The Green MP resigned yesterday after facing allegations of shoplifting
The Green MP resigned yesterday after facing allegations of shoplifting

The BulletinJanuary 17, 2024

Golriz Ghahraman’s resignation raises questions about life in political spotlight

The Green MP resigned yesterday after facing allegations of shoplifting
The Green MP resigned yesterday after facing allegations of shoplifting

The Green MP resigned yesterday after facing allegations of shoplifting. Bearing similarities to the circumstances that led to Kiri Allan’s resignation last year, questions have been raised about parliamentary culture and the normalisation of threatening behaviour directed at MPs, writes Anna Rawhiti-Connell in this excerpt from The Bulletin, The Spinoff’s morning news round-up. To receive The Bulletin in full each weekday, sign up here.

Green MP Golriz Ghahrama resigns after shoplifting allegations

Following allegations of shoplifting, Green MP Golriz Ghahraman resigned yesterday. As Stewart Sowman-Lund reports, the MP said her mental health had been “badly affected” by stresses related to her work, which had led her to “act in ways that are completely out of character”. She apologised and was clear in not wanting to excuse her actions but explain them. In a statement, Ghahraman said, “People should, rightly, expect the highest standards of behaviour from their elected representatives. I fell short. I’m sorry.” She has requested space and privacy. Green party co-leader James Shaw said yesterday that Ghahraman was subject to “pretty much continuous threats” during her time in parliament. These were sexual and violent in nature and included death threats. In 2019, it was reported that Ghahraman would be accompanied by a security guard following a series of death threats. Ghahraman revealed she was diagnosed with multiple sclerosis in 2020. Newshub’s Laura Walter looks back at her political career. The Herald’s Thomas Coughlan says her resignation will be a huge loss for the Greens, citing the expertise and advocacy Ghahraman brought to her portfolios — including foreign policy and electoral reform.

Questions raised again about the realities of political life

Once again, bearing bleak similarities to the circumstances that led to Kiri Allan’s resignation last year, questions have been raised about parliamentary culture and the normalisation of abusive and threatening behaviour directed at MPs. Professor Joanna Kidman, the director of He Whenua Taurikura/National Centre of Research Excellence for Preventing and Countering Violent Extremism said despite the reports that had been completed on Parliament’s workplace culture, it remains an adversarial environment, often without support for people who have been targeted.

Elizabeth Kerekere, Golriz Gharahman and Kiri Allan have all left politics in dramatic fashion in the past 12 months (Design: Archi Banal)

This morning, Spinoff editor Mad Chapman writes, “As we watch brown woman after brown woman succumb to “the pressures of the job”, it’s worth remembering that not all MPs have the same pressures. If you’ve never worried about how your wider community might react to your work or the decisions you make, that’s one less pressure. If you’ve never ignored a casually racist or sexist or homophobic remark at your expense, that’s one less pressure. If you have always been confident that your bosses have your best interests at heart, that’s one less pressure.”

Shaun Robinson’s advice after Kiri Allan’s resignation on how to respond to a person’s actions in the context of their mental state also holds plenty of relevance in this situation. “Empathy and accountability can go hand in hand,’ he wrote. Emily Writes also reflects on our choices when responding to a very public “fall from grace”.

Former Wellington mayor to enter parliament

As the next person on the Green party list, former Wellington mayor Celia Wade-Brown will now enter parliament. The Spinoff’s Wellington editor, Joel MacManus, profiled Wade-Brown during last year’s election campaign. There are now two former mayors of Wellington in parliament this term, with Wade-Brown joining NZ First’s Andy Foster. Ghahraman’s resignation and Labour’s Ibrahim Omer’s loss in the Wellington Central seat means we no longer have any MPs in parliament who entered New Zealand as a refugee.

