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UK PM Boris Johnson delivering a recent speech (Getty Images)
UK PM Boris Johnson delivering a recent speech (Getty Images)

The BulletinJuly 21, 2021

The Bulletin: ‘Freedom Day’ in England, and the consequences

UK PM Boris Johnson delivering a recent speech (Getty Images)
UK PM Boris Johnson delivering a recent speech (Getty Images)

Good morning and welcome to The Bulletin. In today’s edition: Consequences for “freedom day” coming in England, Chinese embassy responds to hacking allegation, and exclusive new polling on government’s Covid response.

“Freedom” has come to England, with the lifting of all coronavirus restrictions. It is happening at a time when the rolling 7-day average of new cases is above 40,000 a day, and that’s just in England alone, let alone the entire UK. Even in a country that has done an exceptionally poor job of managing the pandemic – especially from a health perspective but the economy hasn’t done much better – this represents a new phase. Logistically, there are plenty of complaints being heard about a new “ping” system, which tells people when they need to be isolated, reports the BBC.

The reasons for the move are entirely political. England’s lockdowns have always been implemented soft and late as it were, and as such the population has spent far longer living with some form of restriction than it should have. PM Boris Johnson wants to avoid more restrictions in the northern hemisphere winter, and said in a speech yesterday “there comes a point where further restrictions no longer prevent hospitalisations and death but simply delay the inevitable”. I hate to say it, dear reader, but death is inevitable for all of us, and most public health policy is geared around delaying it. Johnson himself was forced to go into isolation this week, after his new health minister Sajid Javid tested positive.

One saving grace of the situation in England is relatively high levels of vaccination, and the death rate hasn’t risen alarmingly yet. But it’s almost certain there’ll be an explosion of people that end up affected by “long Covid”.That detail came out of an interview on Q+A with epidemiologist Dr Deepti Gurdasani, who said it is hitting people of all ages and can be debilitating for months afterwards – and possibly longer, we don’t yet know if everyone will recover from it. We published a piece last year by a Covid long-hauler explaining how sick they remained four months after testing positive.

And the wider world is at risk from England’s policy. Johnson has provided the perfect conditions for new vaccine-resistant variations to emerge, which would be a huge danger when so many countries are fatigued by the pandemic. Radio NZ republished a Conversation piece by AUT law professor Kris Gledhill, who speculated England could be taken to an international court on charges of failure to protect the human right to life.


The Chinese embassy has strongly condemned an accusation from the New Zealand government and others over alleged state-sponsored cyber-attacks. Newshub reports an embassy statement described it as a “malicious smear”, said it was an accusation made without proof, and that a “solemn representation” had been made to the NZ government. “We urge the New Zealand side to abandon the Cold War mentality, adopt a professional and responsible attitude when dealing with cyber incidents, and work with others to jointly tackle the challenge through dialogue and cooperation rather than manipulating political issues under the pretext of cyber security and mudslinging at others.” Meanwhile, Rebecca Howard at (paywalled) Business Desk reports exporters are on edge about what the fallout of this all could be.


Public sentiment towards the government’s Covid response has slipped slightly, but is still strongly positive, according to exclusive new polling conducted by Stickybeak for The Spinoff. Within that picture, there has been a sharp fall in respondents rating the government’s performance as “excellent” (the highest rating) though a plurality of respondents have still picked that option. We also asked about bubble plans, and the vast majority of respondents have no plans at all to go to Aussie any time soon. Speaking of Australia, thoughts and prayers for our very own Alice Webb-Liddall who is currently stuck there, after making an “impossible, failed rush to get home”.


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Officials are worried about the boom in “buy-now, pay-later” services since lockdown, reports Madison Reidy for Newshub. The big concern is a lack of assessment for repayment that gets made – it’s upfront, easy money given to people who haven’t necessarily been made aware of the consequences. Now MBIE officials say some of those taking it up have been pushed into financial hardship. BNPL companies have defended the terms in their models.


Former RBNZ chair Arthur Grimes has accused the Reserve Bank of presiding over a “wellbeing disaster” with their monetary policy, reports Jenée Tibshraeny for Interest. His comments came in the wake of figures showing fast-rising inflation, along with a year of wild increases in house prices. Grimes was also critical of the government’s wish for the RBNZ to target “maximum sustainable employment” in setting interest rates, and said more should be done to make the RBNZ consider asset prices.


A complaint has been laid with the ombudsman over the workability of the managed isolation booking system, reports the NZ Herald’s Chris Keall. Jonathan Brewer is an NZer living in Singapore, and as a tech expert could probably find a technical fix not available to others, but intends to play by the rules. In case you missed it, David Farrier wrote about having similar problems.


