A Covid-19 testing clinic in Auckland (Photo: Greg Bowker/Getty Images)
A Covid-19 testing clinic in Auckland (Photo: Greg Bowker/Getty Images)

The BulletinJune 24, 2020

The Bulletin: New testing strategy aimed at borders, community surveillance

A Covid-19 testing clinic in Auckland (Photo: Greg Bowker/Getty Images)
A Covid-19 testing clinic in Auckland (Photo: Greg Bowker/Getty Images)

Good morning and welcome to The Bulletin. In today’s edition: New testing strategy unveiled by minister, Otago Regional Councillors preparing for leadership showdown, and PM dismisses Ihumātao reports.

Every person known to have Covid-19 right now is in quarantine, including the two new cases at the border yesterday. With that said, Radio NZ’s Rowan Quinn reports the new cases over the last week mean that community testing centres have had to keep going. This story, and a follow up on Checkpoint, indicate that demand is very high right now for tests – partly because people are more likely to be getting colds right now, and partly because of the concern around new cases – which to reiterate are all related to the border.

As our live blog reported yesterday, the country’s overall testing regime will be stepped up, particularly targeted at those who work in and around airports and quarantine hotels – but also for anyone presenting with related symptoms. It’s part of a new testing strategy unveiled by health minister David Clark. The community testing of anyone with symptoms is described as “important for surveillance purposes” by Clark, in other words, ensuring that there is no community transmission taking place.

There won’t be any change to the policy of testing of people in managed isolation on days three and 12 of their stay. There has been some conjecture that everyone should be tested the moment they step off the plane, but that wouldn’t necessarily help as it may still be too early in the incubation process for the virus to show up, and even if a positive test came back it’s not like we could just chuck returning New Zealanders on a flight back out, or take them anywhere other than the facilities that already exist.

There has been some concern about the new testing strategy from health experts, reports Newshub. The worry is that by taking in everyone with symptoms – regardless of overseas travel links or close contacts with an infected person – too much of a limited resource will be diverted away from where it is most needed. Otago University’s associate professor Lynn McBain said it was a good step to enhance testing of anyone connected to the border, because at this stage it’s still by far the most likely source of Covid-19 cases. But she was also concerned that the community testing guidelines were too broad. Opinion on this point isn’t necessarily unanimous, but it underscores one point – it is very unlikely that there is undetected community transmission out there.

Are there other means of testing that can be used? To a degree, but they’re not necessarily useful for detecting whether an individual has Covid-19 at a particular moment. This Newsroom article has some interesting details around two such methods. The country’s national laboratory service ESR is able to test sewage, which overseas has been a useful mechanism for determining whether undetected outbreaks are happening. And Dr Ashley Bloomfield also cast doubt on the “rapid, point-of-care tests that can return a result for individuals in 15 minutes to an hour” that have also been used overseas, on the grounds that they aren’t accurate enough for what New Zealand needs – they’re more useful if there is already widespread community transmission.


Just quickly, a message from The Spinoff’s managing editor Duncan Greive: 

“The arrival of Covid-19 and lockdown changed The Spinoff, transforming our editorial to focus on the biggest story of our lives, taking a small team and making it a seven day a week news operation. But it also fundamentally changed us as a business, too. Prior to the crisis, around 20% of our editorial costs were funded by our Members. Now, that figure is north of 50%. The loss of some key commercial clients meant that change has to be permanent. If you’re already a member, please know that all at The Spinoff are incredibly grateful for your help. If you’re not, and can afford to contribute, please consider doing so – it really is critically important to our ability to cover the next phase of the crisis, in all its complexity.”


Otago Regional Councillors will throw down at a meeting today over whether former MP Marian Hobbs should remain as chair. The ODT’s Molly Houseman reports that a challenge is going to be mounted, with deputy chair (and another former MP) Michael Laws saying it is because of an irredeemable clash of personalities between Hobbs and the rest of the board. Hobbs, by contrast, says those attempting to oust her are doing so to block efforts to observe National Policy Statements on freshwater quality. One of Hobbs’ few councillor supporters, Alexa Forbes, spoke to Crux and backed that view up. According to the ODT report, it looks like the numbers are against Hobbs, but rest assured, we’ll definitely be updating this yarn tomorrow.


The PM has called reports from earlier in the week about a resolution being close at Ihumātao as “inaccurate”, reports Newshub. She wouldn’t confirm that particular report, and also questioned the reported timing of when she got involved with the negotiations, saying that happened much earlier. “When we have an announcement to make we’ll obviously make it,” she said, meaning that anything final could still be a while away. Or it could also be very close, as it’s an issue that hasn’t panned out according to earlier predictions.


