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Henry George, an early proponent of land value taxes.
Henry George, an early proponent of land value taxes.

WellingtonJuly 15, 2024

Windbag: Why Wellington is considering a switch to land value rates

Henry George, an early proponent of land value taxes.
Henry George, an early proponent of land value taxes.

The internet’s favourite tax could soon be coming to the capital.

For people who care about the intricacies of building a better Wellington, there is no better place to be than the monthly Urbanerds drinks at Waitoa Social Club. Over a few hazy IPAs, hoardes of urban designers, engineers, analysts, activists, and several city councillors nerd out over the intricacies of transport and housing policies.

As a journalist covering this city, it’s invaluable. Whether they are professionals or just passionate citizens, everyone is deeply informed and interested in the implications of city decision-making. In a world where local government issues are mostly debated via angry Facebook comments or ill-informed talkback radio reckons, it’s refreshing.

Last Tuesday’s meetup featured a presentation from two people on different ends of the political spectrum: Jesse Richardson, co-founder of Common Ground Aotearoa, and Eric Crampton, chief economist at the New Zealand Initiative, who teamed up to pitch for land value tax. The relatively obscure tax switch is quickly growing in popularity, especially in urbanist circles. “Land value tax would solve this” has become a meme for how often the tax is vaunted as the solution to all the world’s ills.

Land value tax was popularised by Henry George, a 19th century political economist who proposed replacing all other taxes with a single tax on the unimproved value of land. Land value taxes get a bit messy when they include farmland, but are particularly good at encouraging density and efficient land use in cities. Wellington City Council is currently in the process of a rates review, and several councillors are keen to push for a switch to land value rates. A vote will probably come to the council table at some point next year.

Under the current system, councils charge rates based on the total value of the property, both land and buildings. It means a developed property, like an apartment building with ground floor retail, will pay significantly more rates than an empty section right next door – even though the apartment building is contributing more to the city around it.

There are two particularly glaring problems with Wellington’s current rating system, both of which could be addressed with land value rates.

The commercial differential

Commercial properties in Wellington pay rates that are 3.7 times higher than residential properties of the same value. It makes it harder for new shops, restaurants, or offices to stay afloat. It’s a far greater split than other New Zealand cities, which means Wellington is more economically hostile to businesses than Auckland or Christchurch (and frankly, it can’t afford to be).

There is a good intention behind the commercial differential. Office and retail spaces in the centre of town need bigger pipes, more trash collection and street cleaning. They also cater to about 40,000 commuters a day from Porirua or the Hutt, who use Wellington City Council services, but don’t contribute any rates. The commercial differential was supposed to cover some of those costs – but that’s of little reassurance to struggling business owners. The scheme is also quite poorly designed – it doesn’t just include the city centre, but also suburban businesses, who pay the higher costs but don’t benefit from the commuter influx.

It’s hard to address the commercial differential under the current system, because any reduction in business rates will have to be reapportioned to residents, which is politically untenable. A larger reform to a land value system could offer the chance to balance things out.

The absentee owner problem

Wellington, like all cities, wants land owners to build things to make the city better. But the current rating system sometimes incentivises the opposite. Owners of damaged buildings or surface level parking lots sometimes find it cheaper and more profitable to do nothing. The owner can just let it sit there, keeping the property value and rate cost as low as possible while enjoying the capital gains on the underlying land.

A 1914 billboard in Rockford, Ill. The “land value” tax movement known as Georgism was popular and influential during the late 19th and early 20th centuries. (Photos: New York Public Library)

Land value rates could encourage absentee owners to either do something with their land, or sell it to someone who will. The council already tried to address this with a new targeted rate on vacant land, which is five times higher than standard rates. But this is defined relatively narrowly and only applies to a few dozen properties across the city.

The biggest winners under a land value rates system would be apartment and townhouse owners. People in the outlying suburbs would benefit too, because a higher proportion of their property value comes from their home rather than the land. The losers would be anyone sitting on underdeveloped land. For residential ratepayers, this would mostly mean people who own low-density homes in high-value areas – such as a single-storey wooden villa in Mount Victoria or Thorndon. Basically, anywhere in the former “character areas“.

Mayor Tory Whanau isn’t thought to have an especially strong view on land value rates, but some of her biggest allies support the change, particularly councillor Rebecca Matthews. Any big adjustment to the rating system will undoubtedly prompt a political backlash from people who’ll end up paying more, but the upside is extraordinary. In one term, Whanau could have a legacy that includes radical upzoning through the District Plan, and a major overhaul of the rating system to encourage further density. It would be one of the most significant urbanist achievements of any mayor in New Zealand history.

