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The Waitemata Harbour at level three. Photo by Fiona Goodall/Getty Images
The Waitemata Harbour at level three. Photo by Fiona Goodall/Getty Images

ScienceOctober 25, 2020

How the Covid lockdown changed our air, our water, and the sounds around us

The Waitemata Harbour at level three. Photo by Fiona Goodall/Getty Images
The Waitemata Harbour at level three. Photo by Fiona Goodall/Getty Images

In 2020, the Covid-19 pandemic prompted New Zealand and much of the world to undertake something few of us had ever contemplated: a near-total lockdown of society. In this Lockdown legacies series, James Dann explores the impacts of those extraordinary measures, intended and otherwise. Today: part two, environmental impacts.

This project was made possible thanks to support from the Aotearoa New Zealand Science Journalism Fund.

Human society leaves a massive footprint on the earth. We hoover up resources, repurpose them for our own needs, and leave behind a huge amount of waste. We drastically alter the air, water, atmosphere, and earth around us. One of the unintended side effects of the lockdown was that we gave the planet a much-needed, if brief, break from us. In this article, we’ll look at what that break meant for air pollution, noise levels, and water quality.

Clearing the air

One of the first observations in the lockdown was that the air was clearer. With people staying put in their homes, and largely only venturing out on foot or by bike for their state-mandated exercise, the number of trips made in cars plummeted. This was seen in the dramatic drop in fuel sales, as well as in on the truckometer, as discussed in the opening article in this series.

Air pollution is a major health problem, with the WHO estimating that it contributed to seven million deaths worldwide each year (the coronavirus death toll recently topped one million). It is particularly bad in countries such as China and India, where rapid industrialisation and increasingly urban populations have led to large numbers of people living in areas with terrible air quality.

With the virus originating in China, and the government there rapidly moving to strict lockdowns in the worst haffected areas, the effects of this intervention on air quality can be assessed. Researchers were able to look at air quality measurements in 95 cities that locked down, and compare them to 324 cities that didn’t. They found that there were significant improvements in air quality in the cities that were locked down – though even these reduced levels of air pollution were still four times higher than the maximum level recommended by the WHO. Similarly, a reduction in key measures of air pollution was observed through lockdown in Ghaziabad, India, one of the worst-polluted cities in the world.

The results from Asia are important, but New Zealand’s location and geography are different in important ways. Dr Ian Longley is NIWA’s principal air quality scientist, and reported on changes in air quality through the lockdown period. “Lockdown has provided vivid confirmation of how in New Zealand cities, isolated from each other and international neighbours, and where heavy industry is largely absent, many pollutants can be made to almost disappear overnight,” he said. Longley studied road traffic pollution in Auckland, Wellington, and Christchurch, and showed that pollution was 5-35% of normal in level four, and between 47 and 63% of normal in level three.

A recently published study from Patel et al at the University of Auckland confirms this. Using data from three sites – one in the CBD, one out west in Henderson, and another south at Patumahoe, they were able to show reductions in four pollutant species that they monitored – NO3, Black Carbon, PM2.5 and PM10 – during the lockdown as compared to the period prior. As reported in the paper, “the stark changes in air pollution concentrations observed during the lockdown period reveal that, once key emission sources (on-road combustion powered vehicles) were removed/reduced, air pollution across Auckland reduced substantially.” The study also shows that while vehicles are key to air pollution, cleaning up our air isn’t quite as simple as taking station wagons off the streets, as Hamesh Patel observed. “Although motor vehicles are a dominant source of air pollution across the city, removing 60-80% of vehicles from our roads doesn’t equate to an 80% reduction in air pollution. These results point to the fact that heavy diesel vehicles may be contributing to a greater share of air pollution than private vehicles in Auckland.”

One observation that comes through from both these studies is that we have the opportunity to significantly improve our air quality. As Patel notes, “pedestrianisation of key areas throughout the central business district, opting for electric buses and lower emission heavy goods vehicles could have a huge impact on improving air quality, allowing future growth of the city to occur without compromising air quality and enabling Aucklanders to continue to breathe some of the world’s cleanest urban air.” And improving air quality isn’t just a nice goal to aspire to – it has real health benefits. However, as we moved down the alert levels, air pollution returned to pre-lockdown levels. The rapid improvement in air quality under lockdown shows that, if we were to make changes to the way we travel and work, then we could ensure that clearer air wasn’t just a blip.

