spinofflive
National Party leader Todd Muller (Photo: Hagen Hopkins/Getty Images)
National Party leader Todd Muller (Photo: Hagen Hopkins/Getty Images)

The BulletinJuly 13, 2020

The Bulletin: Did Todd Muller lie about Boag and Woodhouse?

National Party leader Todd Muller (Photo: Hagen Hopkins/Getty Images)
National Party leader Todd Muller (Photo: Hagen Hopkins/Getty Images)

Good morning and welcome to The Bulletin. In today’s edition: Self-inflicted story puts National on the defensive, another escape attempt from managed isolation, and a series of party events ahead of election.

There’s a convention in journalism called Betteridge’s law of headlines. Basically what it means is that headlines that end in a question mark can almost always be answered with a no. So it is with today’s Bulletin. In the strictest sense, National leader Todd Muller did not lie about his knowledge of whether former party president Michelle Boag leaked active Covid-19 case details to health spokesperson Michael Woodhouse. He was aware that Boag had sent some information to Woodhouse, but the case he made to One News on Friday was that “what Michael Woodhouse received was not the same information as what Hamish Walker received.” He also defended Woodhouse, who did not leak that information to the media, as Walker did – losing his political career in the process.

The thing is though, Muller learned about this from Woodhouse on Tuesday night, and then later gave a flat answer of no to questions about whether Boag had also sent Woodhouse information. And so while it isn’t a lie in that strict sense, Muller was given a clear opportunity to come clean with anything that might be pertinent to the story, and he chose instead to try and get through without revealing it. That meant that when it all came out on Friday, it suddenly became a very fair question to ask if Muller is hiding anything else, and whether his statements on the matter could be trusted. As press gallery veteran Patrick Smellie put it, “repeatedly asked whether he knew that other National Party MPs had received leaked information from Boag, Muller tried various formulations to avoid saying “no”, but eventually said “no” when he should have said “yes”. For a politician who has always presented himself as a straight shooter, being forced to admit that he “could have been clearer” doesn’t look like that at all.

There are also serious questions around Woodhouse’s actions with those emails Boag sent him. He told Radio NZ that he deleted those emails – sent in mid-June – at the start of the week, when it was becoming clear that there was going to be an investigation into how confidential Covid-19 patient information was getting out. “He also deleted the emails from the trash folder,” said the story, with Woodhouse arguing that he thought it was the right thing to do. It’s difficult to imagine how attempting to scrub all traces of potentially relevant information from your inbox when an investigation is about to get underway could be considered the right thing to do, but at this stage we’ll have to take his word for it that those were his motivations.

The issue has forced the party onto the defensive, right when they would have been hoping to focus on the upcoming election. Deputy leader Nikki Kaye appeared on Q+A over the weekend, and had to spend the whole extended interview talking about one aspect or another of the story, including her own close links to Boag. There was no chance to talk about National policy, or government mistakes, or her race in Auckland Central, or the price of fish, or anything at all apart from this scandal.

Senior figures in the press gallery have also made their views on the matter completely clear. There was a huge amount of commentary over the weekend from people with openly declared political views, so I’ll stick with a few neutral voices on it. Stuff political editor Luke Malpass said “the leaks really call into question one of the central ideas of the Muller ascendancy: that National is the party of the grown-ups”. The NZ Herald’s political editor Audrey Young said that Woodhouse’s reputation is “tarnished”, and that “the more that information drips out, the more that questions mount about Muller’s management of this crisis.” Interest’s Jenée Tibshraeny saw it as a case of the party “disarming” itself, on one of their strongest lines of attack. And One News political reporter Maiki Sherman described the story as “completely self-inflicted” for Muller and National. For now, it will be a nervous wait until the investigation by Michael Heron QC is completed, which is expected to land around the end of the month.


The Spinoff would like to invite Bulletin readers to a special event with Breast Cancer Foundation NZ. 

The effects of Covid-19 are often hidden from every day view. Writing on The Spinoff, Breast Cancer NZ ambassador Stacey Morrison spoke to Chloe Irvine about her experience with breast cancer through lockdown.