Following up on yesterday’s story about Auckland’s drought and water shortages, there’s some bad news about one potential saviour. The NZ Herald has reported on a new long range forecast, which is picking the second half of the year to also be drier than average. Given that any water from the Waikato would still be a long time away, it means there’s really only one solution to the problem – much lower water use.


A big story in the world of cyber-crime: Interest reports that the police have restrained $140 million in funds relating to the Canton Business Corporation, a shell company involved in a bitcoin exchange platform. The charge is that the platform was allegedly being used for money laundering of the proceeds of crime. The case is an international one, with a range of charges also filed in the US.


The Opportunities Party has announced a plan to abolish the provisional tax system if they’re elected in September. A release on their tax plan can be found here, but effectively the party’s view is that it’s “unfair, disliked and misunderstood by the majority of small business owners.” They’re also reiterating their call for a Universal Basic Income, which has increasingly become one of the main planks of the party’s policy platform.


A few points of clarification: Earlier in the week, a number of 2400 was given for how many people had left managed isolation without being tested. We don’t actually know if that number is true or not, because according to Dr Ashley Bloomfield, nobody knows the actual number. One would think it would be an important thing to find out, and by all accounts MOH staff are doing so. And as for the allegation made by National MP Michael Woodhouse that a homeless man enjoyed two weeks free room and board in a quarantine hotel – Bloomfield says the MOH can’t find any evidence of that. Stuff reports Woodhouse is standing by his story, and says it came from a reliable source. Minister Megan Woods has since asked for proof, which to be honest probably wouldn’t be forthcoming anyway because of source protection, so surely that’ll be the end of the matter.


Something to listen to, if you share my passion for minor party politics: The Detail invited both me and satirist Ben Uffindell in to talk about the state of play leading up to the election – he of course actually has experience of setting a party up from scratch. It gives a good outline of just how tough it’ll be for these parties outside of parliament to push their way in at September’s election.


Got some feedback about The Bulletin, or anything in the news? Drop us a line at thebulletin@thespinoff.co.nz

The Naked and Famous (Photo: Universal Music)

Right now on The Spinoff: Bailey Mackey argues that Māori TV has outlived its usefulness, and needs to be replaced with something that sits more where its potential audience is. Trevor McKewen gives a view of the much tougher hotel quarantining system in place in Queensland compared to New Zealand. Sam Brooks writes about the 20 year legacy of the game some believe is the greatest of all time. Elizabeth Heritage gives a personal review of Funkhouse, a new poetry collection from Hinemoana Baker. Josie Adams speaks to band The Naked and Famous about trying to do things differently to other indie musicians, and how Covid-19 has hit them in Los Angeles. Henry Burrell reviews the current slate of Android phones on the market.

And this is very exciting – there are brand new episodes of On the Rag coming out, and the first one is about the murky world of wellness and influencers. It’s awesome to see Alex Casey back on the site too.


For a feature today, an excellent example of the kōrero interview format, which may well have been perfected by E-Tangata journalist Dale Husband. On one level it’s a Q and A with an interesting person, and on another level it is the retelling of a life story and whakapapa, and the changes that person has seen on their journey. The guest in this instance is Family Court judge Robyn von Keisenberg, who grew up ‘afakasi in New Zealand, in a time of great cultural change. Here’s an excerpt, starting at a time before she was aware of racial disparities:

I never thought anything of it. That’s the oddest thing. Because it was so much part of your everyday life in the playground, and I had a Sāmoan mother, it never dawned on me until much later. I certainly remember the land march. And my father was often lending a hand at the marae. For instance, helping on the board and fundraising. I remember joining the Vietnam peace march. My mother was horrified that we had peace signs from the Cook Street market around our necks. But that was our protest.

I often felt I was just on the fringes because I was about 18 to 24 months younger than most of the students in my year, so I was just getting on with it. I don’t remember Māori incarceration rates being discussed even in the criminal law and criminology courses I did.


In sport, an analysis of the current state of rugby, and the loss of one of rugby’s centrepiece features. Well, not the loss exactly, but as Scotty Stevenson argues, the scrum has largely been stripped out of games in Super Rugby Aotearoa so far. Does that matter? It’s a matter of opinion, but one of the great things about sport being back is we can have these sorts of arguments.


