Rugby league’s coming home (Image: Getty Images / Archi Banal)
Rugby league’s coming home (Image: Getty Images / Archi Banal)

SportsJuly 1, 2022

Hear me out: 2024 is the Warriors’ year

Rugby league’s coming home (Image: Getty Images / Archi Banal)
Rugby league’s coming home (Image: Getty Images / Archi Banal)

Get back on the bandwagon now – the New Zealand Warriors are going to win the 2024 NRL Premiership. Here’s how.

What do the Panthers in 2003 and the Sharks in 2016 have in common? Both teams won the NRL Premiership after finishing dead last just two seasons prior. After years of being a bit crap, they finally hit rock bottom. They woke up the morning after Mad Monday and decided enough’s enough – something has to change.

It may come as a surprise to learn the New Zealand Warriors have not yet found themselves in this position. Not once in the club’s mostly disappointing 27-year history have they finished the season in last place to take home the NRL’s wooden spoon. Even in 2004, the year subtitled “The Worst Year Ever” on the Warriors’ Wikipedia page, they managed to finish 14th out of 15 teams.

At the moment the Warriors are sitting 15th out of 16 teams on the NRL ladder. It’s objectively fair to say they are a bit crap right now, and have been for some time. The club hasn’t made the playoffs since 2018, and they haven’t won a playoff match since 2011, the year they made it all the way to the Grand Final.

Two years before that Grand Final appearance, the Warriors finished 14th out of 16 teams. Two years before their only other Grand Final appearance in 2002? 13th out of 14. You may see a pattern beginning to emerge here.

Some fans might take pride in the fact the team has never finished last. “At least we’re not the worst” is a classic New Zealand mindset. But what if the Warriors never winning the wooden spoon and the Warriors never winning a Premiership actually go hand-in-hand?

Right now the club has an opportunity to change that. All they have to do is keep losing. A potentially vital game looms this weekend as the 15th-placed side returns to Mount Smart Stadium for the first time since 2019 to face the 14th-placed Wests Tigers. 

Understandably, many will be hoping for the Warriors to celebrate their long-awaited homecoming with a win, breaking their seven-game losing streak (their record is nine, set back in 2017). Beating the Tigers would catapult them potentially as high as 12th on the ladder, and put them a potential two wins ahead of their biggest rivals for the bottom spot, the Gold Coast Titans. But at what cost?

Thinking about the big picture and recognising what’s at stake, Warriors fans should actually be hoping the team doesn’t win this weekend. Instead we should cheer them on to smash their own losing streak record and make history by finally winning the wooden spoon. Only once they hit rock bottom will they be in a position to win their first Premiership.

Our sports coverage is powered by the generous support of our members. If you value what we do and want to help us do more – tautoko mai, donate today.

Mad Chapman, Editor
Aotearoa continues to adapt to a new reality and The Spinoff is right there, sorting fact from fiction to bring you the latest updates and biggest stories. Help us continue this coverage, and so much more, by supporting The Spinoff Members.Madeleine Chapman, EditorJoin Members

Get The Spinoff
in your inbox