To support Breast Cancer Foundation NZ’s vital work The Spinoff is holding a Pink Ribbon Breakfast. Hosted by Stacey Morrison at Kind Cafe in Morningside, Auckland on July 28 from 730am the breakfast will hear from women about their breast cancer journeyand foundation advocates about the work they do.

Limited tickets are available here for a donation of $50 or more (and includes breakfast). If you live outside Auckland or are unable to join us for breakfast we still welcome your support for Breast Cancer Foundation NZ.


There was another attempted escape from managed isolation over the weekend, bringing the total up to four in the space of a week. It sounds bad, but here’s a stat for you from this Stuff story – about 99.9% of returnees haven’t attempted to do anything of the sort. The most recent case involved someone who allegedly broke a window to get out, which indicates that security has been tightened up quite a bit. Meanwhile, Radio NZ reports Covid-19 research funding is being put towards technology that will allow police to track people with CCTV more easily, which instinctively feels a bit troubling.


A series of political party events were held over the weekend ahead of the election. Newsroom’s Mark Jennings was at the Act campaign launch, to see a party revitalised by opposition to changes in firearms laws. The NZ Herald’s David Fisher was in the north to see Shane Jones launch his campaign for the Northland seat – and in doing so, potentially save his party from oblivion. And One News reporter Cushla Norman had a story on a Green Party announcement for new policies aimed at getting solar panels onto state houses, and cutting coal use altogether by 2030.

Meanwhile, there was a bit of news from the Labour Party on their current allies – Newshub reports that Jacinda Ardern has made it clear that there are no plans to cut any electorate deals to ensure their survival. That’s not great news for Shane Jones in Northland, or for either Marama Davidson or Chlöe Swarbrick in Tāmaki Makaurau and Auckland Central respectively. It’s also bad news for Hayden Donnell, who wrote over the weekend about how much he loves a good dirty electorate deal.


National MP Dr Jian Yang is retiring from politics at the election. He goes after several years of questions about his past, in which he taught at a spy school in China – questions which continued to swirl because he never really addressed them. The NZ Herald’s Derek Cheng reports that he is understood to have been pushed by senior National MPs to go. For his part, Yang has always insisted that his full loyalty has been to New Zealand over his political career.

Meanwhile, the news of Dr Yang’s retirement headlined this article about select committee hearings into Chinese government influence operations, by Stuff’s Thomas Coughlan. There are two really pertinent points I think the article highlights. The first is that the spotlight has also been put on local politics – in part because mayors and councillors can have influence over whether Belt and Road projects go ahead. And the second point is that it underlines that people of Chinese ethnicity are not synonymous with the Chinese Communist Party or government, and it would be wrong to see it like that.


There could be problems caused by Wellington City Council’s new rent policies for social housing, reports Radio NZ’s Eva Corlett. Many tenants will be left better off by the changes which would make rents income tested, rather than the current model of calculating it as 70% of market rents. However, for some on slightly higher (but still low) fixed incomes, that will mean the share of income that they pay as rent will rise. And we’re talking about situations where every dollar counts here. The proposal has also led to calls that the Income Related Rent Subsidy be extended – currently it is available to Kainga Ora tenants, but not to those in Council housing.


An opposition view on the closure of Tiwai Point which was announced last week: Former National government minister Steven Joyce has hit out at the government for doing nothing to save the smelter, and with it a huge share of the Southland economy, in a column on the (paywalled) NZ Herald. While Joyce acknowledges that former finance minister Bill English made it clear that smelter wouldn’t get any more money, that was in 2013 – well before the Covid-19 recession – and the current decision comes at a time when cash is also being splashed on some decidedly less safe bets, like a $10 million bailout for AJ Hackett Bungy with no guarantees of tourism coming back.


A correction in the form of a bit of feedback: Last week I referred to the ‘Manapouri Dam’ – which as self-described ‘engineering tragic’ Jimmy pointed out is not correct. Here’s what he said:

“Last line refers to Manapouri as a dam – it isn’t. It’s a lake that feeds a hydroelectric power station. That sounds an awful lot like a dam, but dams are large concrete structures that feed power stations through penstocks (big tubes).

