Paul Goldsmith and Stephen Rainbow stand in front of a pink background with the "NZ Human Rights" logo. One wears a blue suit and glasses, the other a leather jacket and glasses.
Paul Goldsmith and Stephen Rainbow

PoliticsNovember 5, 2024

‘I didn’t get the HRC job’: Stephen Rainbow’s Human Rights Commission appointment just got weirder

Paul Goldsmith and Stephen Rainbow stand in front of a pink background with the "NZ Human Rights" logo. One wears a blue suit and glasses, the other a leather jacket and glasses.
Paul Goldsmith and Stephen Rainbow

New messages released under the OIA show Rainbow acknowledged he ‘didn’t get the HRC job’ – then suddenly he did. Madeleine Chapman reports.

“I didn’t get the HRC role but still very keen to help out,” wrote Stephen Rainbow to Act Party chief of staff Andrew Ketels in a text message on May 22 this year. Rainbow had applied for the position of chief human rights commissioner, after being nominated by Act leader David Seymour, and been interviewed for the job in March. He did not receive a text back from Ketels.

But nearly three months later, Ketels did text. “Congratulations!” On that day, Rainbow had been announced by justice minister Paul Goldsmith as the new chief human rights commissioner. “Thanks Andrew,” Rainbow replied. “Appreciate the opportunity to serve my country.” He is due to start in his role at the commission next week.

So how did a man apply for a job, not get shortlisted for an interview by the independent assessment panel, get added to the shortlist by Goldsmith, have an interview, be “not recommended” by the panel, be at the very least under the impression he did not get the job, then somehow find himself three months later with that very job?

A screenshot of a text exchange. Message from May 22 mentions Audrey Young Andrew, HRC role, and Stephen Rainbow. The reply on August 16 congratulates, followed by thanks expressing appreciation for serving the country. Background is pink.

‘A gay human rights commissioner’

In early December 2023, Rainbow noticed the Act Party facing a lot of pushback. There were Toitū te Tiriti protests around the country, tense question lines in the House, and NZ First overtaking them in a recent poll. Act’s Treaty Principles Bill, among other policies, was facing intense scrutiny.

On December 7, Act MP Todd Stephenson sent out a press release responding to HRC’s appointment of Julia Whaipooti as a “shared leader” alongside chief executive Meg de Ronde. “Act has long said the people at the Human Rights Commission are left-wing activists masquerading as politically-neutral bureaucrats. There’s no denying it now,” he said. “The Commission continues to exploit precious taxpayer resources to promote co-governance, and has previously campaigned in support of benefit hikes, a ‘living wage’, and restrictions on speech.”

Stephenson then proposed a solution: “The tidiest course of action is to abolish the Commission entirely, commit to political neutrality in the public sector, and leave ideological debates to elected representatives.”

Enter: Stephen Rainbow. It’s unclear what Rainbow’s relationship to the party or to David Seymour was in December 2023, but he was keen to help. He sent a text to Ketels. “Andrew, Stephen Rainbow here. The pushback you guys are facing is not unexpected, but still incredible. Am keen to help if you’re needing any assistance – a gay Human Rights Commissioner for example [cry laughing emoji]. Merry Xmas!”

Text message on a pink background: "Andrew, Stephen Rainbow here. The pushback you guys are facing is not unexpected, but still incredible. Am keen to help if you're needing any assistance - a gay Human Rights Commissioner for example (😁). Merry Xmas!.

The nomination

On January 29, after Goldsmith invited the coalition parties to nominate candidates for three Human Rights Commission roles, Ketels got back in touch with Rainbow via email. “David [Seymour] is keen to nominate you for the position of Chief Human Rights Commissioner,” he wrote. “If you are interested, would you like to resend me a CV that reflects the requirements of the position?”

On February 5, Rainbow submitted his CV and an expression of interest addressed to Seymour.

“It seems New Zealand has reached something of a crossroads,” the letter began. “The need for wise heads and upholders of the ‘harmonious relations’ that the 1993 Human Rights Act aspired to is greater than ever.

“My CV may not adequately convey, however, the extent of my personal commitment to human rights.” Rainbow goes on to note his advocacy work for same-sex-attracted people, and notes that he has “written and blogged extensively on some of the challenges same-sex attracted people face”.