That’s it for The Bulletin. If you want to support the work we do at The Spinoff, please check out our membership programme

Keep going!
Low water levels in the Upper Mangatangi dam, to the south of Auckland (Radio NZ, Simon Rogers)
Low water levels in the Upper Mangatangi dam, to the south of Auckland (Radio NZ, Simon Rogers)

The BulletinJune 23, 2020

The Bulletin: Auckland drought leads to fears of severe water restrictions

Low water levels in the Upper Mangatangi dam, to the south of Auckland (Radio NZ, Simon Rogers)
Low water levels in the Upper Mangatangi dam, to the south of Auckland (Radio NZ, Simon Rogers)

Good morning and welcome to The Bulletin. In today’s edition: Auckland drought leads to fears of severe water restrictions, exclusive new poll results on government’s Covid-19 response, and is a resolution coming at Ihumātao?

The Auckland water crisis isn’t getting any better, and the city’s leaders are getting extremely nervous about the coming months. That is clear from the news yesterday that mayor Phil Goff has pitched for an application for water from the Waikato River to be part of the government’s fast-tracked Resource Management Act process. As the NZ Herald’s Bernard Orsman reports, the Waikato-Tainui iwi have objected to that, on the grounds that the project isn’t at all Covid-related, and therefore shouldn’t be part of a targeted Covid scheme. And a second point has been made by Waikato Regional Council chairman Russ Rimington, who says that Auckland delayed far too long to introduce water restrictions, starting them in May compared to Hamilton which had them in place last October. Even if the application were to be approved today, it would still take about a year to get pumping.

How bad is the situation right now? It’s very concerning. Watercare keeps stats on storage dam levels, and at the moment they’re sitting at about 45% full – the average for this time of year is more than 75% full. Total water use is coming down slightly, and there have been some good days of total use coming in under the target – for example yesterday Watercare tweeted that “AKL used 389,601m3 and on Sat the usage was 397,729m3 – both well below our daily target of 410,000m3.” Households can of course do their bit here, and that accounts for more than half of the water used across the city. There are looming concerns though that commercial and industrial water users will start to see much heavier restrictions, which would put thousands of jobs at risk, reports Stuff’s Todd Niall.

And how bad will it get by summer? Unless there is either extremely heavy and prolonged rain, or a massive improvement in water saving, it’s going to be a shocker. Stuff reports that further household savings will be harder to achieve, because there are already bans on outdoor use – wasteful activities like washing the car and the like. That piece describes the chances of severe restrictions this summer as “touch and go”.

What is the long term picture? At the moment the drought is being described as a ‘one in 200 year’ event, but that’s based on normal climate patterns, which are gone forever. The reality is captured in this excellent feature by Radio NZ’s Kate Newton, who has looked at weather projections for the next few decades. It’s going to get much hotter and drier, and currently it’s not at all clear that we’re ready for that.


Just quickly, a message from The Spinoff’s managing editor Duncan Greive: 

“The arrival of Covid-19 and lockdown changed The Spinoff, transforming our editorial to focus on the biggest story of our lives, taking a small team and making it a seven day a week news operation. But it also fundamentally changed us as a business, too. Prior to the crisis, around 20% of our editorial costs were funded by our Members. Now, that figure is north of 50%. The loss of some key commercial clients meant that change has to be permanent. If you’re already a member, please know that all at The Spinoff are incredibly grateful for your help. If you’re not, and can afford to contribute, please consider doing so – it really is critically important to our ability to cover the next phase of the crisis, in all its complexity.”


The government has confirmed that returning New Zealanders are a much higher priority than those needing limited quarantine facilities for economic reasons, reports Interest. The cost at this stage is in the tens of millions of dollars, and in the future returnees may be required to cover some of that for their stay. Despite what you may have seen with some Vision NZ party grandstanding yesterday, the border largely does remain closed. When it comes to returnees, it would not be legal to block New Zealanders from coming home – nor would there be any sound moral case for it. A range of other legal and border measures were announced yesterday, which you can read about in our live blog.

Meanwhile, we can exclusively reveal new polling results on how people are feeling about the quarantine system, the government’s overall response to Covid-19 and more. The Spinoff/Stickybeak survey, taken over the weekend, has found that the events of last week dented public confidence in the response, even if it remains at high net positive levels. Opinion is more split on confidence in the quarantine system specifically. And enthusiasm for a travel bubble has started to diminish, with just under half of respondents saying it shouldn’t be a priority at all.

