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Aaron Smale.
Aaron Smale.

OPINIONPoliticsNovember 11, 2024

Barring Aaron Smale from the abuse in care apology is a very, very bad joke

Aaron Smale.
Aaron Smale.

The grim irony of prohibiting a journalist who has shown such tenacity in the face of an obstructive state.

The story of abuse in New Zealand state and faith-based care is a long and sorry dirge of ignominy. To which can now be added: the decision to deny Aaron Smale attendance at the official apology in parliament. 

According to Newsroom, the publication for which Smale last month wrote a series of exemplary, exhaustive and harrowing reports that went deeper than any other journalism on the Royal Commission report published in July, he was denied press gallery accreditation by the speaker of parliament, Gerry Brownlee, after “repeated queries from Beehive officials about Smale’s likely attendance and previous interactions with ministers” who had expressed “concerns over the style and manner of a reporter’s questioning”.

Newsroom co-editor Tim Murphy says the site had earlier received complaints about Smale’s interactions at a press conference that followed the tabling in parliament of the Royal Commission report. They had cited “persistent and forceful questioning of the prime minister, with suggestions it was rude and police at the event had been watching the reporter”.

The response from Newsroom to concerns over that and Smale’s questioning at another press conference, with children’s minister Karen Chhour on the subject of boot camps, was that his approach had been “forceful and unforgiving but not more than that, and ministers should not expect to be protected from feeling ‘uncomfortable’ by media questioning”.

It beggars belief that Smale, who has reported for almost a decade on New Zealand’s odious history of abusing wardens of the state, Māori especially, should be barred. Alongside his work for Newsroom he has covered the story in reporting, analysis and opinion writing for The Spinoff, for Newshub, for RNZ, for E-Tangata, Stuff and more. The sheer scale of research is such that he took on a PhD in history to continue and deepen his understanding. 

Smale is tireless and tenacious. I don’t doubt that, if he’s trying to get answers out of you, he must be a real pain in the arse. But, you know, get a grip. It should hardly need saying, in this context especially, that the machinery of state must be constantly and doggedly challenged. Across decades, officialdom has obfuscated, fabricated and blocked any redress to a history of shame. Challenging that immensely powerful machine of state has taken an enormous and exhausting effort from victims, from their supporters, from a range of advocates, from a handful of politicians and a handful of journalists, Smale chief among them. 

The decision to bar Smale is a disgrace, as is the impulse to seek it. It is an insult to survivors. But don’t take my word for that. Newsroom has their testimony directly. 

“Aaron has fought to tell the truth about my case for almost 10 years,” said Earl White. “He has given a voice to some of the most vulnerable people in our society … This decision offends me and should offend all survivors”.

Another survivor, Leoni McInroe, deplored “a clear example of the crown wielding its bullying power-imbalance tactics to control the narrative of redress”.

Christopher Luxon gave a powerful and moving speech upon receipt of the Royal Commission report. He concluded by saying: “I will never lose sight of what you have endured to bring the truth to life.” Luxon is also a student of political history. He should be appalled at the idea that Smale would be prevented from attending and reporting on such a historic day for New Zealand, and acutely aware of the role a demanding – sometimes discomfiting – media play in a democracy. He should denounce the decision to bar Smale and appeal directly to the Speaker to overturn it.

I suspect, meanwhile, the last thing that Smale would want is for this episode to overshadow the historic apologies to be formally offered tomorrow. It can instead do the opposite, and light those stories up. Stories of anguish and cruelty, of betrayal, survival and state duplicity. Such as this. Or this. Or this. Or this, or this. If you haven’t already, go read them now. 

Update: At around 3.30pm it was reported that the Speaker has reversed the decision to refuse Smale accreditation. 

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Donald Trump, accompanied by his wife Melania, declares victory at his election night event in West Palm Beach. (Photo: Chip Somodevilla/Getty Images)
Donald Trump, accompanied by his wife Melania, declares victory at his election night event in West Palm Beach. (Photo: Chip Somodevilla/Getty Images)

PoliticsNovember 7, 2024

Democrats left reeling as Trump claims decisive victory

Donald Trump, accompanied by his wife Melania, declares victory at his election night event in West Palm Beach. (Photo: Chip Somodevilla/Getty Images)
Donald Trump, accompanied by his wife Melania, declares victory at his election night event in West Palm Beach. (Photo: Chip Somodevilla/Getty Images)

Few could have predicted the size and scale of his success last night.

This is an excerpt from The World Bulletin, our weekly global current affairs newsletter exclusively for Spinoff Members. Sign up here.

A red wave

It was around 8.30pm NZT when Donald Trump came out to address his election watch party. He’d not yet been declared the winner, but with 267 electoral votes under his belt – and leading in the yet-to-be-called swing states of Michigan and Wisconsin – his victory was all but assured. Claiming a “magnificent victory”, he promised the cheering crowd “a golden age for America”, while his running mate, JD Vance, said that “we have just witnessed the greatest political comeback in the history of the United States of America”. Trump also spoke about his popular-vote victory. He’s the first Republican candidate to win a popular majority since 2004, a fact that pretty much sums up Trump’s incredible night. He didn’t just squeak out a narrow victory; he crushed the opposition. “Trump did better, with everyone, everywhere,” tweeted British journalist Lewis Goodall. “It’s a red wave.”