The majority of the letter is dedicated to Rainbow’s life and the ways it “has been touched profoundly by people who have been the victims of the non-existence of human rights”. Those people include a number of partners, past and present, who were born or had family in other countries where human rights breaches had occurred.

Rainbow ends the letter with a wish to “explore how my experience could contribute to ensuring the new Chief Human Rights Commissioner rebuilds trust in this role and its critical part in ensuring New Zealand’s commitment to the upholding of civilised values”.

Attached is Rainbow’s extensive CV, including roles as a councillor, general manager, project manager, chief of staff and stakeholder engagement manager. As Rainbow noted, the CV does not convey any experience in human rights or legal work.

In sending through his application, Rainbow commiserated with Ketels on what “must be a challenging time for your office and David as you head into Waitangi Day, so all strength to your team” and said he remained “keen on any other opportunities to assist the new government. Kia kaha.”

The shortlist and interview

As previously reported by The Spinoff, Rainbow was one of 12 candidates considered for the role of chief human rights commissioner. Five were shortlisted. Rainbow was not one of them. Goldsmith then requested that Rainbow be added to the shortlist and interviewed. After the interviews, the panel graded each candidate, marking two as “highly appointable” and three (including Rainbow) as “not recommended”. This was in the final week of March.

In a briefing to the minister from acting chief legal council Edrick Child, it’s noted that “the panel report makes the point strongly that a number of the appointment criteria indicate the role may be more naturally suited to a lawyer, but that is not a requirement of the legislation”.

“Dr Rainbow is not a lawyer but he clearly has an able intellect and his experience as a legislator gives him a useful background for considering legal issues.”

Goldsmith would later acknowledge that this information was incorrect. Rainbow has no experience as a legislator.

‘I didn’t get the HRC job’

The Spinoff has not viewed any communications between the Ministry of Justice and Rainbow stating that he was unsuccessful in his application for chief human rights commissioner. However, in messages obtained through the Official Information Act and seen by The Spinoff, Rainbow sent a text to Ketels in May to inform him that he “didn’t get the HRC job”.

Somewhere between May 22 and August 16, Rainbow went from being an unsuccessful, “not recommended” candidate, to being the successful candidate. Previous questions put to the justice minister about the qualifications and appointment of Rainbow received a brief response that the panel simply recommends candidates, it doesn’t appoint them.

“The panel put emphasis on academic qualifications, whereas I think it’s more important that we have individuals that can communicate ideas well,” said Goldsmith.

Know more? madeleine@thespinoff.co.nz

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Madeleine Chapman
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Keep going!
Kamala Harris and Donald Trump in the final days of the campaign. (Photos: Tasos Katopodis and Chip Somodevilla/ Getty Images)
Kamala Harris and Donald Trump in the final days of the campaign. (Photos: Tasos Katopodis and Chip Somodevilla/ Getty Images)

PoliticsNovember 5, 2024

When will we know the US election results in New Zealand?

Kamala Harris and Donald Trump in the final days of the campaign. (Photos: Tasos Katopodis and Chip Somodevilla/ Getty Images)
Kamala Harris and Donald Trump in the final days of the campaign. (Photos: Tasos Katopodis and Chip Somodevilla/ Getty Images)

And everything else you need to know about timings, where and what to watch in our user’s guide to the Trump v Harris big day(s).

For the latest on election day in America, jump on the live updates here.

One ancient candidate ejected after a catastrophic debate performance, another shot in the head in a horrific, failed assassination attempt. Racism, misogyny, plausible claims of fascistic tendencies. Many, many cats – whether owned by ladies or (falsely claimed to be) eaten by immigrants. Yes, it’s been a quiet time over recent months, with the gusset of democracy in the free world stretched to splitting point, and at last we are at the end. Or the end, at least, of the campaign, which marks the start of things unknown

Say, can you see, by the dawn’s early light? Yes, it’s election day in America, with Donald Trump and Kamala Harris vying to become president. Does that star-spangled banner yet wave o’er the land of the free and the home of the brave? We’re about to find out. Here’s everything you need to know.