As for new cases, there were two more yesterday, with both people in managed isolation. Dr Siouxsie Wiles has put together an excellent piece outlining why the types of new cases we have seen so far do not give any reason to panic. Yes, some aspects of the quarantine system have been badly managed, and need urgent correction – but just to reiterate the point made in the last few Bulletins, there is still no evidence of renewed community transmission. And that remains a very unusual situation compared to what the rest of the world is going through.


Could an agreement finally be coming on Ihumātao? One News’ Jack Tame reports that it could be very close at hand. Among the details revealed in his story last night – PM Jacinda Ardern is understood to have been personally involved in the negotiations, and has set a deadline for negotiations at the end of this month. It is also understood that the next stage of the resolution would involve the formation of a rōpū whakahaere – effectively a trust with a board who would decide on the next steps.


Amid all the back and forth about whether Auckland’s port should move north, plans are going ahead to try and deepen the shipping channel, reports Brent Melville for (paywalled) Business Desk. I say amid, because the question of a move north is still very much a live issue. Concerns are still being raised about both the economic and environmental impacts of such a decision, and the deepening is expected to give much bigger ships better access to Auckland.


AUT University, which is currently at the centre of a sexual harassment scandal regarding a now-departed top academic, has a particularly poor record of investigating such cases. The NZ Herald’s Kirsty Johnston reports that the organisation has the lowest rate of actually following up with an investigation, at fewer than a third. By contrast, Auckland University has investigated every sexual harassment complaint made over the past five years. It follows a particularly ugly and prolonged case in which  AUT’s former Pro Vice Chancellor Max Abbott allegedly stalked and harassed a colleague over a two-year period.


A complaint has been laid with the IPCA over an arrest in which police brutality has been alleged. The incident was captured on video, and Radio NZ has a story about what happened – the established facts are that a man was tagging a wall, before being arrested by several officers who tackled him to the ground, which caused injury. The police allege he “violently resisted” arrest, while the man says he didn’t resist at all. It has sparked debate about the use of force by police over minor crimes, with Manukau barrister Kingi Snelgar arguing that it was concerning and disproportionate.


Farmers in the Taranaki region have smashed out the planting of hundreds of thousands more native plants, reports the Rural News Group. Around 1200 landowners took part in the annual scheme, that allows farmers to buy the plants at cost from the regional council, with the overall goal of improving freshwater quality. Reporting from Radio NZ last year indicated progress is being made here, even if there is still a long way to go for many waterways. Still, the scheme is voluntary for farmers to participate in, so good on them for doing so, and long may it continue.


Got some feedback about The Bulletin, or anything in the news? Drop us a line at thebulletin@thespinoff.co.nz

(Photo: Getty images)

Right now on The Spinoff: Catherine Delahunty writes about taking the government to court over a new mine waste dump near Waihi on the Coromandel peninsula. Leni Ma’ia’i writes about the massive increase in food recalls, and what it shows about how the system is working. Steven Moe explores how artists and poets can bring colour and creativity onto corporate boards. Emma Gleason talks to the Maritime Museum’s volunteers about what the ocean means to them, and why sailing is more than an elite boy’s club. And young lad Eddie reviews the new Netflix gameshow The Floor is Lava.


For a feature today, a look at the changing face of London through the eyes of a drug dealer. The piece on Vice is a fascinating work of social history, even if at times it perhaps goes easy on the unsavoury elements of its lead character’s personality. What really comes through in it is the march of gentrification, and the social effects that process has. Here’s an excerpt:

When he got tired of dancing and pills, Eric moved into the bar room powder cocaine scene of the mid-2000s. “It was a bit calmer, and I didn’t have to party and show off so much,” he says. It was around this time that London was being transformed amid a blizzard of British indie, cocaine, money, and the gentrification of whole swathes of the capital.

Eric saw his clientele change, as rising house prices uprooted the poor and replaced them with a swarm of middle class graduate professionals with money to burn. Gentrification did not just result in a rash of independent coffee shops and gastro pubs, it transformed the population. “In the mid-2000s I used to sell to the chavs and Jeremy Kyle type people in the pubs. Then the pubs started to look different and my customers became successful people, posh people,” remembers Eric.


The chances of New Zealand co-hosting the 2023 Women’s Football World Cup with Australia just got a lot better. The NZ Herald has bounced off the news from Japan that the country has pulled out – of the three bids that were still in play, Japan’s bid was seen as the next best option for FIFA. It seems strange to think about international sporting events happening right now, but by 2023, who knows, we might have sorted some of the problems out. A decision is likely by the end of the week.


That’s it for The Bulletin. If you want to support the work we do at The Spinoff, please check out our membership programme