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Director of health Ashley Bloomfield (Illustration: Simon Chesterman)
Director of health Ashley Bloomfield (Illustration: Simon Chesterman)

SocietyMay 5, 2020

Covid-19: New Zealand cases mapped and charted, May 5

Director of health Ashley Bloomfield (Illustration: Simon Chesterman)
Director of health Ashley Bloomfield (Illustration: Simon Chesterman)

The latest in our series of charts, graphics and data visualisations by Chris McDowall. David Garcia worked with Chris to create today’s charts.

This work is entirely funded by the generosity of The Spinoff Members, with support from the Science Media Centre

These posts collate the most recent statistics and present them as charts and maps. The Ministry of Health typically publishes data updates in the early afternoon, which describe the situation at 9am on the day of release. These data visualisations are interactive so use your mouse or thumb to hover over each graph for more detail.

For the second day running, there are no new cases of Covid-19 to report.

This afternoon’s Ministry of Health figures report that the total number of confirmed and probable Covid-19 cases is down one to 1,487 (1,137 confirmed and 349 probable). The decrease is due to a probable case getting downgraded to “not a case” status. A total of 1,302 people have recovered, which is an increase of 26 since yesterday. No deaths related to Covid-19 were reported overnight.

The number of significant clusters with 10 or more cases remains at 16. In 13 of these clusters transmission is treated as still potentially ongoing, while three clusters have been closed. There are four people in hospital, which is a decrease of four since yesterday. There are no known Covid-19 cases in intensive care units.

Yesterday, 3,232 tests were processed. The ministry reported averaging 4,266 Covid-19 lab tests per day during the week ending May 3. A total of 155,928 lab tests have been conducted since January 22. There are 58,014 test supplies in stock.

This chart compares active and recovered cases. Active cases are confirmed or probable cases of Covid-19 where the person has neither recovered nor died. Recovered cases are people who were once an active case, but are at least 10 days since onset and have not exhibited any symptoms for 48 hours.

The overall downward trend of active case counts that started around April 8 continues. Note how the blue curve is levelling off, while the purple bars continue to decline. This means there are very few new cases being reported while existing cases steadily recover.

This table shows the number of active cases, recovered people and deaths in each area. Whanganui, Wairarapa, Tairāwhiti and West Coast continue to have no active cases. The largest number of active cases are in Waitamatā (33), Canterbury (29), Auckland (24) and Waikato (21).

You can sort the table’s rows by clicking on the column titles.

The symbol map shows confirmed and probable Covid-19 cases arranged by district health board. In keeping with the lack of new cases, there is no change in regional counts. Waitematā (no change at 228), Southern (no change at 216), Waikato (no change at 186) and Auckland (down one to 177) are the four district health boards with the largest number of active cases.

The decrease in Auckland is due to a previously probable case getting reclassified as not a case.

Of New Zealand’s 16 significant clusters, 13 remain under investigation for ongoing transmission by the Ministry of Health. Five cases were associated with the St Margaret’s cluster overnight.

This chart shows the number of active, recovered and deaths associated with each cluster. The ministry has not released formal counts associating deceased persons with clusters. Instead, we compiled these numbers from ministry media releases about each case.

In most clusters, the number of recovered cases outweighs the number of active cases. Two aged residential care facility clusters buck this trend. The St Margaret’s cluster has 22 active cases and 18 people who have recovered. The Rosewood aged care cluster in Christchurch has equal numbers of active and recovered cases.

Three significant clusters have been closed. Closing a cluster signifies that the ministry is confident there is no longer transmission of the virus within, or associated with the cluster. A cluster can be closed after 28 consecutive days pass since the most recent onset date of a reported case. This period corresponds to two incubation periods for the virus.

This chart shows cases by the date they were first entered into EpiSurv, ESR’s public health surveillance system. Note that the number of cases reported on a particular date may not match the number of cases reported in the last 24 hours. This is because the number of confirmed and probable cases reported in the last 24 hours includes cases that were entered on an earlier date as “under investigation” or “suspected” whose status has now been changed to confirmed or probable.

