of loans but they should be regulated like any other lender.”

Is that likely to happen?

When new regulations for lenders were being discussed in 2018, buy-now, pay-later was brought up as a growing area, leading to a provision allowing for the commerce and consumer affairs minister to bring them into the regulations at a later date if they feel there’s enough evidence to warrant it.

In July, Newshub reported that minister David Clark had met with representatives from six buy-now, pay-later providers and warned them they may soon be made to comply with responsible lending laws. Clark was seeking more information from the six providers before the release of a discussion document on the sector later this year. The $10 million per year that New Zealanders are currently paying in late fees certainly falls under “more information”.


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Jacinda Ardern and Ashley Bloomfield. (Robert Kitchin/Getty Images)
Jacinda Ardern and Ashley Bloomfield. (Robert Kitchin/Getty Images)

The BulletinSeptember 24, 2021

What our vaccinated future could look like

Jacinda Ardern and Ashley Bloomfield. (Robert Kitchin/Getty Images)
Jacinda Ardern and Ashley Bloomfield. (Robert Kitchin/Getty Images)

Nearly everyone needs a jab to avoid more level four lockdowns, according to the government’s latest research, Justin Giovannetti writes in The Bulletin.

Vaccinations alone won’t be enough to control delta. Jacinda Ardern made the case for near universal vaccination rates yesterday as she unveiled new modelling from Te Pūnaha Matatini that suggests up to 7000 people could die annually from Covid-19 even if 80% of those aged five and over were vaccinated, according to The Spinoff’s live updates. A further 60,000 people would be hospitalised every year because of the virus, opening up questions about the impact of so many cases on the health care system and the ongoing costs of long Covid. While some experts have questioned TPM’s conclusions and called the model overly negative, it’s the clearest sign yet that some health restrictions will remain with us for years.

But jabs could mean an end to level four lockdowns. The NZ Herald reports that the prime minister has said a high vaccination rate, above 90%, would be a “golden ticket” for the country to not return to the highest levels of lockdown. With what would now be the world’s highest vaccination rate (90% of everyone over the age of five) expected deaths would drop to around 600 a year. About the same as the annual flu, but nearly triple the number of annual road deaths. The NZTA reported 224 road fatalities last year. If the country moved to a permanent state close to level two, the modelling estimates the number of Covid-19 deaths could be reduced to 50 annually.

What the future could look like. Controlling Covid-19 has been made far more difficult by the highly transmissible delta variant, where each person infected by the virus could pass it on to about six people without restrictions. The key to beating delta is bringing that number below one. The modelling suggests to get there, any vaccination programme will need to be augmented by a suite of public health measures, including mask use, better ventilation, restrictions on numbers in indoor venues and the use of vaccine certificates.

TPM assumes we’ll maintain a system of test, trace, isolate and quarantine for the foreseeable future. The pay off would be an end to hard lockdowns and a possible loosening of border restrictions. However, the group said more research was necessary to understand how cases from overseas could impact the country before relaxing the use of border facilities.

These models anticipate that most children will be vaccinated. While the Pfizer vaccine hasn’t been approved for use on children between the age of five and 12, the US government has said approval could come as early as next month there. All these projections require children to be vaccinated at the same rate as teenagers and adults. According to the ministry of health’s latest research, 20% of eligible people who have yet to be vaccinated say they aren’t likely to change their minds, half of that group says they will definitely not get a vaccine. Neither figure has budged much in months. That scenario, referenced in the first paragraph of this story, would result in 1,143,129 infections per year.

The numbers yielded by the model don’t reflect what we’ve seen overseas, an expert says. Stuff spoke with economist Rodney Jones who said the number of deaths estimated by the group are too high. Singapore, which had about an 80% vaccination rate and a similar population to New Zealand, saw 11 deaths over one month earlier this year, not the 140 weekly deaths estimated by TPM’s model. Jones, whose modelling has also been used by government, was thanked by the prime minister yesterday. We don’t need fear, Jones told Henry Cooke. “We need a positive story.”

The vaccine programme now needs to cover the whole country, especially our Māori and Pacific communities. Immunologist  Dianne Sika-Paotonu from the University of Otago said this to the Science Media Centre:

“This modelling work also indicates that vaccination rates of at least 90%, together with sustainable public health measures would reduce serious illness and deaths. Vaccine coverage would need to reach across age groups, geographic locations, communities and ethnicities within Aotearoa. As has already been demonstrated, our Māori and Pacific communities remain highly vulnerable to being disproportionately affected by Covid-19 and will likely bear the heavy burden and toll of any further outbreaks.”


This is part of The Bulletin, The Spinoff’s must-read daily news wrap. To sign up for free, simply enter your email address below