‘Hutt Valley, Kāpiti, down to the south coast. Our Wellington coverage is powered by members.’
Joel MacManus
— Wellington editor
Keep going!
An AI rendering of what Customehouse Quay could be in the future. (Image: JLL)
An AI rendering of what Customehouse Quay could be in the future. (Image: JLL)

WellingtonJuly 12, 2024

Using AI to reimagine the streets of Wellington

An AI rendering of what Customehouse Quay could be in the future. (Image: JLL)
An AI rendering of what Customehouse Quay could be in the future. (Image: JLL)

Highways or boulevards? Car parks or plazas? The future of Wellington is only constrained by our imaginations, writes Jonathan Manns.

Cities exist to attract and retain people. Every street, park and piazza is shared by hundreds, thousands and sometimes millions of us. Whether inside or out, within buildings or between them, the experiences and connections of day-to-day life are all grounded in a sense of place.

All around us, our built environment is awash with opportunities and constraints. As an urbanism and real estate professional, these become easy to spot. Through practice, you learn the art of the possible. That doesn’t mean, however, that everyone will agree on how the form or function of this place or that should be adapted. Cities are negotiated spaces.

It is often the inability to imagine what places might look like in the future which causes people the greatest anxiety. Any form of change in our lives can feel difficult and daunting. It’s new and unknown. Where one person might see a transformative opportunity, another may perceive risk or loss. The way we perceive the world around us is highly personal and subjective. That’s why communicating change can be so difficult, but also why it’s so important.

For much of history, when we wanted to help ordinary people understand how a space could be improved, somebody would simply illustrate what a project might look like once it was complete. This is helpful, but can also be inaccurate and time-consuming. There was a big step forward in the early 2000s when CGI became more widely accessible. Images could be produced that were much more accurate and, eventually, almost photo-realistic. 

Challenges have nonetheless remained. Producing detailed CGIs is costly and specialised work. For this reason, they have tended to be done at quite a late stage in the design process. By the time you see a visualisation, key decisions will have already been made.

Today, as we make our cities fit for the 21st century, we have a new tool at our disposal, which could change everything: generative AI. With standard software, anyone can quickly and cheaply generate views of buildings, streets and places. They’re imperfect and you still need a human touch to get the last 20% right, but the software is only getting better. It can’t replicate the expertise and experience of professionals, but it can help us start conversations and democratise the process of building cities. Non-experts have a new way to engage with architecture, planning and design.

My team and I at Jones Lang LaSalle (JLL) used generative AI to reimagine the streets of Wellington. Here’s what we created with nothing more than an iPhone, the AI capabilities of Adobe Photoshop and Firefly, and a spare afternoon.

Lambton Quay

Wellington’s premium shopping street is home to a wide range of national and international brands and has recently seen a spate of new openings. There is also a good deal of space given over to vehicles. If cars, vans and buses were redirected, could it take inspiration from the world’s great walking streets?

Before

Lambton Quay as it is today. (Photo: JLL)

After

What Lambton Quay could be in the future. (Image: JLL)

Te Aro Park

Courtenay Place and Te Aro Park have been the centre of Wellington’s entertainment district for decades, but it’s no secret that the area has struggled in recent years. What might investment into a clean, safe and high-quality public realm look like?

Before

Aro Park as it is today. (Photo: JLL)

After

What Aro Park could be in the future. (Image: JLL)

Customhouse Quay

Thousands of cars travel along Customhouse Quay every day, but the six-lane highway dissects the capital’s central shopping and employment area from its greatest asset: the waterfront. Bars and museums are cut off from shops and offices. What if that traffic was tunneled, redirected or reduced, and the space was given over to a grand linear park?

Before

Customhouse Quay as it is today. (Photo: JLL)

After

What Customehouse Quay could be in the future. (Image: JLL)

Shed 1

A few decades ago, Wellington’s waterfront was a giant carpark and an industrial wasteland. That changed with the redevelopment in the late 1980s, but little has happened since the development of Clyde Quay Wharf in 2014. Shed 1 stands today as a former warehouse turned indoor sports facility. What might the site offer if redeveloped, for example, as serviced apartments?

Before

Shed 1 as it is today. (Photo: JLL)

After

What Shed 1 could be in the future. (Image: JLL)

Jonathan Manns is head of strategic advisory, government and public sector at global real estate services firm Jones Lang LaSalle (JLL) and an internationally recognised expert on urban planning and real estate development. All images are for illustrative purposes only.