Road between Ōwhiro Bay and Island Bay (Photo: RNZ / Supplied / Grant Maiden)
Road between Ōwhiro Bay and Island Bay (Photo: RNZ / Supplied / Grant Maiden)

The BulletinMay 3, 2022

Sea level rise reality hits home

Road between Ōwhiro Bay and Island Bay (Photo: RNZ / Supplied / Grant Maiden)
Road between Ōwhiro Bay and Island Bay (Photo: RNZ / Supplied / Grant Maiden)

Data showing sea level rise will occur twice as fast as expected puts climate change on front page writes, Anna Rawhiti-Connell in The Bulletin.

 

Sea level rise will occur much faster than we thought  

NZ SeaRise, a five-year research project led by scientists at Victoria University of Wellington published a tool yesterday that allows you to see exactly which areas will be affected by sea level rises. The tool was accompanied by a report that told us sea levels are rising twice as fast as expected. In some places,​​ 30cm of sea level rise isn’t 40-50 years away, but 10-20. One of the report’s biggest findings is that we will be impacted by sea level rises because parts of the country are sinking.

Climate change impact hits home and the headlines

The story led the 6pm bulletin on Newshub on Sunday night and maintained prominence across New Zealand news sites and bulletins throughout yesterday. “SeaRise NZ” was sitting at number one on Google’s daily search trend list for May 2 in New Zealand this morning. We’ve had plenty of stories about adverse weather events caused by climate change before but there is something powerful about being able to see how it will affect your own area or home. Before the new tool was launched the ODT published an editorial saying it was time to agree that climate change is actually happening and get on with doing something about it.

Site experiences heavy traffic 

The site was very popular when it launched yesterday morning, but was having some problems yesterday. Project co-leader Tim Naish believed the site was the target of a cyber attack. Climate change editor Eloise Gibson and data journalist Felippe Rodrigues at Stuff have also used the data to build a great interactive map where you can see the impact of sea level rise at a regional level.

$17bn of property expected to be uninsurable in next few decades

Tom Logan, an assistant professor at the University of Canterbury, has taken a look at who might pay if your property is impacted by rising sea levels. Not the insurance companies, he says. Logan says “you’ll likely lose all private insurance once the chance [of coastal damage] rises to 5% which is now anticipated to be less than 25 years away”. Following the launch of the draft National Adaptation Plan last week, Insurance Council chief executive Tim Grafton said the risk of climate change is “a risk management problem that goes well beyond the role of insurance.” Consultation on that draft plan ends on June 3. Toby Manhire spoke to an Ōwhiro Bay local about what’s needed by those who may lose their homes.

Keep going!
Assistant Police Commissioner Richard Chambers (Photo: RNZ / Samuel Rillstone)
Assistant Police Commissioner Richard Chambers (Photo: RNZ / Samuel Rillstone)

The BulletinMay 2, 2022

Getting smart on youth crime

Assistant Police Commissioner Richard Chambers (Photo: RNZ / Samuel Rillstone)
Assistant Police Commissioner Richard Chambers (Photo: RNZ / Samuel Rillstone)

An increase in ram raids has encouraged a belief that youth crime is out of control but experts say it’s not a result of “being soft on crime”, writes Anna Rawhiti-Connell in The Bulletin.

 

Do ram raids point to rising youth crime rates? 

It’s been impossible to read the news recently without encountering a story about ram raids. I got eight pages into a Google news search and still hadn’t hit the end of coverage. It can lead to an assumption that youth crime rates are rising. Stuff’s Katie Doyle took a look at that question and found that they’re not. Overall, youth crime rates are down 63-65% between 2010/11 and 2020/21. But the police have said those involved in ram raids are under 20 and youth advocates are concerned. Jack Tame spoke to one of the authors of a report on youth offenders, clinical psychologist Ian Lambie, on Q&A on Sunday.

The risk of moral panic amid calls for a punitive approach

Tame asked Lambie whether there was risk of a “moral panic” around ram raids, resulting in calls for a punitive approach. Lambie said yes. During a panel discussion on The Nation on Saturday, executive producer of The Hui Annabelle Lee-Mather said “It’s important that we don’t over blow it into this huge community issue when actually there’s plenty more rangatahi in our communities doing awesome mahi.” Youth workers have cautioned against a punitive approach saying these kids are living in poverty and often have ​​fetal alcohol spectrum disorders and other disabilities. Police minister Poto Williams said it requires a “whole of society” approach after the children’s commissioner called on the government to intervene.

We’re not “soft on crime”, but we need to be smart on crime

National party police spokesperson Mark Mitchell said the ram raids are due to the government being “soft on crime”. Lambie disagreed in his Q&A interview saying we’re not soft on crime but that we need to get smart on crime. Christopher Luxon addressed his party’s Canterbury Westland regional conference on Saturday. When asked about his approach to the problem, he laid out a three-step plan that included police reviewing its pursuit policy and a gang task force. He also drew a line between truancy and youth violence. Oranga Tamariki confirmed that most involved in ram raids are not attending school.

Truancy plan launched in pre-budget announcement 

In a pre-budget announcement on Sunday afternoon, education minister Chris Hipkins announced a $88m commitment to reduce truancy rates. Figures from term two this year show 40% of kids aren’t attending school regularly, up 10% on 2015. An inquiry into school attendance was launched in July last year and the report from the education and work committee was released in March. The report recommended that the government develop a school attendance strategy and set targets for regular school attendance of 70% by 2024 and 75% by 2026.