It might be out with the alert levels and in with the traffic lights. (Horia Varlan/Flickr)
It might be out with the alert levels and in with the traffic lights. (Horia Varlan/Flickr)

The BulletinOctober 22, 2021

The future of Covid-19 restrictions

It might be out with the alert levels and in with the traffic lights. (Horia Varlan/Flickr)
It might be out with the alert levels and in with the traffic lights. (Horia Varlan/Flickr)

The prime minister will unveil a replacement for the alert level system today, but it likely won’t be implemented until vaccination levels rise significantly, Justin Giovannetti writes in The Bulletin.

A shift in how we deal with Covid. New Zealand’s four-tier alert level system has been a constant in the country’s response to Covid-19 since it was introduced last March. While it’s been tweaked over the past 20 months, the system has been easy to understand and flexible as the pandemic has shifted. All New Zealanders understand what level four means and yearn for level one.

As the delta outbreak has become permanent and vaccination levels have risen across the country, the alert system is entering its twilight. It was never meant to be permanent. Later this morning, the prime minister will unveil its eventual replacement, expected to be a “traffic light” system based on managing a virus that will remain with us for years to come.

Moving towards green, orange and red (or something else). Dubbed the “Covid-19 protection framework” by Jacinda Ardern earlier this week, the new system will be a significant milestone for the country’s pandemic future. Stuff revealed some of the broad details earlier this month, although some of the specifics may have changed since. Stuff reported that it could have a “green light” with few restrictions for the fully vaccinated; an “orange light” in areas where the virus is spreading and some precautions are needed; and a “red light” that puts limits on gatherings and travel. Note that all of this may have changed in recent days.

The scope of the plan may be significant. Not only will it need to deal with the future of lockdowns, but also where to use vaccine passports and the role of managed-isolation once the population is largely inoculated. The new system won’t be coming immediately, only after a “very high” vaccine threshold is reached, Ardern said on Monday.

12 big questions. For this edition of The Bulletin, here are a number of questions that will need to be answered today or in the near future about the new system. Consider it a checklist and keep it with you if you’re watching today’s announcement.

  • When will it kick in and will that be triggered by a vaccination target?
  • Will there be two vaccination targets: One for Māori and another for all New Zealanders?
  • Is there a plan B, in case we can’t reach those targets?
  • Does this mean the end of Covid lockdowns going forward?
  • Does it depend on a vaccine passport system being up and running?
  • Will this new system determine when schools open and if they close again?
  • If restrictions are set by region, how local will those regions be?
  • Can the system be introduced in Auckland while the rest of the country remains in elimination?
  • Will it also signal a significant change to border settings and MIQ this year?
  • Will it include rapid antigen testing requirements?
  • What does this mean for travelling between regions when restrictions change?
  • Will workplaces remain open even under the highest level setting?
  • Will the traffic light system provide detailed rules on using other people’s toilets?

The announcement of the new system is expected just after 10am.


This is part of The Bulletin, The Spinoff’s must-read daily news wrap. To sign up for free, simply enter your email address below

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Senior students will be back in Auckland classrooms from next week. (Getty Images)
Senior students will be back in Auckland classrooms from next week. (Getty Images)

The BulletinOctober 21, 2021

Schools to reopen in level three

Senior students will be back in Auckland classrooms from next week. (Getty Images)
Senior students will be back in Auckland classrooms from next week. (Getty Images)

Senior students will be heading back to class next week after two months of online schooling in Auckland, Justin Giovannetti writes in The Bulletin.

Auckland schools will reopen for senior students. Chris Hipkins, the education minister, unveiled plans yesterday allowing students in years 11, 12 and 13 to return to class in level three areas as of Tuesday, after labour weekend. According to The Spinoff’s live updates, face coverings will be required on staff and students, while NCEA and scholarship exams will proceed as usual in Auckland and Waikato. Students and staff will be expected to stay at least a metre apart. After weeks of online learning, the government is balancing the education needs of senior students with the expectation that most of them will be vaccinated. A plan for younger students is still being developed and could include outdoor education and rostered attendance.

“This is a complex issue requiring difficult trade-offs between improving education and increasing potential health risks for children and young people,” said Hipkins.

Principals have responded with relief and concern. Stuff reports that the Principals Federation says it would be untenable for years 1 through 10 to return to school when most are unvaccinated. It doesn’t expect school to return for that group until 2022. The principal of James Cook High School in Manurewa told Stuff that the decision had left him “very happy and also slightly vexed”. With the thumbs up coming on Wednesday, educators are left with only two working days to prepare for a challenging shift back to in-person education. There’s been no guidance for parents who might be concerned about sending their kids back or for students who have picked up jobs during the pandemic to support their families.

However, the secondary teachers’ union is angry. The president of the post primary teachers’ association said in a statement yesterday that they hadn’t been consulted and wouldn’t have supported the move, according to RNZ. The union has asked to see the public health advice supporting the move. “The government seems to have gone from acting out of an abundance of caution to a reckless disregard for the consequences in the blink of an eyelid,” said Melanie Webber, the union’s president. She said that vaccination levels just aren’t high enough among students to justify the move and the government’s guidelines on social distancing aren’t credible.

Experts have warned the move could increase case numbers. Dr Dion O’Neale, a principal investigator at Te Pūnaha Matatini, told the Science Media Centre that the move poses a significant risk as those students were the last age group to gain access to vaccines:

“In addition to new infections that will occur directly from interactions at schools, re-opening schools creates large numbers of indirect new connections between households from otherwise weakly-connected parts of the community. Modelling suggests that most of the extra infections from schools reopening will actually show up in non-school contexts as a result of students subsequently infecting other people in their households or in other community interactions.”

The government has veered away from investing in classroom air quality. As RNZ reports, countries around the world are installing high-efficiency filters in schools as a move to protect students. From Australia to the UK, the filters are being added to central air systems or, often, in stand-alone units that suck up a classroom’s air and purifies it. That won’t be happening in New Zealand, Hipkins confirmed yesterday. It would cost “hundreds of millions of dollars,” he said, when there’s a cheaper solution: “having all the windows and doors open in schools.”


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