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National leader Simon Bridges on Q+A (Image credit: TVNZ)
National leader Simon Bridges on Q+A (Image credit: TVNZ)

The BulletinFebruary 17, 2020

The Bulletin: Tax cuts for 2020?

National leader Simon Bridges on Q+A (Image credit: TVNZ)
National leader Simon Bridges on Q+A (Image credit: TVNZ)

Good morning and welcome to The Bulletin. In today’s edition: Bridges gives signal of tax cuts, police under pressure over family violence problem, and condemnation rains down over Peters scandal.

Expect plenty of news today about National’s economic manifesto to take into the next election. From Simon Bridges’ appearance on Q+A yesterday (welcome back to that show) it is clear that part of it is going to involve some sort of tax cut. What wasn’t clear was the shape or size of it, who it will be targeted at, and how much it is expected to cost. Bridges says because of the rising cost of living, “there is a very clear case today for tax relief.”

It’s part of a wider theme being pushed by the party over this term. Last year’s economic discussion document promised a range of measures around indexing tax brackets to inflation, repeal of the regional fuel tax, and others heading in this direction. At the time, tax cuts were only hinted at, though in the sort of way that made it pretty clear something would actually be firmed up closer to the time. In fact, economist Shamubeel Eaqab predicted exactly this, and found a range of things he both did and didn’t like about the prospect.

Assuming that Labour doesn’t decide to also promise a tax cut (though commentator Matthew Hooton (paywalled) has suggested it as something for them to consider) it sets up a clear election year debate around the government’s role in the economy. Because of complicating factors like the coronavirus, forecasts for what the economy will look like when the election rolls around are a bit murky. And there’s a reasonable case to be made that the government needs every spare dollar it can find to spend on areas like infrastructure investment and social welfare. Last time around, Labour attacked National’s election year tax cut pledge as “fiscally irresponsible and reckless”. This time, they get to make a response in the form of their election year Budget.

Also pulled out of the Bridges Q+A interview – a range of pledges targeting the current government’s changes for tenants and landlords. Some of them will certainly be controversial. It included aspects of the Healthy Homes standards that are coming in being scrapped, though not the insulation rules. The foreign buyers ban would also be amended, which economic development minister David Parker described on Twitter as “reprehensible”. Law changes around the ring-fencing of property losses would also be reversed. It was topped off with “bold, significant RMA and land reform.”


A long investigation has revealed some troubling facts about domestic violence perpetrated by police officers. Stuff’s George Block reports a pilot programme aimed at tackling increasing levels of family harm within the police was quietly started – and just as quietly abandoned. And the perceived lack of consequences for officers who commit family harm is also causing consequences – to put that in context, internal investigations upheld 32 allegations of family harm by sworn officers over four years, but just eight of those cases then went to trial. Women’s Refuge chief executive Ang Jury says such rates of charges being filed as “ridiculous,” and said the police have long had a domestic violence problem. Police say they take that problem extremely seriously, and are taking a range of measures to address it.


There haven’t really been new developments on the saga engulfing NZ First and their leader Winston Peters, but there have been some very worth reading pieces. On The Spinoff, Danyl Mclauchlan speculates on whether it could reshape the political landscape by removing Peters’ traditional branding as the one that keeps the rest of the politicians honest. Stuff’s Andrea Vance has some very strong views on the use of intimidation and stalking tactics against journalists. And John Armstrong on One News writes that PM Jacinda Ardern desperately needs to show Peters who is actually in charge of the government – one wonders if she’s already doing just that through inaction.


The question of water use is causing huge ructions in drought-stricken Northland. This video story from Q+A is an exploration of whether avocado orchards have exacerbated the drought by tapping into the aquifer, and draining a supply of water that otherwise would have been more available for other users. Without making a judgement on the rights or wrongs of this particular situation, there are clearly much wider conversations about water consents that need to happen in drought prone areas – we’re only going to see more big dry spells in the future.


And also on the topic of water, Wellington’s water infrastructure is utterly screwed. This excellent piece from Stuff’s Joel Macmanus, which looks deeper than the recent leaks and at the wider poor condition of the system. Here’s a crazy stat about it all – a third of Wellington City Council’s budget is currently spent on water systems, and even that isn’t enough to maintain the existing system, let alone upgrade it. An estimated 20% of Wellington’s drinking water also gets lost to leaks before it gets to a tap. Meanwhile, the author of the Inside Wellington blog has argued that the city is at a point of crisis, and reading through his list of reasons, it’s hard to argue otherwise.


