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The gates at Auckland Airport (Josie Adams)
The gates at Auckland Airport (Josie Adams)

The BulletinMay 3, 2021

The Bulletin: How serious are trans-Tasman bubble wobbles?

The gates at Auckland Airport (Josie Adams)
The gates at Auckland Airport (Josie Adams)

Good morning and welcome to The Bulletin. In today’s edition: Assessing the latest trans-Tasman bubble incidents, NZ High Commission in India caught up in domestic politics, and Judith Collins continues to bang the drum on race.

There was a brief pause over the weekend to flights between Western Australia and New Zealand, after the discovery of Covid cases in Perth. Stuff reports flights are now able to resume, though two were cancelled on Sunday. Perth itself never went into lockdown this time around, though some restrictions on gatherings were put in place.

The incident highlights a truth about the first two weeks of the bubble – things can and will go wrong. And in the short timeframe so far, there have been some potentially dangerous incidents. Perhaps the most worrying happened on Friday, when a person who had breached the red zone/green zone barrier at Brisbane airport for two hours tested positive for Covid-19. They had arrived from Papua New Guinea, one of the countries the NZ government currently considers high risk. Another breach (which probably carried an exceedingly low risk) involved a traveller to New Zealand from the Cook Islands going straight on to Australia, rather than spending 14 days here first. And some nerves might have been put on edge after Melbourne ordered hundreds of people to get re-tested, following the discovery of virus fragments in wastewater.

And yet, to date none of these incidents have really been more than minor, in the grand scheme of the project. None appear to have caused chains of transmission to cross borders, nor has it ever looked like the bubble as a whole is in any real danger of collapse. It’s highly likely we’ll continue to see them in the coming weeks, but many probably won’t be worth panicking about. Even so, each incident will also be a reminder to health authorities that a tricky virus like Covid can take advantage of minor mistakes.

In fact, one of the most interesting stories around the bubble right now is that it isn’t being particularly widely used, at least in one direction. Radio NZ reported at the end of last week that far more people were coming into New Zealand, rather than Australia. Stuff reports that some flights that ended up being surplus to requirements have been cut as a result. Businesses are reporting some improvement in booking numbers, but aren’t yet at “wall to wall” levels. However, finance minister Grant Robertson said that overall the bubble was generating a “wave of positivity” for the economy, which if true means we should start seeing it show up in confidence and sentiment surveys soon.


The NZ High Commission in India has apologised after seeking and accepting oxygen supplies from the youth wing of an opposition political party. As this report from local media outlet NDTV shows, the incident has become a point of debate within the country, which is always something diplomatic outposts try to avoid. The NZ Herald asked MFAT for comment, and got the same short statement that everyone else has got, which dodged the crucial question over whether someone within the commission is currently battling severe Covid symptoms.


National leader Judith Collins has used her northern regional conference speech to continue banging the drum against supposed Māori segregation. Radio NZ reports she warned that not only would there soon be a Māori Health Authority, but there would in fact be similar organisations in fields like education or justice. Who knows, maybe there should be. The point is, it extends Collins’ streak of attacking the idea of Māori focused and directed institutions. Politik (paywalled) interpreted it as a swing to the right from the party’s leadership, and suggested it may have been a dog-whistle to more reactionary elements in the party. Writing on The Spinoff, political scientists Lara Greaves and Ella Morgan have pointed out how it may not even help Collins much within the National Party, let alone with the wider electorate.

Speaking of such institutions, the Waitangi Tribunal has recommended a new Maori-led authority to oversee tamariki in state care. Newsroom reports the recommendation follows an inquiry into Oranga Tamariki, sparked by their documentary about a case in Hastings. The argument made by the tribunal is that there’s no way signatories to the treaty would have envisioned the Crown acting as a parent for tamariki Māori, and that to date the Crown has done a poor job of it. If you need a refresher on the issue, Charlotte Muru-Lanning has put together a useful cheat sheet for The Spinoff.


Our members’ contributions provide jobs and hope to all the journalists, editors, designers, podcasters and freelancers who make The Spinoff every day. If you enjoy what we do and want to help us do more, please donate today.


