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Joe Biden delivers a farewell address to the nation (Photo by Demetrius Freeman/The Washington Post via Getty Images)
Joe Biden delivers a farewell address to the nation (Photo by Demetrius Freeman/The Washington Post via Getty Images)

The BulletinJanuary 17, 2025

Biden prepares to leave the White House. Will Gaza ceasefire seal his legacy?

Joe Biden delivers a farewell address to the nation (Photo by Demetrius Freeman/The Washington Post via Getty Images)
Joe Biden delivers a farewell address to the nation (Photo by Demetrius Freeman/The Washington Post via Getty Images)

The outgoing and incoming presidents have both claimed credit for the historic deal, writes Stewart Sowman-Lund for The Bulletin.

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Biden delivers his final address

We’ve made it to the end of our first week back – how are we all doing? This morning, we’re going to turn our attention internationally. In just a few days time, power will once again shift hands in the United States as the Biden administration comes to a close and the second Trump administration begins. Outgoing president Joe Biden delivered his final White House address yesterday, reported the The Guardian’s Joseph Gedeon, warning Americans that an “oligarchy [of] extreme wealth, power and influence” was taking shape in the United States, a remark likely aimed at billionaires such as Elon Musk. In a direct reference to his successor, Donald Trump, Biden argued that no president should be immune from prosecution for crimes committed while in office.

Monday, the day of the inauguration, brings to a close a half century political career for Joe Biden and a presidency that began amid a pandemic, which feels like a lifetime ago. It ends after a single term, with Biden giving up his bid for reelection and moving somewhat into the background during the election campaign.

Who can claim credit for Gaza deal?

But Biden has pledged not to stay silent once he’s out of the White House. His final speech attempted to highlight his administration’s achievements, from job growth to progress on climate legislation. And, in news that broke shortly before Biden’s address, a major breakthrough in addressing conflict in the Middle East with a ceasefire deal in Gaza. The Spinoff’s Catherine McGregor explained the intricacies of this in yesterday’s World Bulletin, available for Spinoff Members, writing that the first stage of agreement will last for 42 days and include the withdrawal of Israeli forces from densely populated areas and the exchange of hostages and prisoners.

Whether or not the history books will see the ceasefire as a Biden victory or a Trump success remains to be seen – though it may be too little too late for the outgoing president to be remembered for this success. Israel’s prime minister Benjamin Netanyahu has already suggested there are issues with the deal. Both the outgoing and incoming US presidents have claimed they were responsible for brokering the deal, though in reality it appears to have been a bit of both, as The Guardian’s Andrew Roth looks at here. CNN reports a Biden official as saying that cooperation between the two administrations was “almost unprecedented”, though that hasn’t stopped the presidents from bickering. As the BBC reported, while Biden claimed both his team and that of Donald Trump had acted as one during negotiations, he wasn’t going to let his successor take responsibility. “Is that a joke?” Biden said, after a reporter asked who should claim credit. Trump was equally as defiant on his social media platform, Truth Social. “This EPIC ceasefire agreement could have only happened as a result of our Historic Victory in November,” he wrote (capitalisations his own).

Cautious optimism in New Zealand

Here in Aotearoa, there is said to be cautious optimism among Israeli and Palestinian communities of what the deal may mean, reported RNZ’s Lauren Crimp. Representatives from both the Justice for Palestine group and the NZ Jewish Council weren’t confident either side would continue to honour the ceasefire. Foreign minister Winston Peters welcomed the news, saying that New Zealand may support humanitarian aid efforts in Gaza. “A serious analysis is required before we can do all that much ourselves, and other agencies better placed and nearer the situation will be of help, so these are things we’ve got to work on in the next few days,” he said.

Impact of presidency unknown

Regardless of who is remembered for helping to broker the ceasefire, a pause in the conflict will undoubtedly give Trump a political boost at the start of his second round in office. It will allow him to focus his attention instead on domestic issues, of which he has promised to tackle several from day one (possibly including a reversal of the proposed TikTok ban). Here in New Zealand, the impacts of the next Trump administration have already been felt through a drop in our dollar when compared to the US economy. The effect of Trump’s proposed tariffs depends on how hard the incoming president goes on actually implementing them, with reports a more strategic approach may in fact be taken. That speculation has been enough to see our dollar improve slightly, reported The Post.