When is election day in America in New Zealand?

A clumsy question, but an important one. Federal elections are held in the United States on the first Tuesday after the first Monday in November. Which in effect means the first Tuesday in November unless that Tuesday is November 1. 

New Zealand, however, is advanced. That is, we’re currently 16 to 23 hours ahead of the various slices of the US. Which means, essentially, in New Zealand, the US election is the first Wednesday after the first Tuesday after the first Monday in November. 

So America’s election day, Tuesday November 5, happens almost entirely on Wednesday November 6 in New Zealand. 

When do the first polls close?

Polls close in parts of Indiana and Kentucky from noon in New Zealand on Wednesday (6pm Tuesday Eastern Time), but 7pm ET (1pm on Wednesday in NZ) is the time to set your alarm for the first polls closing across six states. Among them is the swing state (AKA “battleground seat”) of Georgia, with its 16 electoral college votes. 

And the other swing states?

In North Carolina polls close at 7.30pm ET (1.30pm NZ Wed), with Pennsylvania and almost all of Michigan at 8pm ET (2pm NZ). Wisconsin and Arizona: 9pm ET (3pm NZ). And in Nevada the polls slam shut like a pawn shop grill at 10pm ET, or 4pm on Wednesday afternoon in New Zealand.

What’s the latest polling in those swing states?

At time of publication the polling average (per 538) has Trump ahead by a whisker in Arizona, Georgia, Nevada and North Carolina and Harris by a wafer in Michigan and Wisconsin. Pennsylvania – which would be the deciding factor if the numbers above were to bear out along with all the other polling averages – is all square. 

Though almost all the focus has been on the seven states, others could swing. For example, a poll (by a gold-standard pollster) in Iowa on Sunday threw the cat among the cornfield pigeons by suggesting Harris had a three-point lead in the state Trump won in 2016 and 2020. 

When will the first states be called? 

The first calls are likely to come in early afternoon on Wednesday in New Zealand, but these will be safe states – considered safe territory for one or other candidate. As for the swing states, which are expected to determine the overall result, should, say, North Carolina or Georgia break overwhelmingly in one direction or another, it’s possible they might get called mid-afternoon but don’t count on it. We’ll come back to all this in a bit. 

Can I watch the election on TV or streaming in New Zealand?

Yes you can. If you’re a Sky subscriber you can (package permitting) tune in to CNN, Fox News, BBC News or Al Jazeera. The latter is also on Freeview. 

The geoblocks are expected to be off on the big US networks’ rolling coverage via YouTube, too. Get your ABC coverage here. CBS YouTube is here. You’ll find NBC here. CNN’s YouTube stream is here. Fox News should be here. MSNBC will have a camera (and livestream) trained on Steve Kornacki all night. PBS will be livestreaming here. Sky News? Here. The Washington Post is promising video coverage here.

For something different, a Rest Is Politics podcast supergroup, Alastair Campbell, Rory Stewart and Anthony Scaramucci, are marathon livestreaming results on YouTube from the US alongside stablemates Marina Hyde (The Rest Is Entertainment) and Dominic Sandbrook (The Rest Is History).

And will there be any liveblog coverage of the election day?

Yes. One media outlet is liveblogging the election. Here.

Donald Trump watches a video featuring Kamala Harris at a campaign rally in October. (Photo: Win McNamee/Getty Images)

How soon could we know the result?

If it was quickly apparent that Trump was winning in all seven swing states (and polling guru Nate Silver says there’s a 20%-plus chance he does that), experts could be ready to announce President Trump 2.0 by the end of the working day in New Zealand on Wednesday. Trump, needless to say, could declare himself the victor even if it’s a long way from assured. 

And how long could it take to get a result?

Plenty of experts have warned that this one could really drag out. The rules on counting ballots differ around the country. In Wisconsin and Pennsylvania, for example, counting of early votes cannot begin until election day. With reports of plentiful early voting in this race, that could push things back. Pennsylvania is broadly considered the most critical of the swing states. In 2020, it took four days for the networks to have enough information to call which way those previous electoral college votes (then 20, now 19) were going. It was only then they were confident enough to call the election result as a whole. 