Many New Zealanders are still struggling with both the mental and economic toll of Covid, according to new research. The NZ Herald’s Jamie Morton reports a high proportion of people say they lost income as a result of the pandemic, and there have been elevated levels of mental health issues and depression. These aren’t necessarily two distinct stories, and those hit disproportionately by economic issues are also more likely to have worse mental health impacts. The research underlines the dangerous effects of the K-shaped recovery we’re currently seeing, which as a recent edition of The Side Eye outlined is the state of people with plenty getting further ahead, and those with less falling behind.


The CEO of a major software company has accused the government of a significant overspend and procurement process faults in their system for managing the vaccine rollout. The NZ Herald’s (paywalled) Chris Keall reports Orion Health chief executive Ian McCrae told him his company could have done it for much cheaper and quicker, and that there was no tender process to bid for the job. A ministry spokesperson responded by saying the process was “in accordance with government rules of sourcing.”


Australia could be pulling ahead of New Zealand in their efforts to secure a trade deal with Britain, reports Nigel Stirling for Farmers Weekly. And the speculation in the story is that such a deal would involve lower quality access to UK markets for Australian agricultural products, which could set something of a precedent for how the Brits then deal with New Zealand. It wouldn’t be the first time such a move has been made, with Australia pulling something similar with Japan ahead of the signing of the TPPA.


A significant change is being made to one of the most enduring media traditions in the country – the NBR Rich List. As Michael Andrew reports for The Spinoff, it will now simply be ‘the List’, and measure more than just the net wealth of individuals and families on it – also bringing in more tricky and amorphous concepts around what people do with their money. As the NBR’s Maria Slade put it, there are various wealthy people who have simply inherited a lot of money and sit on it, and it’s more useful to discuss people who are actually building something.


Got some feedback about The Bulletin, or anything in the news? Drop us a line at thebulletin@thespinoff.co.nz

Photo: Michael Andrew

Right now on The Spinoff: George Driver writes about how the domestic tourism boom saved his hometown of Clyde. Andrew Geddis writes about the “final legal coda to the great Southern-Molyneux drama of 2018” that has just played out in the Court of Appeal. Michelle Langstone meets both Professor Michael Baker, and the man who plays him in a new piece of verbatim theatre about the early days of the pandemic. Susan Wardell reviews Common Ground, about the social history of gardening in Aotearoa. And Alex Casey writes about the simple joy of linear television, in a world of entertainment now dominated by far too much choice.


For a feature today, an excellent outline of what asset seizure is and isn’t in New Zealand. Now I admit, my view on it was clouded by some of the horror stories I’ve heard from the US, in which out of control police departments basically extort people. But that doesn’t appear to be possible in New Zealand, either in theory or practice. After my call for feedback (thank you to everyone who had some) I got sent in an excellent explainer from someone who “worked in this area with the police a while ago” – here’s an edited for length version of their comments.

On the face of it, it seems like a pretty blunt instrument which runs the risk of being used improperly, but in reality it is a very useful tool for the Police to tackle the proceeds of crime. Imprisonment is one tool available, but as you know it is not very effective. For example, in most gangs in NZ imprisonment is embedded into their hierarchy structure and is little more than a rite of passage – it is the low level affiliates/members that do the crime & time, but the rewards flow to more senior members. 

Our law in NZ requires that the asset / money was (on the balance of probabilities – i.e. civil) derived from criminal activity, or that the person profited from criminal activity to a similar tune. This means the asset being seized/forfeited needs to be tied in to a ‘probable’ criminal activity. In places like the UK, the law is even broader – the assets can be seized if the individual has ‘unexplained wealth’. They don’t need to demonstrate the link to criminal activity, just that the individual can’t explain where they obtained their wealth from.

I’ve seen a couple of quotes in the papers before about how this legislation could sting someone like a hard-working labourer who didn’t keep good records – well yes, but only if that labourer was linked to significant criminal activity, couldn’t give evidence of any of the jobs he’d ever completed, and hadn’t paid any tax. Even then, the police have plenty of other fish to fry.