Chinese restaurants are suffering over stigma around the coronavirus, reports Alice Neville for The Spinoff. Some are even planning to close for a spell, with a massive decline in tour groups as well as locals choosing to stay away. Meanwhile, the lockdown continues for those in the Whangaparāoa quarantine camp – here’s a story from Newshub that describes the conditions.


From our partners at Z Energy: Madeleine Chapman meets the founders of EVolocity, who are using innovation, creativity and the incoming electric vehicle revolution to encourage kids into STEM education. The plan is to make that kind of learning accessible, hands-on, and fun, and to get the next generation thinking about how they can help shape the future.


A bit of housekeeping: I’ll be writing tomorrow’s Bulletin, but from Wednesday onwards I’m going to be on leave for about a week. The Bulletin World Weekly for members will take a break this week as a result. But here’s something to get excited about – The Bulletin will still be coming out, and in fact will be written by an all-star pairing of editor Toby Manhire and managing editor Duncan Greive. I for one am very much looking forward to reading their takes on the news.


Got some feedback about The Bulletin, or anything in the news? Drop us a line at thebulletin@thespinoff.co.nz

Right now on The Spinoff: group of experts from the University of Otago’s Department of Public Health write about what societal attitudes are needed as the coronavirus gets closer. Scotty Stevenson writes about the brilliant speech given by Israel Adesanya at the Halberg Awards. Sam Brooks looks ahead to the collaborative performances that are set to be a highlight of the NZ Festival of the Arts. The Spinoff Board of Review takes on the new chip butty put out by Burger King. Emily Writes reviews the, ahem, unsatisfying episode about orgasms from Gwyneth Paltrow’s Goop Lab tv show. Henry Burrell writes about Samsung bringing back flip-phones, and how it shows how few ways there are to improve phones in 2020.

And two strong pieces to share about the dismal end to Sir Bob Jones’ attempt to sue filmmaker Renae Maihi for defamation. Leonie Hayden reports that Sir Bob has dropped his case, bringing to an end a long legal saga for Maihi. And here is Leonie Hayden’s honestly held opinion about the matter, to which I need to add absolutely nothing except to say that it is a must-read.


For a feature today, a remarkable story about Nigerian government policy leading to a poultry farming craze. Writing in Mel Magazine, Hussein Kesvani has explored the bizarrely lucrative industry, which has caused huge changes in the economy. There’s an anecdote about everyone in Iceland who had been a fisherman getting into speculative finance before the GFC – as this excerpt shows, it’s almost like the opposite is happening here.

“I found out about poultry farming on a Facebook group I was in,” he tells me. “The group was about fast sports cars, but I saw that many members were posting about starting a chicken farm for less than [$100] and making thousands more in a few weeks. It felt like a blessing from God.”

At the time, Paul was earning good money working at a bank, but because he was looking after his sick parents, as well as multiple aunts, uncles and cousins, he was struggling to save money. Moreover, he tells me, “The finance sector is very unstable; you don’t know when you’ll lose your job.”


There are positive signs that New Zealand could get a team into the W-League, Australia’s premier women’s football competition. The NZ Herald’s Michael Burgess reports some real financial barriers remain, but the W-League is likely to add a team, and with a joint trans-Tasman bid in for the 2023 Women’s World Cup, now would be an excellent time to get some momentum going. One big sticking point for the concept though which could leave fans a bit cold – even a team primarily composed of NZ players would have to be based in Australia, as the rest of the W-League wouldn’t be able to afford to play regularly over this side of the ditch.

And it’s all over for the Breakers. As Newshub reports, it came in slightly absurd circumstances, with the Brisbane Bullets racking up a 36 point win over the Cairns Taipans to leap ahead on points difference for the final playoffs spot. Owner Matt Walsh ‘raised questions’ about such a remarkable result occuring, but it’s hard to ignore the idea that it was a season of turmoil with long stretches of mediocrity.


That’s it for The Bulletin. If you want to support the work we do at The Spinoff, please check out our membership programme.