What’s unusual about Manapouri station is a dam structure was never built; it uses the lake’s natural geography as water storage, rather than a huge concrete structure. Instead of providing an artificial barrier to control the flow of water, they bored holes into the edge of the lake and mountain underneath it.”


Got some feedback about The Bulletin, or anything in the news? Drop us a line at thebulletin@thespinoff.co.nz

For one hour every week Countdown supermarkets all over the country dim the lights, turn off the music, and discourage staff from repacking the shelves.

Right now on The Spinoff: In news and politics – Michael Andrew looks at energy use data to get a sense of how the post-Covid recovery is taking shape. Jeremy Rose writes about the increasing attention being paid to Modern Monetary Theory in economics. Katy Wakefield and Emma McInnes write about the likelihood of sexist outcomes from the new plans for mass transit in Auckland. Greg Pollock writes about the need to invest in public transport if we really want to revitalise cities, rather than just the big ticket infrastructure projects. Karen Phillips gives a view from dry Northland on Auckland’s drought, and some tips for how to get through in future. Mike Fox writes about the need for new regulatory processes to get the right kind of affordable housing built. The Act Party’s Dave King makes a contribution to a series I’m really enjoying – getting the political views of those ranked last on their party’s list.

And in culture: Michelle Langstone has a wonderfully descriptive piece about the feeling of shopping during the supermarket’s ‘quiet hour’. Laura O’Connell Rapira writes about the increasing calls for a new Matariki public holiday. Jihee Junn looks through the most entertaining Advertising Standards Authority complaints of the year. And artist Shaquille Wasasala writes a furious open letter to music festival bookers, who have once again put together overwhelmingly stale and male lineups.


For a feature today, a fascinating look at the mounting feeling in Scotland that they’d be better off independent from the UK. Writing in the Guardian, columnist Rafael Behr argues that a crisis is looming for the union on a number of different levels, and public sentiment north of the border is turning in favour of getting out. What’s more, the country right now is very poorly prepared for something like that happening. Here’s an excerpt:

Between now and next May’s Scottish parliament elections, Britain must pass through more Brexit turbulence; transitional arrangements expire on 31 December. In every scenario, the SNP then complains that English Tories have wrenched pro-European Scots from their home continent without consent. Barring some unforeseen political accident, Sturgeon will then be confirmed as first minister, arguing that her refreshed mandate compels Westminster to legislate for an independence referendum.

Johnson will refuse, thus vindicating the nationalist view that Tory England always represses the will of Scotland. But the prime minister might prefer that charge to a gamble on having his remaining time in office consumed by a battle to save the union, and possibly ending up in posterity as the man who broke the kingdom.


In sport, the Warriors are seeking answers from the NRL referees boss after being on the wrong end of a horrific string of calls, reports Stuff. Having seen it live, they’ve got a point – the team were not awarded a single penalty over the course of the match, and a try was disallowed in ridiculous circumstances. Had it been awarded, the Warriors probably would’ve beaten the Gold Coast Titans – as it was, they lost 16-12 after falling to pieces in the second half. It will add fuel to the fire for the perceptions of many fans on this side of the ditch, that the Warriors almost never seem to get calls in their favour.


That’s it for The Bulletin. If you want to support the work we do at The Spinoff, please check out our membership programme

Keep going!
Tiwai Point closing down will be a blow to the economy of Southland (Getty Images)
Tiwai Point closing down will be a blow to the economy of Southland (Getty Images)

The BulletinJuly 10, 2020

The Bulletin: Tiwai Point closing affects everything

Tiwai Point closing down will be a blow to the economy of Southland (Getty Images)
Tiwai Point closing down will be a blow to the economy of Southland (Getty Images)

Good morning and welcome to The Bulletin. In today’s edition: Major implications from Tiwai Pt closure, diplomatic rift over Hong Kong deepens, and grim new approach to managed isolation.

The story of Rio Tinto pulling out of the Tiwai Point smelter is one that shows the deep connections between regional stories and the rest of New Zealand. Michael Andrew looked at the complex strands of the issue yesterday, and it’s a great starting point if you’re new to the story. For today’s Bulletin, we’ll pick up on some of the developments and what they could mean.