The Chiefs Wāhine have blown the Blues away in their debut rugby match. After a fairly tight first half, the NZ Herald reports the Chiefs completely took control, holding the Blues scoreless after halftime for an eventual 39-12 victory. Overall, 16 Black Ferns took part in the match, but there was also a heartening number of teenagers on the field, which suggests strong talent is coming through the ranks. The game was also billed as the first ever women’s game of Super Rugby, which seems a slightly odd way to describe a non-competition fixture. But no matter what you call it, it was a highly skilled and hard fought game of footy, and you can watch the highlights here. Writing on The Spinoff, front-rower Alice Soper argues that it has to be used as a catalyst for much more serious investment and competition. And in the men’s comp, the Crusaders will host the Chiefs in next week’s final.

And in a story that broke late last night, former Warriors star Manu Vatuvei has revealed he is facing a series of methamphetamine charges. Newshub reports Vatuvei put a video out on social media just days before name suppression was due to lapse, telling his fans that he wanted to get it off his chest. The charges were filed in 2019 – the year that Vatuvei’s sporting career was suddenly ended after the discovery of a brain cyst. He said he intends to fight them in court.


That’s it for The Bulletin. If you want to support the work we do at The Spinoff, please check out our membership programme.

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A traveller getting a Covid test at an airport in Chennai, India (Getty Images)
A traveller getting a Covid test at an airport in Chennai, India (Getty Images)

The BulletinApril 30, 2021

The Bulletin: New Zealanders facing hard road out of India

A traveller getting a Covid test at an airport in Chennai, India (Getty Images)
A traveller getting a Covid test at an airport in Chennai, India (Getty Images)

Good morning and welcome to The Bulletin. In today’s edition: NZers facing hard road to get out of India, mould returning to Wellington flats for winter, and analysis of Judith Collins opening up the Brash playbook.

With no repatriation flights in sight, it could be really difficult for New Zealanders stuck in India to get home. Radio NZ reported yesterday morning that there are just over 100 people currently in India who have managed isolation spots booked, but many are unlikely to make it. Some of them have been waiting since before the travel ban was put in place several weeks ago. PM Jacinda Ardern said that she sympathised with the situation people were in, but said the government couldn’t guarantee assistance in getting home. “We may not be able to go in and rescue people. They need to make sure they take every precaution they can even when they are travelling in desperate circumstances.”

The ban has now been lifted, but making travel plans in practice is extremely challenging right now. Under the new rules, NZ citizens and their immediate families are allowed to come in from the four high risk countries, but nobody else can. Stuff’s Melanie Earley spoke to a few people in that situation, facing both weeks long delays and exorbitant costs to get home, and it just sounds awful. The key route for people to get back to New Zealand from India is through Dubai, in the UAE, and an announcement was made overnight that the UAE has extended a ban on flights arriving from India for another 10 days.

To give a sense of just how tough it is to get out of India right now, even those who would normally have plenty of resources and clout can’t make it happen. Australian paper The Age had a story about leading cricket umpire Paul Reiffel, who is currently working at the IPL in India. He tried to get home several days ago, amid fears that there’ll still be nothing when the tournament ends, but found the way was already shut. As for the wider situation in India, it is still no better, and the horror looks set to continue for weeks or months to come.


The weather is starting to turn colder and damper, and the mould is coming back to Wellington flats. Stuff’s Ethan Te Ora has been doing a couple of stories recently about the state of renting in the capital, and his latest gives a sadly typical view of a set of properties managed by one particular company. Having been a renter in Wellington for a few years about a decade ago, it looks like little has changed.


A couple of useful commentary pieces on a bit of a mood shift from National leader Judith Collins towards carved-out spots for Māori representation. It was sparked by this Radio NZ interview, in which Collins said her party would stand against so-called “racist separatism”, both within National and without. Writing on Politik, Richard Harman argues that she is trying to use the same tactics employed by Don Brash in 2004. But there’s actually a lot of myth-making around the Brash years, and as commentator Ben Thomas writes on Stuff, opposition leaders who try to play this particular card almost never end up winning with it. The topic was also discussed on the latest episode of Gone By Lunchtime, particularly in relation to the issue that sparked it all off – the planned creation of a Māori Health Authority.