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Winston Peters and Jacinda Ardern (Getty Images)
Winston Peters and Jacinda Ardern (Getty Images)

The BulletinFebruary 14, 2020

The Bulletin: Peters admits and denies involvement in journo smear

Winston Peters and Jacinda Ardern (Getty Images)
Winston Peters and Jacinda Ardern (Getty Images)

Good morning and welcome to The Bulletin. In today’s edition: Deputy PM both admits and denies involvement in smear on journos, new poll shows National have the numbers, and dozens of Te Kuiti sawmill jobs gone.

NZ First leader Winston Peters has admitted and also denied involvement in a hit job against journalists pursuing the NZ First Foundation donations story. Photographs of two journalists – Radio NZ’s Guyon Espiner and Stuff’s Matt Shand – were published on the BFD blog, while the journalists were in Tauranga to meet with former NZ First president Lester Gray, along with criticism of their stories and alleged motives for publishing them.

Last year Gray quit his role as party president, citing moral reasons, along with “a claim he has been kept in the dark over party expenditure and donations.” The NZ First Foundation story refers to allegations that money given to the Foundation was then laundered to the party itself, thus skipping donation laws. The matter is currently being investigated by the Serious Fraud Office.

So how does Winston Peters come into this all? Well, on Magic Talk (audio doesn’t appear to be online) Winston Peters told Peter Williams “we took the photograph, just to prove that’s the kind of behaviour going on.” What did he mean by ‘we’? Radio NZ followed up on that, and Peters told them that he didn’t know who took the photographs. He subsequently tweeted “NZF has no interest in following Mr Espiner or any other journalists. The very reverse applies. No private investigators have been engaged to follow Mr Espiner or anyone else. A supporter thought it odd seeing ex-president Lester Grey with Mr Espiner so took a photo.” There was no mention of why when Shand was photographed, he was alone and not with Grey at that moment.

As a sidenote, the BFD is a blog that effectively took over from Cameron Slater’s Whaleoil. For an elaboration on just how similar the sites are, read my story from August last year. In an incredible coincidence, the two sites even have the same phone number. And just on the relationship between Peters and Whaleoil, I’d love to draw your attention to his comments when Dirty Politics came out in 2014 – the Nicky Hager book detailing links between senior figures in the National party and attack pieces on political blogs like Whaleoil. For example, this Radio NZ story in which he accused National of using public money to attack private figures through the blog, or this NZ Herald story where he called for a Royal Commission into the allegations contained in Dirty Politics.

And I also want to recall another piece from that time – in fact it also involved Guyon Espiner. In 2014, Morning Report interviewed then-PM John Key about his MPs allegedly feeding information to blogs to be used for political attacks. Espiner repeatedly asked Key, with increasing vehemence, whether or not Key thought this sort of behaviour was okay. As The Spinoff’s Toby Manhire writes, this is a huge predicament for PM Jacinda Ardern. I for one would love to know if she thinks this sort of thing is okay. Unfortunately, as this Stuff story reports, she wasn’t willing to comment.


A brief message fromEmily Writes, Parents editor at The Spinoff

Stories for and about parenting often lack humanity. They generally treat new mothers in particular as if they can no longer think for themselves. I’m proud to be part of a media organisation that encourages us to see each other and celebrate our differences as new parents, rather than pit us against each other for ‘engagement’ in imaginary ‘mommy wars’. If you want to support writing that pushes boundaries and encourages seeing the world in a less insular way, then please support The Spinoff by joining as a member.


A new poll has come out showing National and ACT would have the numbers to govern, proving how close the margins are right now. The One News Colmar Brunton survey showed National with a clear lead over Labour, and ACT’s 2-3 projected MPs putting them over the top. Interestingly – and just like Newshub’s recent survey – it showed the Greens just making the threshold, and NZ First falling below it. National leader Simon Bridges is also climbing in the preferred PM stakes, having now hit double figures in the polls of both major TV news outlets – though Jacinda Ardern still has a whopping lead on that particular question.


Dozens of sawmill workers in Te Kuiti have been laid off, in what is a troubling example of the state of the industry. Stuff has reported comments from Spectrum Group’s Managing Director Wade Glass, who says the biggest problem facing the sawmill is the steady increase in pruned log prices. However, adding to that is the disruption caused by the coronavirus, and that’s something everyone in forestry is facing, given how important the Chinese market is. A sawmill in the nearby Waikato town of Putaruru also closed down earlier this year.