Keep going!
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The BulletinJanuary 16, 2025

The overdue decision to increase Lotto age restrictions

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Currently, under 18s are legally allowed to buy Lotto tickets. That’s about to change, explains The Bulletin’s Stewart Sowman-Lund.

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Lotto sales to under 18s to be banned

I don’t know about you, but I had not quite clicked to the fact under 18s are allowed to purchase Lotto tickets in store. This week, 1News broke the news that the government was moving to change that, bringing the legal age for purchasing a Lotto ticket up to 18 – in line with the current age restrictions on Instant Kiwi services. The government intends to embed this “really simple” amendment within a proposed omnibus bill later this year. Retailers could be fined about $1,000 if caught selling Lotto tickets to under 18s.

Speaking to the proposed changes on Newstalk ZB earlier in the week, internal affairs minister Brooke van Velden said it was about making the rules consistent for retailers and the public. “TAB is already over 18 as well as pokies,” she said. Van Velden described the law change as “minor”, given that most teenagers weren’t purchasing Lotto tickets. “I know there are some retailers that don’t want to sell to children, but at the moment that’s a legal grey area.”

‘Really important’

The change did not come entirely out of the blue, even though it wasn’t publicly on the government’s agenda until now. In 2022, RNZ’s Guyon Espiner reported that the former Labour government was considering a law change after reports of children as young as nine purchasing Lotto tickets. “That is work that is completely on the table,” former internal affairs minister Jan Tinetti said. The Problem Gambling Foundation has been in support of a law change for some time. The foundation’s advocacy and public health director Andree Froude told Morning Report yesterday it was “gobsmacking” children have been allowed to legally purchase Lotto products, even if they were buying them for older people such as parents. “It does tend to normalise gambling and make it seem to them that there’s no risk associated with it and that it’s just a normal everyday thing to do,” he said. ”So this is really important and sends a signal that these are gambling products and that children should not be able to purchase them.”

Lotto has welcomed the move, reported 1News, saying it creates consistency for retailers. Van Velden said she expected the law change to be made without much push back.

The bigger picture

There are broader issues to explore around Lotto in New Zealand. Last year, The Spinoff’s editor Madeleine Chapman looked at public interest, via the media, in large Lotto jackpots, noting “three days of national news dominated by stories of people who either just got rich or have been rich for a very long time” while the country was in a cost of living crisis. “There’s an air of dystopia in the soaring interest in Lotto during times of economic struggle,” wrote Chapman.

In another report back in 2022, Guyon Espiner reported that nearly 70% of Lotto’s in-store sales were made in the poorest parts of the country. At the time, Lotto acknowledged the issue and said it would close some of its stores in “areas of high deprivation” by the end of the year. I couldn’t find evidence of this being followed through on, however it appears that the uptake of online Lotto sales has resulted in a number of retail counters shuttering by the end of 2024 anyway, reported the Herald.

Where the money goes

Then there’s the community funding angle. As noted by Espiner during an interview on The Detail, the existence of Lotto – a Crown entity – also means the continued existence of community organisations that rely on the funding it generates. A special Lotto draw in the wake of Cyclone Gabrielle raised close to $12m for impacted communities, as one stark example. This isn’t just limited to Lotto. I recommend delving back into this report by The Spinoff’s Shanti Mathias from last year looking at pokies in Aotearoa.

As Mathias observed, this form of gambling also helps support local communities, while raking in substantial profits. “Not far away from the shimmering screens of the machines are dozens of community projects funded by their profits, stamped with the logos of the charities that distribute that money. In Porirua, that money goes to the council’s annual Matariki celebration, events celebrating local businesses and sports awards; around the rest of the country, sports teams, community centres, disability support and much more are funded by gambling.”

As Mathias reported, Porirua’s 156 pokie machines made more than $23,000 each in the first three months of 2024. And even as the number of machines decreases, profits have risen.