The New Zealand economy has come out of hosting the 2021 America’s Cup worse off, according to a new cost-benefit analysis. The NZ Herald’s Tom Dillane reports that has been put down to a range of factors, including Covid-19 and lack of interest from a wide array of syndicates. But even so, the total economic deficit has been put at $293 million. Higher than expected public expenditure also contributed to that. Imagine the savings if Emirates Team NZ make good on their threat to take the cup overseas.


Got some feedback about The Bulletin, or anything in the news? Get in touch with me at thebulletin@thespinoff.co.nz

Photo: SOME BIZARRE MONKEY/Tina Tiller

Right now on The Spinoff: George Driver has a detailed explainer on SNAs – a bit of legislation that has farmers up in arms. Tom Doig talks to John Summers about his exciting looking new book of essays about Old New Zealand. Alice Webb-Liddall, in partnership with TradeMe, writes about the Kindness Store getting kids what they need for winter. Megan Dunn spends an afternoon with the surrealists at Te Papa’s blockbuster exhibition. And Chris Schulz looks back at some of the weirdest and wildest press conferences given in New Zealand by rockstars.


For a feature today, an expose of a hacking and spying scandal, with allegations a spyware company had clients in governments around the world. The Guardian and other major media outlets have been calling it the Pegasus Project, named after the particular spyware produced by the Israeli-based NSO Group. Pegasus effectively allows iPhones to be turned against their owners, and was used to target activists, lawyers, journalists and opposition politicians. Here’s an excerpt:

In India, the numbers of a variety of activists were found in the data.

Umar Khalid, a student activist at Jawaharlal Nehru University in Delhi and the leader of the Democratic Students’ Union, was selected ahead of a possible targeting in late 2018, shortly before sedition charges were filed against him. He was arrested in September 2020 on charges of organising riots, and police claimed the evidence against him included more than 1m pages of information gleaned from his mobile phone, without making it clear how the information was obtained. He is in jail awaiting trial.

The mobile numbers of writers, lawyers and artists who advocated for the rights of indigenous communities and low-caste Indians were also in the data. Members of the network have been arrested over the past three years and charged with terrorism offences, including plotting to assassinate the Indian prime minister, Narendra Modi. The network included an 84-year-old Jesuit priest, Stan Swamy, who died this month after contracting Covid-19 in prison.


In the next two days, both of New Zealand’s representative football teams will begin campaigns that could end up surprisingly successful. The Football Ferns have the tougher path to the playoffs, facing Sweden, Australia and the mighty USA in their group, and Radio NZ reports optimism in the camp is high. Meanwhile the All Whites have been given a comparatively easier draw, being drawn with South Korea, Honduras and Romania. Both teams will be bolstered by players currently performing on the world stage, including Burnley’s Chris Wood, Liverpool’s Meikayla Moore, and North Carolina’s Abby Erceg. My personal hope: I’d rather see both teams take a risk and play some lovely footy than just grimly hang on for 0-0 draws.


That’s it for The Bulletin. If you want to support the work we do at The Spinoff, please check out our membership programme.

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Andrew Little (Getty Images)
Andrew Little (Getty Images)

The BulletinJuly 20, 2021

The Bulletin: NZ throws in with Five Eyes, alleging Chinese hacking

Andrew Little (Getty Images)
Andrew Little (Getty Images)

Good morning and welcome to The Bulletin. In today’s edition: NZ joins allies in alleging Chinese hacking, stats on inflation show big rise, and immigration tribunal rejects deportation to India on Covid grounds.

In a release late last night, GCSB minister Andrew Little said the agency had established links between a Chinese state-sponsored hacking group and malicious activity in NZ. Radio NZ reports the group – Advanced Persistent Threat 40 – also stands accused of attacks in Britain. “We call for an end to this type of malicious activity, which undermines global stability and security, and we urge China to take appropriate action in relation to such activity emanating from its territory,” said Little. The statement was coordinated alongside one from US president Joe Biden, other Five Eyes countries, the European Union, and Japan.

This appears to be a pretty significant moment in the direction of travel for New Zealand’s international relations. Richard Harman at Politik speculated in a report that knowledge this was coming up is what led the government to warn exporters they could face trade disruption, similar to what is being experienced by Australian exporters at the moment. The bind NZ is now in was illustrated in this recent Radio NZ story about export growth to China, in which a foreign policy expert said it had been clear for at least a decade that a moment like this was coming.