Another really strong piece to share about the state of Auckland’s water – this time focusing on why the beaches are so often dangerous to swim in. Metro’s Tess Nichol has looked at the state of the city’s infrastructure, along with the geography and weather patterns which combine to create the problem, along with what the Council is doing about fixing it. It’s a classic example of the consequences of the city growing way faster than anyone expected, coupled with local authorities spending decades trying to fix problems in an ad-hoc fashion, rather than a big picture approach.


Tackling homelessness has been the focus of a major new government initiative this week, with some serious money put towards it. Interest reports that $300 million all up will be spent on both creating 1000 new transitional housing places, and other particular targeted programmes. There are two important numbers for context. The first is 14,000 – that’s the number of households on the waiting list for public housing, a number which has blown out completely in the last several years. And the second is $48 million – that’s how much the government spent on emergency housing grants in the last quarter of last year, mostly on motels and hostels in the absence of anything else.


A really interesting report about candidate selection within the Labour Party. Newsroom’s Dileepa Fonseka reports that sitting Manurewa MP Louisa Wall could be taken out in a primary challenge, with two potential candidates in the frame to succeed her. Wall has held the seat since 2011, and enjoys massive majorities in both the candidate and party vote stakes. However, there are no guarantees in politics, and it will be fascinating to see who ends up taking the nomination into the election.


Got some feedback about The Bulletin, or anything in the news? Drop us a line at thebulletin@thespinoff.co.nz

Right now on The Spinoff: In her uniquely quixotic style, Madeleine Chapman reviews every dairy lolly in the country. Josie Adams defends the Auckland live music scene from attacks from the indie rock world. Hayden Donnell reviews the new flavours of Kiwi Onion Dip, finding them abominable. I’ve got a cheat sheet on the growing anger around the dross stored in Mataura, and whether mining giant Rio Tinto will help out in cleaning it up. Tara Ward looks back on the achievements of celebrity chef Jamie Oliver. Director Heperi Mita celebrates the achievements of Taika Waititi, and writes about what it means for indigenous creators.

And to my mind, the piece of the day is this remarkable essay by novelist Eamonn Marra. It’s about his new book, which follows a young man with depression – something that mirrors a lot of Marra’s own life. And the essay is a really thoughtful look at what exactly writing about depression serves, and why he doesn’t intend to keep writing about it.


For a feature today, a really interesting think piece on the commodification of online audiences. Writing on Overland, Ben Egliston and Marcus Carter have analysed the phenomenon of Twitch streaming, which is a platform that primarily exists for people to watch other people play video games. You’d be forgiven for not having heard of it, but it has become a pretty massive subculture. Why? Here’s an excerpt that gets into it.

So, how exactly is this labour mediated by Twitch? A viewer’s basic act of opening up a stream and watching it contributes to that particular stream’s view count – a small numerical aggregate of viewers displayed at the bottom of each stream, as well as on the Twitch stream directory. Viewercount is the default way that Twitch sorts streams for viewers. The viewer’s simple watching of a stream, then, contributes to a collective framing of how people feel, think about and engage with content. A larger viewer count might frame a stream as more lively, whereas a smaller viewercount might frame it as more intimate.

Twitch’s chat function is another way that audiences interact. A very busy chatroom might work similarly to the noise of a sports crowd in creating an atmosphere of excitement. The crowd of Twitch Chat creates a sense of ‘happening’, of vitality – of activity, excitement, frustration, elation, etc. This ‘noise’ is often layered into the broadcast by being superimposed over the top of the screen. The experience of watching a popular stream – such as an esports match – derives not only from the content of the stream, but also from the visibility of these audience practices, which allow the viewer to be fully taken up in the here and now of the event.


So the Halberg Awards are in, and the favourites have deservedly won. The Silver Ferns won both the supreme award, and team of the year, after their turnaround triumph at the World Cup in particular, reports the NZ Herald. Dame Noeline Taurua was also named coach of the year. Israel Adesanya and Sophie Pascoe also picked up major awards, and Lisa Carrington continued her annual tradition of being named sportswoman of the year – seriously, that’s four in a row now.


That’s it for The Bulletin. If you want to support the work we do at The Spinoff, please check out our membership programme.