First of all, it’s an economic tragedy for the people of Southland. That much is undeniable, because the smelter provided good, high-paying jobs, which are really not easy to come by in a lot of the country. The ODT reports this morning that local business leaders are terrified of what comes next, and Great South chief executive Graham Budd put it bluntly but accurately when he said “there won’t be anybody across Invercargill and the region that hasn’t been touched in some way directly or indirectly by this.” That group has vowed to fight on to try and save the smelter.

It seems likely this time to be a lost cause. Rio Tinto, widely regarded as a terrible corporate citizen around the world, have spent years cynically using the prospect of the region’s economy being shattered to force concessions out of government. When the Key government bailed the smelter out last time, they made it clear that it would be the last time. And the current government have stuck to that. Finance minister Grant Robertson and economic development minister Megan Woods issued a statement that made it clear the rest of the country will no longer subsidise the smelter.

So what should those people in Southland do instead? They’d be forgiven for not feeling super confident about the future when the statement addressed that as follows: “We know the strengths of Southland and we want to build on them in areas such as agriculture, aquaculture and manufacturing. There is also an opportunity to support other energy intensive projects like green hydrogen and data centres.” Woods stressed that there was more than a year to go before the smelter fully closed, so there would be time to put some actual detail on the table – but a year can go by very quickly, and it seems certain that many won’t have jobs to step into when their existing one goes.

There will also be big implications for electricity generation. Business Desk’s (paywalled) Dan Brunskill has looked at the sharemarket impact on the gentailers (big power companies that generate as well as retail) and they’ve seen billions in value wiped away. Tiwai Point used between 10%-15% of the country’s total electricity supply in any given year, so now some will be expecting lower prices. But it won’t necessarily flow simply like that, because of the transmission costs to get that power from the hydro dams in the deep South up to population centres in the North Island. There was a really interesting piece on Politik this morning about transmission pricing itself, and how decisions made several years ago to keep costs down for Aucklanders effectively sealed the fate of Tiwai Point yesterday.

There will now be a glut of clean renewable energy on the market, so what should be done with it? Nikki Mandow at Newsroom has looked into how this is likely to have a positive impact on the country’s carbon emissions – both directly from the smelter itself, and less directly because it dramatically reduces the need for fossil fuel plants to stay open to provide overflow power supply. But it won’t happen overnight, because of various infrastructure challenges. If the power supply isn’t needed any more, it could also have positive implications for the Waiau River, which campaigners say has been degraded by the presence of the Manapouri Dam.


Just quickly, a message from The Spinoff’s managing editor Duncan Greive: 

“The arrival of Covid-19 and lockdown changed The Spinoff, transforming our editorial to focus on the biggest story of our lives, taking a small team and making it a seven day a week news operation. But it also fundamentally changed us as a business, too. Prior to the crisis, around 20% of our editorial costs were funded by our Members. Now, that figure is north of 50%. If you’re already a member, please know that all at The Spinoff are incredibly grateful for your help. If you’re not, and would like to contribute, please consider doing so – support is important to our ability to cover the next phase of the crisis, in all its complexity.”


The diplomatic rift between China and the Five Eyes alliance over Hong Kong has deepened, and New Zealand is very much a part of it. Radio NZ reports MFAT will be “reviewing the settings of its relationship” with Hong Kong, after a draconian new security law was put in place, which heavily cracks down on a lot of freedoms previously enjoyed by people of the city. People aren’t really travelling at the moment anyway, but the advisory warning for New Zealanders has been updated to say that there is now an increased risk of arrest and prosecution on a wide range of grounds. It follows similar moves from Australia, which has also decided to suspend its extradition agreement with China.


Police will now guard managed isolation hotels to prevent guests from going walkabout, along with other beefed up security protocols in place. Our live blog has the details, including a grim new realness in the way the government will approach the facilities – “the facilities are a snapshot of society and there will inevitably be the odd problem. We must ensure our security arrangements anticipate the type of behaviour we’re seeing from the worst of our returnees,” said minister Megan Woods. Also included in our live blog is an update with Countdown, who have issued a clarification of details around the trip the escapee made to their supermarket.

Speaking of that guy, the NZ Herald’s Anna Leask managed to get hold of him for an interview. He has questioned the police’s version of events, but refused to say why he left the hotel, or whether he felt he had put the public in danger by his trip.