Government rejects four of expert panel’s recommendations on electoral reform

Ghahraman was the Green party’s electoral reform spokesperson, championing lowering the voting age to 16 and giving all prisoners the right to vote. Her Electoral Strengthening Democracy Amendment Bill was drawn from the biscuit tin in May 2022. It didn’t make it past the first reading, largely superseded by the then government’s review into electoral law. The Independent Electoral Review released its final report yesterday (summary here) after delivering a draft in June last year. The panel, chaired by Deborah Hart, has over 140 made recommendations. The government has already rejected four of them, including lowering the voting age to 16, allowing all prisoners to vote and stand for parliament, freezing the ratio of electorate to list seats and repealing the offence of ‘treating’ voters with refreshments and entertainment. The recommendation to have a referendum on the length of a term of parliament is already being looked at by the government. Act leader David Seymour described the proposal to lower the voting age as a victory for the Greens and “Chairman Mao”. “Combine voting at 16 with civics delivered by left-wing teacher unionists and you’ve got a recipe for cultural revolution, pitting indoctrinated socialist youth against the parents and taxpayers who pay their bills,” he said. As Newsroom’s Marc Daalder writes (paywalled), the review still leaves the issues surrounding how political campaigns are funded up for serious debate. “The report proposes something of a swap – parties would give up access to unlimited donations revenue in exchange for greater state funding,” he writes.

Keep going!
Bulletin-150124.jpg

The BulletinJanuary 15, 2024

A brighter tomorrow? The NZ economic outlook for 2024

Bulletin-150124.jpg

Things are looking a lot rosier than this time last year – with some major caveats, writes Catherine McGregor in this excerpt from The Bulletin, The Spinoff’s morning news round-up. To receive The Bulletin in full each weekday, sign up here.

Inflation is coming down, slowly

With the country still rousing itself from its holiday stupor, news remains thin on the ground. So this week we’ll be looking at what lies ahead for New Zealand in 2024, starting today with the economy. At the start of the month the UN’s World Economic Situation and Prospects report noted that housing shortages – and the accompanying higher rents – would continue to slow NZ’s attempts to curb inflation. The UN report forecasts NZ will end 2024 with inflation at 3.4%, then drop to 2.6% in 2025. That’s less optimistic than Treasury, which is forecasting inflation back within the Reserve Bank’s target 1-3% range by the end of this year.

Where to for interest rates?

As inflation drops, so too should we see falls in interest rates. Despite the tough talk from the Reserve Bank’s Adrian Orr who said in November that mortgage rates need to stay where they are “for a long time to come”, the consensus among economists is that interest rates have peaked. Now the questions are when they’ll start coming down, and how fast. Swap rates – the cost to banks of borrowing money at a fixed rate – have fallen considerably in the last few months, giving banks a “margin blowout” on the money they currently lend, says commentator Tony Alexander. David Cunningham of mortgage brokers Squirrel thinks those margins give banks a lot of room to manoeuvre. “I would be surprised if we don’t see most fixed interest rates down between 0.5% and 1% by March,” he tells Stuff.

Inflation and migration the top two economic issues, say experts

Not surprisingly, inflation is one of the most important issues in 2024, according to economists surveyed by the Herald’s Liam Dann (paywalled). While tradeable inflation – that caused by imported goods such as oil – is already returning to normal, non-tradeable cost prices (more specifically, housing) is the “sticky part”, says ASB’s Nick Tuffley. That stickiness is exacerbated by record-high migration, which the economists voted the number 1 economic issue for 2024. The net economic outcome of all those new residents is hard to forecast, writes Dann. “On the one hand, adding more workers is disinflationary, taking pressure out of the labour market, on the other, adding more consumers is inflationary. More people means more spending.”

Red Sea crisis jeopardising global economic revival

All told, the outlook is a lot more positive than this time last year – with one huge caveat. The crisis in the Red Sea, where US- and UK-led forces (backed by nations including NZ) are bombing Houthi rebels blocking key shipping routes, could shatter hopes of a global economic recovery, the World Bank is warning. Bank economists say the situation “now threatens to feed through into higher interest rates, lower growth, persistent inflation and greater geopolitical uncertainty”, the Guardian reports. As a result of both the Red Sea crisis and severe drought in the Panama Canal, shipping rates have “jumped almost 8% week-on-week, reaching their highest levels since October 2022 and almost double November levels”, BusinessDesk’s Brent Melville reports (paywalled). That’s a lot, though for context they jumped by a humongous 400% at the height of the Covid pandemic in 2021.