Lockdown sound

Another thing that cars produce a lot of is noise. With the SUV parked up in the garage, this contributed to a 50% drop in human noise through lockdown. Dr Kasper van Vijk from the University of Auckland’s Department of Physics was one of the authors of a global study into high-frequency seismic noise that was published in the respected journal Science. Human activity causes vibrations that are transmitted into the ground as high-frequency seismic noise (hiFSAN). At two seismometer stations, one 380m under the city, and the other 98m underground on Motutapu Island, hiFSAN was reduced by half during lockdown, before returning to normal levels as the country returned to normal.

A number of people thought that birds, especially native birds, were more noisy during the lockdown period. There are not to my knowledge any studies to prove or disprove this. It is possible that with fewer cars on the roads, bird noise was easier to hear. It also may be explained by more people spending time outside during level four, and looking at trees rather than their phones.

What about water?

With big changes in noise levels and in air pollution, it was worth looking at perhaps New Zealand’s most fraught environmental issue, water quality.

I’ve been unable to find any studies or papers that have analysed water quality in this country through the lockdown period. In many cases, regional councils only sample monthly, which doesn’t provide enough data for a month-on-month analysis. Some sampling methods involved measurements being taken by scientists in the field (or more accurately, in a river), rather than air and seismic monitoring with automated devices. During the lockdown, sample collection may not have been possible.

A couple of studies from India – one looking at a lake, another a river – have shown a marked drop in pollution levels during their lockdown. However, much of the water pollution in India is driven by direct human activity, including industries that dump into waterways, as well as people using rivers for cleaning and waste disposal. In New Zealand, agriculture is the biggest factor influencing water quality.

During our level four, farming was designated an essential service, meaning that there wasn’t any restriction on levels of activity. This is supported by StatsNZ’s data on milk production, with no significant difference between the milk production amounts in March or April 2020 when compared to the same period the year before. 

Despite the dairy price index falling for the first six months of the year, the value of our dairy exports is up compared to the previous two years. Given the continuation of farming through the lockdown, it seems unlikely that there were any major changes to water quality through this period.

While issues such as air pollution and water quality can sometimes seem too big to impact, the lockdown showed that change can happen. With cars off the streets, we saw a huge improvement in the air quality in our cities, which improves quality of life as well as having many positive health benefits. While no one is advocating for a permanent lockdown, the results presented here show the potential for change born of collective action.

Tomorrow: the wider health impacts of the lockdown

Keep going!
The streets of lockdown (photo: The Spinoff)
The streets of lockdown (photo: The Spinoff)

ScienceOctober 24, 2020

When it all stopped: measuring the impacts of the great lockdown experiment

The streets of lockdown (photo: The Spinoff)
The streets of lockdown (photo: The Spinoff)

In 2020, the Covid-19 pandemic prompted New Zealand and much of the world to undertake something few of us had ever contemplated: a near-total lockdown of society. In this Lockdown legacies series, James Dann explores the impacts of those extraordinary measures, intended and otherwise. Today, part one: the lockdown halt.

This project was made possible thanks to support from the Aotearoa New Zealand Science Journalism Fund.
 
In the early stages of the pandemic going global, as Covid-19 tore across Europe and North America, one meme spoke to the moment. Nature is healing – we are the virus. It was originally, sincerely deployed as wildlife returned to places it had long since departed – sea life in Venice’s canals, goats taking over Welsh villages. While much of it, like most good things on the internet, turned out not to be true, there was a kernel of truth in the initial premise. With the world shutting down and human interactions contracting in a way not seen in modern history, the human impact on the world was severely reduced. While we might not have been able to observe dolphins in the waters of Venice, there were an endless number of other observations that could be made, from the completely trivial through to the deeply meaningful. In a way, lockdown was a huge experiment – if you cut human activity, what are the results?

In this series, I’ll be looking at some of the fascinating research that came out of the lockdown. Not the science of the coronavirus itself, but the indirect effects on all sorts of facets of society that emerged from the great retrenchment of human activity. The absence of human life is a great way to measure how we live. In part two, I’ll examine the impacts on the world around us, including air quality, noise pollution, and measures of water quality. Next, I’ll survey some of the non-Covid health effects of the lockdown, from reductions in the number of people getting other diseases, to fewer workplace accidents and traffic deaths. Finally, I’ll take a dive into the research on the societal changes of the lockdown, including impacts on sleep, exercise, relationships, and mental health. 