On a semi-related note, a judge has issued a warning to the government on the legality of banning compassionate exemptions, reports Newshub. It follows the case of a man who tried to see his dying father, but wasn’t able to make it in time because of legal holdups. A few weeks ago professor Andrew Geddis predicted a similar outcome to this, were it to be tested in court – and now Justice Muir of the Auckland High Court says there is an urgent need for the director-general of health to address the terms of the order.


Like pretty much every major party going into an election these days, National released an economic framework yesterday which read like five nice bullet points scrawled on a napkin. So we won’t bother focusing on that – instead, I’d encourage you to read this from Stuff’s Thomas Coughlan that went deep into a wonkish but highly consequential aspect of how the party would govern under Todd Muller. It concerns two pieces of legislation – the Public Finance Act and the Fiscal Responsibility Act, and where National is looking to position itself in relation to previous National governments. Of particular note is the discussion around net debt to GDP, alongside promises to spend up large on infrastructure. There’s much more to it than the bullet points would suggest.


Occasionally I share pieces I really don’t agree with, but think are important to give people the chance to read all the same. So in the spirit of that, here’s an op-ed on Al-Jazeera by journalist Glen Johnson, who argues that “New Zealand’s media endangered public health” in their coverage of Covid-19. His argument hinges on a few points, but mostly it comes back to the idea that media have been more interested in scalps, sensationalism and ratings than the public interest. As I say, I strongly disagree with that assessment, and for a counterpoint, here’s a recent piece from Mediawatch’s Hayden Donnell, who argues that media scrutiny and pressure in fact helped save lives.


NZ First leader Winston Peters has taken unexpected medical leave for a surgical procedure, after experiencing symptoms of food poisoning and dehydration earlier in the week. In a release, he said he was confident of a quick return to work, and being “fighting fit for the election campaign, which is typically physically gruelling.” It means that there has been a shuffling of campaign events for the party, with the launch pushed back to next weekend rather than this weekend. We’re wishing him all the best on a speedy recovery.


Got some feedback about The Bulletin, or anything in the news? Drop us a line at thebulletin@thespinoff.co.nz

Stacey Morrison and Chloe Irvine (image: Andy Day/Swish Studios).

Right now on The Spinoff: Joe Nunweek writes from Melbourne about the mood in the city going into a second, six week long lockdown. Stacey Morrison talks to Chloe Irvine about life with breast cancer through Covid-19. Historian Scott Hamilton tells the stories of four remarkable Pākehā, who deserve statues but were vilified in their time for the moral stands they took. Mary Jo Vergara looks at the spending sugar rush in the economy right now, and whether it will continue to last.

And in music: There’s a brand new edition of The Side Eye, meeting band The Beths and getting a sense of how Covid has reshaped everything for them. And Duncan Greive has met emerging artist Deryk, who seems to be on the sort of trajectory that by the end of the year she’ll be a star.


For a feature today, a longread about an artistic medium which can be used in very interesting ways by skilled practitioners. Nathan Joe at the Pantograph Punch has written about radio plays, and the curious form of intimacy they can create with audiences. Here’s an excerpt where this idea is explored.

It’s one of the great ironies that our ears can paint a much more vivid picture of moments like these than our eyes can. The sound of water conjures up the sea with far smoother suspension of disbelief than even the most talented physical theatre-makers could elicit with the finest materials.

Radio need not apologise for its limitations of budget or the absence of visual signifiers. The mind’s eye can be as visually extravagant as it wants to be, a complicit co-author to the playwright. Radio has always been, even more than the stage, a writer’s medium.


A fascinating sports story that hasn’t really been covered much in The Bulletin is what’s currently going on with the Black Sticks hockey team. The NZ Herald’s Dylan Cleaver has been chipping away at it, noting the string of departures and reporting on rumours around deep unhappiness within the High Performance programme. At the start of the week, a statement came out from Hockey NZ, which Radio NZ reported on. It denied speculation that there had been a falling out between coaching staff, particularly with the recently resigned assistant coach Katie Glynn.


That’s it for The Bulletin. If you want to support the work we do at The Spinoff, please check out our membership programme