The stats on inflation came out on Friday, and they show it running ahead of any time over the past decade. As the NZ Herald reports, a lot of that was driven by increased housing and petrol costs. The spike increases the chance the Reserve Bank will start moving interest rates up earlier – perhaps as soon as next month. Some are also seeing the risks of “stagflation” developing. As Interest’s David Hargreaves writes, “there is a risk then that our economy could rapidly lose heat and impetus, but prices would stay up. And that would be horrid. That would be stagflation.”


The Immigration and Protection Tribunal has ruled an Indian man cannot be deported right now, because it would be inhumane to send him back to a country ravaged by Covid. Stuff’s Steve Kilgallon reports former immigration minister Tuariki Delamere believes this could be a precedent-setter, making deportations generally much less likely. Immigration NZ has rejected this, saying the ruling will not make them change their approach.


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A big shipment of the Covid-19 vaccine arrived early yesterday, putting the rollout on somewhat safer footing. Our live updates reports 370k Pfizer doses were delivered two days ahead of schedule, which Covid minister Chris Hipkins said was the result of “dedicated work”. Meanwhile, the drug used against RSV is in short supply after the spate of cases.Radio NZ reports demand for Prednisolone is near twice that of normal, which will primarily affect those trying to get the drug from pharmacies. Pharmac is currently trying to get more stocks delivered.


When will the much delayed Transmission Gully actually open? It’s meant to be at the end of September, but as this analysis from the NZ Herald’s Georgina Campbell notes, confidence in that appears to be slipping. There’s still plenty of work needing to be done, in wintry conditions not necessarily suitable for construction, and regulators will need to sign it all off at the end.


About a quarter of Westport residents still can’t go back to their homes, and some could be waiting months, reports Newshub after the flooding through the town. Emergency shelters are currently being used, and authorities are still working through what the medium-term housing options look like. Michael Andrew spoke to a local business owner, who talked about the fact that Westport is in a particularly vulnerable location, and questions needed to be asked about whether it would be safe in the future.

On the subject, I want to add a bit of weight to a comment made in yesterday’s Bulletin, about the spate of floods and climate change. The Science Media Centre collected reaction from the scientific community to the event, emailing them out to journalists, and this particular comment from Dr Judy Lawrence of the Climate Change Research Institute jumped out:

“We seem deaf and blind to the science and the tools and methods for planning that we have available to address these risks. How much disruption can communities take before planning kicks in to reduce risks and plan for more of the extreme events and ongoing changes like sea level rise, which exacerbate hazards already being felt?


Got some feedback about The Bulletin, or anything in the news? Get in touch with me at thebulletin@thespinoff.co.nz

Right now on The Spinoff: David Farrier writes about going to the US for work, and now spending every day refreshing the MIQ booking page to get a booking home. Emma Vitz looks at the data showing renting New Zealanders are spending much more for increasingly poor homes. Justin Latif reports on the tactics used to get Ōtara a new playground. Peter McKenzie writes about a New Zealand photographer making actual money from NFTs. Alex Casey sits down and scrolls through the Mad Butcher’s remarkable breakfast selection on Instagram. And I review the first four hours of the new sports radio station SENZ.


For a feature today, another piece from one of the better Substacks about ideas, media and the internet. Australian journalist James Hennessey has written on The Terminal about the declining art of arguing on the internet, and how such arguments have become a lot less enjoyable to watch play out. Here’s an excerpt:

Nowhere was this more obvious than the debate about Sweden, which set itself apart early in the pandemic by avoiding hard lockdowns. As such, it instantly became fodder for endless arguments, with people online (very few of whom either lived in Sweden or in a country much comparable to it) picking apart every single update or death count to find ammunition to bolster their argument in some Covid argument or another. Both sides of the lockdown debate had at various points reason to invoke the Swedish example, and then, when the data had become too cloudy and the situation too complex to really extract any truly meaningful conclusion, it was dispensed with entirely.

You got the overwhelming sense that few really believed there were necessarily actionable policy lessons from the Swedish example for their own country, or that those lessons would ever be implemented in their own countries — just that it was something that could be fed into the online culture war thresher with minimal resistance. It is argument as a numbers game — a sport, but not one where anyone’s having a good time.


The playoffs are sorted for the ANZ Premiership, and the previously dominant Northern Stars have been bundled out. Stuff reports they lost to the Steel in a brutally close game, which meant that despite the Stars being top of the table for most of the season, they lost their place when it mattered. The elimination final will now be a South Island derby between the Tactix and the Steel, with the winners to play the Northern Mystics in the grand final.


That’s it for The Bulletin. If you want to support the work we do at The Spinoff, please check out our membership programme.