How locked were we?

But before we draw any conclusions about the great stoppage, we need to first establish just how locked down we were. To what extent did our activity drop during the alert level four lockdown? Was the shutdown felt evenly across different regions, and different areas of human activity?

As reported by the Spinoff back in April, Google used location data to analyse changes all around the world, including in New Zealand. These data showed some large changes in movements, including a 91% decrease in retail and recreation activity, use of parks down by 78%, and visits to grocery stores and pharmacies down by 54% in the first week of the level four lockdown across the country. The number of people at their places of work was down 59%, and transit station usage was down 84%. With all these reductions, people had to be going somewhere – and this was seen with a 22% increase in residential activity.

The data provided by Google was drawn from people who had turned location services on in Google Maps on their phone. As Google is close to omnipresent around the world, this information is most useful for comparing New Zealand’s lockdown to other nations’ lockdowns. However, as it requires people to opt-in to allow Google to use their data, it only provides information from a small subset of people, which may not be representative of the wider population. In some areas, especially the regions, there aren’t enough data points to provide a robust analysis.

A larger and more inclusive dataset was created by DataVentures, the commercial wing of StatsNZ. Late last year, they had announced that they would be collecting anonymous data from cellphones to help make decisions around infrastructure projects, or plan for emergencies (for those worried about potential privacy implications, I asked the Office of the Privacy Commissioner whether they had any issues with this collection of data, and they said that they could “express comfort that the methodology and processes that have been put in place by Data Ventures are robust and privacy enhancing”.) 

Only six months later that data proved itself very useful for analysing movement patterns in an unprecedented national emergency. The two main telcos, Vodafone and Spark, provide Stats NZ with the number of mobile devices in a suburb each hour of the day, aggregated and stripped of any metadata that could be used to identify the user.

When we stopped moving

DataVentures brought the information together in a National Mobility Index, which creates “population estimates of residents and visitors in New Zealand every hour down to suburb level”. The index supports the findings of both the Google mobility data, and the observations made by anyone with eyes – that there was dramatically reduced mobility around the country during lockdown.

National Mobility Index

This reduction was about 50% across the country during the six weeks of level four. That is, people all over the country were making about half as many movements as they would have done under normal conditions. As the levels dropped, mobility increased. In level three, there was more mobility than level four, and more again in level two, as we returned to something close to normal.

The data was also able to be split in a number of ways. There was a massive reduction in the amount of activity at retail stores and workplaces. And there were regional differences. The biggest drops in mobility were seen in the urban centres, while in more rural areas, such as Northland and the West Coast, there was still a drop, but it was not quite as pronounced. One explanation for this difference may be that a higher proportion of people in rural areas were working on or linked to farms, which were essential services, and thus their mobility didn’t change much. 

The team from DataVentures also observed that those in rural areas were likely to need to travel “to denser populated areas where points of interest such as supermarkets reside, hence the smaller decrease in mobility”, and, to a lesser extent, “the fact devices in rural areas are harder to pick up so the change in counts for an area may experience less change as a result”.

The mobility data also showed a big drop in transit activity. This was supported with a huge drop in the amount of fuel being used in the country, as measured by the Z Energy fuel supply index. Prior to lockdown, Z was supplying around 40 million litres of fuel a week; by April 5, the supply was about a quarter of that. 

Another series that shows the effects of the lockdown is New Zealand’s best named statistic, the ANZ Truckometer. For both heavy and light trucks, the April reading shows a huge plunge. It is worth noting how quick the Truckometer bounced back, with new highs in both June and July. These drops not only shows that we were largely staying put, but the reduction in fuel supply means a reduction in fuel usage, which leads to changes in air pollution and carbon emissions that we’ll discuss in subsequent pieces in this series.

While this might all seem bleedingly obvious, the ability to quantify these observations is critical for turning anecdata into real evidence. New Zealand’s strict level four lockdown led to a massive drop in our usual activities outside of the home – going to school, work, and the shops. It reduced economic activity, fuel consumption, and movement around the country. And with this unprecedented contraction of activity, there were many flow-on effects that have resulted in some interesting findings that we will cover in the next three parts of this series, which continues tomorrow.

But wait there's more!