Our members’ contributions provide jobs and hope to all the journalists, editors, designers, podcasters and freelancers who make The Spinoff every day. If you enjoy what we do and want to help us do more, please donate today.


The winter energy payment for pensioners and beneficiaries is back, and it’ll be sorely needed this year. With hydro dam levels low, power prices are starting to get rather high – and are expected to stay that way for a while. This story from Radio NZ’s Charlotte Cook looks at the generating market generally right now, with the possibility that coal and gas will have to be ramped up to compensate for less hydro.


Water infrastructure is one of those issues that is difficult to get your head around, because of the scale and complexity. I know I certainly haven’t managed it. But fortunately, a useful piece from Newsroom’s Nikki Mandow came out this week, breaking down the issue region by region or on some other relevant metric, which paints a cumulative picture of how much remedial work needs to be done.


An issue I’d be keen to get your feedback on: The NZ Herald’s (paywalled) Jared Savage reports that more than a billion dollars worth of assets have been frozen or restrained by police, since a controversial law change came into effect a decade ago. The new law allows police to freeze assets without necessarily securing a criminal conviction – they only need to “show that someone profited from criminal offending to the lower standard of proof applied in civil cases.” Now in a society where there is a presumption of innocence until someone has been proven guilty, that doesn’t sit right with me at all. But perhaps I’m just being naive about the reality of organised crime? If you’ve got thoughts on the subject, send them through to thebulletin@thespinoff.co.nz.


A correction: You might have noticed a weird typo in yesterday’s Bulletin, when I started talking about Norway and then trailed off. The truth is, I had an idea for what I wanted to write and then completely forgot I had started the sentence altogether. So, for the avoidance of any doubt, here’s what it should have said, in relation to the ‘legacy fund’ that will be part of Silver Lake’s buy-in to NZ Rugby.

Out of that buy-in, tens of millions would be paid out to struggling provincial unions, and a ‘legacy fund’ would also be created – sort of like how Norway’s oil revenue gets put into a fund that keeps the welfare state going.


Got some feedback about The Bulletin, or anything in the news? Drop us a line at thebulletin@thespinoff.co.nz

Image: Tina Tiller

Right now on The Spinoff: Bernard Hickey warns that mortgage lending needs to be tightened up, amid the risk of a crash. Youth development worker Aaron Hendry calls on politicians to realise that young people who are homeless don’t care who’s in power – they just want solutions. Josie Adams reports on a new study that reveals burnout rates in the workplace. Tara Ward recaps the first three episodes of the new Handmaid’s Tale season. Stewart Sowman-Lund laments the end of Pods, and ranks the top 10 discontinued candies.

And we’re hiring: Daylight Creative, the creative studio within The Spinoff, is looking for a new partnerships editor. If you’re interested, or know someone who might, check out the job ad here.


For a feature today, a worrying look at the failures of ecosystem protection. The Guardian reports just 3% of ecosystems around the world remain healthy and intact, which in turn causes massive loss of biodiversity and accelerates ecological breakdown. Here’s an excerpt:

Prof Pierre Ibisch, at the Eberswalde University for Sustainable Development in Germany and not part of the study, said finding just 3% of land was intact was “predictably devastating”. He said: “We need to give nature significantly more space to carry us into the future, [but] I fear that the reintroduction of a few species in certain areas is not a gamechanger.”

Ibisch said the analysis did not take account of the climate crisis. “Accelerating climate change is becoming the overarching threat to the functionality of entire ecosystems. Yesterday’s mammal intactness hardly tells us a lot about the functioning ecosystems in the [global heating] age.”


In sport, the deal has been done. Silver Lake’s buy-in to a new NZ Rugby commercial entity has been approved unanimously by the provincial unions. But as the NZ Herald reports, the Players Association could still block it. Talks are expected to resume in the coming weeks. NZ Rugby also announced a $35 million loss for the 2020 financial year, after Covid destroyed both multi-nation Super Rugby and much of the international season.


That’s it for The Bulletin. If you want to support the work we do at The Spinoff, please check out our membership programme.