Keep going!
Armed police during a raid on the Headhunters gang in 2015 (Photo: Getty Images)
Armed police during a raid on the Headhunters gang in 2015 (Photo: Getty Images)

OPINIONSocietyMay 5, 2020

For the sake of all minority communities, don’t bring armed response policing back

Armed police during a raid on the Headhunters gang in 2015 (Photo: Getty Images)
Armed police during a raid on the Headhunters gang in 2015 (Photo: Getty Images)

The six-month trial of police armed response teams, introduced in the wake of the Christchurch attacks, ended on Sunday. An evaluation is expected in June, but we don’t need to wait until then to know that routinely arming police isn’t the solution, says Anjum Rahman.

On dark winter nights last year, I went to the mosque regularly for Ramadan, as I do every year. What was different in 2019 were the armed police officers standing outside the mosque. I can’t identify guns, but I knew they weren’t carrying pistols or rifles. These were serious weapons.

I’d see the officers every night in the cold, wet weather. Away from their homes and families. When I could, I would thank them for being there and providing comfort to a community that still hadn’t recovered from the tragedy earlier that year. The officers were there because of a specific event and an unknown threat to a specific community.

There are times when police should be armed, and I would never argue otherwise. The Armed Response Teams (ARTs), however, are another matter.

In November 2019 when police started a trial of armed police roaming Counties Manukau, Waikato and Christchurch, then-police commissioner Mike Bush gave this as an explanation: “Following the events of March 15 in Christchurch, our operating environment has changed.”

That the police used the mosque attacks as a reason to arm themselves left me dismayed. While we in the Muslim community knew that there was still a lot of hostility towards us, I didn’t believe then – nor do I believe now – that armed police are the solution.

That is not to say that the Muslim community as a whole was opposed to the idea. Many Muslims supported the trials, but I wonder if they took into consideration that those in the Māori and Pasifika communities are the ones who face the brunt of aggressive policing. By tying ARTs to the Muslim community, the police helped create a wedge between our community and theirs.

There is bias against Māori in the justice system, as recent research by Just Speak shows. In the last 10 years, 33 of the 48 people shot by police were people of colour. The Mental Health Foundation, in its letter to the minister of police protesting the armed trials, cited the higher use of tasers against people with mental health than against rest of the population. That same discrepancy is likely to occur when police are more routinely armed.

I’m absolutely certain that the majority of the Muslim community would not want to have an attack against them used as a reason for potentially higher levels of violence against other communities.

Already children in some neighbourhoods are fearful at the sight of armed police in their streets. And it turned out that ARTs were not just used for “responding to events where a significant risk is posed to the public or staff” and supporting “the execution of pre-planned and high-risk search warrants, high-profile public events and prevention activities”, as the official guidelines state.

Rather, the police acknowledged that the teams were used for routine policing, including “a lot of traffic stops”. At a time when police are seeking greater restrictions on gun use by the public through the Arms Legislation Bill, it’s hypocritical that they are increasing their own freedom to use them.

Armed police will not make our communities safer, although officers may feel safer in the shorter term. The likelihood is that the community is more likely to arm themselves in response.

But more than that, increased community safety or police safety is not achieved by force of arms. It is achieved by building community relationships. Rather than closing local police stations, rather than removing officers from local communities, we need police to be present and active in neighbourhoods. This requires a much higher level of resourcing and investment.

More importantly, if we want our communities and our police to be safe, we need to be looking after the basics: ensuring children have three meals a day and that their parents have a fair wage and secure employment; access to affordable housing and quality education; the ability to express one’s own individual identity without discrimination or exclusion.

That police feel the need to arm themselves shows that society has failed in providing these things. A crime prevention strategy will not work until government connects all of these factors.

For now, the trials have been put on hold until they have been reviewed. This is good news, but until there is certainty police will not be regularly armed in the future, cause for concern remains.

The Muslim community is still not feeling safe, a year on from the horrific mosque attacks. We need the police, and are in regular contact with them, given the risks coming up this year with the sentencing of the accused, the Royal Commission report into the attacks, and the general election. We are reliant on the police doing their jobs well, in connection with our intelligence agencies. They have been responsive and engaged with community leaders, and we thank them deeply for their work.

Even so, it is our duty to advocate beyond our own community. To show solidarity with those who are adversely affected by ARTs and to speak where we have the opportunity. We do want our police to be safe. But arming them is not the answer.