An evacuation centre in Hastings as people are reunited. (Photo: RNZ / Angus Dreaver)
An evacuation centre in Hastings as people are reunited. (Photo: RNZ / Angus Dreaver)

The BulletinFebruary 16, 2023

Conditions obscuring the true toll of Cyclone Gabrielle

An evacuation centre in Hastings as people are reunited. (Photo: RNZ / Angus Dreaver)
An evacuation centre in Hastings as people are reunited. (Photo: RNZ / Angus Dreaver)

Formerly a picturesque part of the country’s ‘fruit bowl’, Napier’s Esk Valley is now an area of great concern and a further death has been reported in Gisborne. The full picture still remains unclear, writes Anna Rawhiti-Connell in this excerpt from The Bulletin, The Spinoff’s morning news round-up. To receive The Bulletin in full each weekday, sign up here.

Death toll rises 

Until Cyclone Gabrielle hit, Napier’s Esk Valley was known to most as a picturesque and productive part of New Zealand’s “fruitbowl” where grapevines and apples grow and great wine is produced. The vines were completely submerged as 7 metres of water swept through when Gabrielle hit. That water raged at times, moving quickly, and it’s now an area causing enormous amounts of concern as horrific stories emerge of more potential loss of life. This morning, the death toll linked to Gabrielle now stands at five, as police investigate a death in Gisborne.

1400 people reported as uncontactable

More than 1400 people have been reported as uncontactable, mostly in Hawke’s Bay and Tairāwhiti. Police expect a lot of this to be due to lines of communications being down but have said there are “grave concerns” for several people missing in those areas. A live cross on Breakfast this morning featured people just trying to get on camera to tell their families they were alive. There are currently 12 Recognised Seasonal Employer (RSE) workers in the Hawke’s Bay unaccounted for. Transport minister Michael Wood said this morning that authorities believed they may have made their own way to various evacuation sites around the area – and that it would be a priority today to find them.

Worst hit areas now clearly identified

While details of the full extent of the cyclone’s impact remain murky, hampered by still dangerous conditions, isolation and a lack of connectivity, it’s now very clear that Northland, Coromandel, Hawke’s Bay, Tairāwhiti and areas on the West coast of Auckland have been worst affected. The Coromandel is now into its fifth day without power. Residents of Muriwai and Piha in Auckland are in a state of shock and are calling for help. Two Navy ships have been dispatched to Tairāwhiti and Hawke’s Bay and the prime minister will travel to Gisborne and Tairāwhiti today. Roads in Northland are significantly damaged. Thankfully, the surge of water which threatened Dargaville this morning came at low tide during the night and was contained by the town’s sea wall.

Recent events land on a country already grappling with interlinked crises

Finally, while the roaring (and correct) consensus is that it is far too early for calculating costs, especially with so many people in very real states of precarity and risk, minds are beginning to turn to the knock-on impacts, as a way of preparing us for what we must grapple with. Duncan Greive writes this morning that “Auckland’s floods and Cyclone Gabrielle did not land on a country which was running smoothly. They dropped into one which was suffering through that debilitating modern phenomenon known as the polycrisis: interlinked crises covering inflation, housing, infrastructure, health and more, all operating against and influenced by the climate crisis.” BusinessDesk’s Pattrick Smellie has outlined similar thinking (paywalled) from four economists. All agree it will be highly disruptive.

Keep going!
Wairoa surveyed from the air (Image: Hawke’s Bay Regional Civil Defence and Emergency Management Group – Facebook)
Wairoa surveyed from the air (Image: Hawke’s Bay Regional Civil Defence and Emergency Management Group – Facebook)

The BulletinFebruary 15, 2023

Severe challenges in Hawke’s Bay continue

Wairoa surveyed from the air (Image: Hawke’s Bay Regional Civil Defence and Emergency Management Group – Facebook)
Wairoa surveyed from the air (Image: Hawke’s Bay Regional Civil Defence and Emergency Management Group – Facebook)

Wairoa remains cut-off with dwindling food and water supplies, while the palpable frustration of a farmer in Tolaga Bay spotlights the long-running and deadly problem of forestry waste, writes Anna Rawhiti-Connell in this excerpt from The Bulletin, The Spinoff’s morning news round-up. To receive The Bulletin in full each weekday, sign up here.

 

Flooding and evacuations continue in Hawke’s Bay

While Cyclone Gabrielle now lies to the southeast of New Zealand with more settled weather ahead, rising flood water in Hawke’s Bay is prompting fresh calls for evacuation this morning. Flooding and inundation into Te Awa Estate is escalating and Civil Defence is urging people to evacuate. “We recommend evacuations to commence in the entire Te Awa Estates area, from Kenny Drive north to Hurunui Drive,” says Civil Defence. People are asked to evacuate to friends or family but if that’s not possible, go to Rodney Green Centennial Events Centre in Latham Street, Napier. If you are in danger, please call 111.

Wairoa still cut-off, with limited food and water supplies

A clearer picture is also emerging of the devastation caused in the area with aerial shots of Wairoa showing the extent of the flood damage. These extraordinary images from the Air Force show the lengths gone to to rescue people from rooftops. The 8000 residents of Wairoa are still cut off, with no phone service, only one day’s worth of food and enough drinking water for two days after the Wairoa River burst its banks. Power was restored to most residents last night but as the Hawkes Bay Civil Defence team explain, a post made on its Facebook page last night was only possible via Starlink, a satellite-enabled wifi connection that is only accessible to the Emergency Operations Centre.

“It’s one thing to get a cyclone and get water, it’s another when the water comes with bloody pine trees attached to it.” 

North of Hawke’s Bay, in Tolaga Bay, the recurrent devastation caused by forestry waste (slash) was spotlighted again yesterday when farmer Bridget Parker spoke honestly and furiously about her family’s situation to RNZ. When asked if the government was going to do anything about the issue of forestry slash at last night’s press conference, the prime minister emphatically replied with a “Yes”. Shanti Mathias has an excellent explainer on The Spinoff this morning on what slash is, why it’s so dangerous and what can be done about a problem that was already linked to tragedy when a child died in Gisborne three weeks ago after being injured by a log floating in the water. Satellite imagery of Tolaga Bay captured between 2010 and 2016 shows the extent of the impact of forestry on the East Coast.

James Shaw decries lost decades spent bickering about climate change

The Spinoff article linked above was published in 2018 and written by Michael Smith. Smith wrote “the East Coast experience suggests that economic imperatives will always come to the fore unless the new forest gold rush is controlled by environmental rather than strictly economic imperatives.” In the House yesterday Green party co-leader James Shaw decried “the lost decades that we spent bickering and arguing about whether climate change was real or not”. While the focus is rightfully on the immediate response to Cyclone Gabrielle, the window of time between that and the need for expedient decisions on climate change mitigation and adaptation efforts feels very small.