A graph showing the extent of the rightward (red) shift in counties across the United States. (Source: The Guardian)

So what happened? 

The post-mortems are only just beginning, but already it seems clear that Trump’s victory hinged on two key issues: the economy and immigration. For all voters’ stated concerns about threats to democracy and the right to abortion, the Trump message won out. Despite the backlash following the Puerto Rico “garbage” insult, Trump won Republicans their biggest Latino turnout since 1976. And despite Harris’s favourability ratings consistently beating Joe Biden’s, she vastly underperformed his 2020 election results. As Harris’s loss looked increasingly certain, MSNBC columnist Michael A Cohen tweeted that he expected her to face recriminations, “but it’s hard to point to any glaring mistakes that she made. She ran an excellent campaign.” On the flip side, “Trump ran an awful campaign. He gave a terrible RNC speech, his VP was deeply unpopular, he lost the debate, he had no ground game to speak of, he offended key demographic groups … and none of it mattered.”

How the day unfolded

The earliest polls closed at 1pm NZT, with a spate of safely Democratic or Republican states called by the Associated Press almost immediately after. The first notable result came in Florida – not because Trump’s win was a surprise, but because he improved his already healthy 2020 margins in nearly every county. The biggest shift was in Miami-Dade, previously a rare Democratic stronghold which saw a staggering 18 percentage point movement to the right. At 3pm, New York state was called for Harris. She was never going to lose there, but the size of her margins – down across the board, including in liberal bastion Manhattan – were yet more ominous signs of Democrats’ impending rout.

At 4.40pm the AP called the solidly Republican state of Iowa for Trump. Again, not a surprise – unless you’d been pinning your hopes on revered pollster Ann Selzer, who on Sunday released a shock poll showing Harris leading in the state by three points. Around half an hour later, the AP called North Carolina for Trump. The state had been seen as a potential pick-up for the Democrats, who focused a lot of their campaign spending and canvassing there. They also tried to tie Trump to scandal-plagued Republican gubernatorial candidate Mark Robinson, ultimately to no avail (Robinson, however, lost his own race).

The following hour, Georgia moved into Trump’s column, returning the state to the party which – other than in 2020 – had won every presidential election there since 1996. At 7.20pm, Fox News called Pennsylvania for Trump, his West Palm Beach watch party erupting in jubilation at the news. With 267 electoral votes, Trump was in an unassailable position. The presidency was his. Confirmation came at 11.34pm, when the AP called Wisconsin, pushing him across the 270-vote finish line.

Trump supporters celebrate as Fox News declares him the next president of the United States at an election night event in West Palm Beach. (Photo: Jim WATSON / AFP via Getty Images)

What Trump’s victory means for the world

A second Trump presidency promises to dramatically reshape international politics. He has made it clear that he plans to make massive changes to US foreign policy, including withdrawing from major treaties and embracing a highly protectionist trade policy that would spark a global trade war, according to Vox. Trump has promised to pull the US out of the Paris climate accords again, after the US reentered the agreement under Biden. The United States’ cooperation with the UN is also under threat, particularly regarding the World Health Organisation, a UN agency that Trump’s administration has criticised in the past. A devastating withdrawal of WHO funding by the US is even more likely if Trump gives vaccine conspiracy theorist Robert F Kennedy Jr a key role in his next administration, as Trump says he will do.

A sliver of good news is that the US will find it extremely difficult to fully abandon NATO, thanks to a law recently introduced by Congress that requires congressional approval for withdrawal from the defence treaty. However Trump could achieve much the same ends by withdrawing forces, closing bases or refusing to invest in joint military infrastructure.

Ukraine on a knife-edge

As for Ukraine, Trump has repeatedly said he could settle the war between Russia and Ukraine in one day if he was elected president again, without giving any indication of how he plans to do it. While many observers expect a new Trump administration to immediately cancel all Ukraine defence funding – all but guaranteeing a Russian victory – Sky News’ security editor Deborah Haynes wasn’t so sure. “While US support for Ukraine would undoubtedly change under a Trump administration, that is not the same as facilitating a complete surrender,” she wrote, arguing that Trump “will not want to be held responsible for the total absorption of Ukraine into Mr Putin’s orbit”.

The Guardian’s Russia expert Luke Harding was a lot more pessimistic. “The Kremlin will be celebrating Trump’s victory, as another era of chaos and US weakness,” he tweeted. “Putin’s goals in Ukraine are as maximalist as ever: to seize as much territory as possible. And to wipe out the country’s statehood, identity, culture. A fascist project, with US connivance.”

More reading:

Donald Trump’s revenge: The former President will return to the White House older, less inhibited, and far more dangerous than ever before. (Susan Glasser, The New Yorker)

Men got exactly what they wanted: How gender became the driving factor of the 2024 election. (Jill Filipovic, Slate)

America hires a strongman: This was a conquering of the nation not by force but with a permission slip. Now, America stands on the precipice of an authoritarian style of governance never before seen in its 248-year history. (Lisa Lerer, New York Times)

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