And given how close and definitive it and the other swing states may be, recounts could drag out in hours and days. Next come the lawyers. It’s pretty much guaranteed that the courts will see a flurry of activity.  

Key media outlets didn’t “call” the 2020 election for four days. In 2000, the presidency rested on the result in Florida, which came down to just over 500 votes out of six million cast; it took more than a month of legal battle and extended discourse on hanging and dimpled chads for George W Bush to emerge the winner. 

Who “calls” the election, anyway?

Five television networks – NBC, ABC, CBS, Fox and CNN – and the Associated Press newswire have teams of experts that they like to call “decision desks” or similar, all crunching the numbers from exit polls, advance votes, different booths and lining them up against historic data. They’ll project a result along the way and, when sufficiently confident that an unequivocal winner has emerged, they’ll “call” the state for the Democrats or Republicans. AP explains its process helpfully here.

It’s important to note that these “calls” have no formal authority. In 2000, pretty much all of them called Florida for Al Gore. The courts ultimately said that was wrong. 

Campaign staff move a sign before a Donald Trump rally in Georgia. (Photo: Kevin Dietsch/Getty Images)

Aren’t those networks influenced by their leanings?

The calling of elections is considered sacrosanct and impervious to any outlet bias or preference. That was best evidenced last time around, when Fox News called Arizona for the Democrats, shortly before midnight Eastern Time (at 5.20pm NZT) with more than a quarter of votes yet to be counted, prompting Trump and his camp to go nuclear. AP called it a few hours later; the others (NBC, ABC, CBS and CNN) didn’t call it for another nine days, by which point it was not material to the outcome. 

So who officially decides the election result?

If there was a clear winner, you’d expect the loser to concede as soon as that clarity emerged. Don’t hold your breath. 

As far as “official results” go, there is no national US organisation that oversees elections in the style of, for example, the NZ Electoral Commission. Instead, voters are strictly electing “electors”, who as part of the electoral college place their respective college votes in accordance with the people’s wishes. (In all but two states, all electoral college votes are winner-takes-all.) 

Those who defy that norm are considered “faithless electors” – at the last election the supreme court ruled that it was unconstitutional for these electors to exercise discretion. 

Following a lengthy and esoteric process, Congress meets on January 6 to formally certify the result. That’s typically a formality, but you may remember 2021, when Donald Trump, contesting the result, urged Congress to deny Joe Biden’s victory. He was furious at Mike Pence, then vice president overseeing the vote, for refusing his instruction to “overturn the election”. That was the day a Trump-supporting mob, at his encouragement, stormed the Capitol. 

What if it’s a draw?

Unlikely but not impossible, a 269-269 tie would trigger a “contingent election”. In that scenario, each state would get one vote, to be apportioned by members of the House of Representatives. The vice president would be chosen by a vote of the Senate. 

One grimly tantalising outcome in such a situation would be a red-blue combo. If the current Congress balance were to remain the same, for example, you could see a President Donald Trump and a Vice President Tim Walz.

How could control in Congress change?

Substantially. In the House, terms are two years – so all 435 spots go to election this week. In the Senate, the term is six years, and 34 of the 100 spots are up for grabs. As it stands, Republicans have a small majority in the House and Democrats a slim advantage in the Senate, so both are in play.

The makeup of the two bodies in the legislative branch profoundly impacts a president’s ability to implement policy and raise funds

Is there anything else on the ballot? 

Yes, there is an eye-watering heap of down-ticket action, depending on where the voter happens to be. State legislatures. Governors (which gives us an opportunity to say gubernatorial – there are 13 gubernatorial races this week). Also up for election are would-be attorneys general, prosecutors, sheriffs and mayors – the lifeblood of American screen drama. Not to forget state courts, election officials and school boards. And a veritable truckload of referendums. Ten states have questions on the ballot involving abortion. A handful have drug law plebiscites. Elsewhere there’s everything from banning trophy hunting (Colorado) to a new state flag design (Maine). The best summary of it all is at Bolts

November 5! Is Guy Fawkes Night a thing in the US?

Not really, no. If you see any fireworks on November 5 in America, they’re most likely in celebration. 

Bonfires? 

Insurrection, probably.

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Toby Manhire
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