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Image: Getty Images/Tina Tiller
Image: Getty Images/Tina Tiller

BusinessOctober 27, 2021

The jobs with the highest risk factors for Covid transmission, charted

Image: Getty Images/Tina Tiller
Image: Getty Images/Tina Tiller

As Covid embeds itself into our communities, catching the virus at work will become a real possibility for many more of us. But which occupations are by their nature the riskiest? Emma Vitz looks at the data.

Since the beginning of the pandemic, I’ve been acutely aware of how lucky I am to have a job that is largely unaffected by Covid. I work in an office, which means it’s easy to work from home, I’m rarely in a face-to-face interaction with people other than my coworkers, and because I work in the insurance industry, we haven’t lost much business either.

Of course, not everyone is so fortunate. Up until now, the main effect of the pandemic on people’s working lives in New Zealand has been a loss of work. But now that we’re transitioning to opening up in the face of community transmission, catching Covid at work will no longer be something only a small handful of healthcare workers and border workers are risking. 

With this in mind, I wanted to take a look at the most common kinds of jobs that people have in New Zealand, and how they compare on a number of attributes that could increase the risk of catching Covid in the workplace.

The most common job in New Zealand is a sales assistant, a role held by 4.5% of the working population. Other common occupations include office manager, CEO/managing directors (presumably mostly of small businesses) and sales representatives. 

Although I’m no expert in the finer details of Covid transmission, I think we’ve all learned a few things about the kinds of environments that make spread more likely. They include being indoors, being in close proximity to others, and having contact with a large number of people.

We can presume the government and public health officials considered similar factors in deciding to mandate Covid-19 vaccination for workers in sectors where vaccine certificates will be required for customers (such as hospitality, gyms and close-contact businesses such as hairdressers). 

These factors are mentioned in WorkSafe’s guidelines for employers and are also likely to feature in a new legal risk-assessment process, announced yesterday, which employers can follow to decide whether they can require employees to be vaccinated.

With these workplace characteristics in mind, I decided to draw from databases that describe the work contexts of most occupations to better understand how conducive someone’s work environment is to spreading the virus.

In particular, I was interested in the need for physical proximity, the frequency of face-to-face interactions, how often someone dealt with external customers, and whether the work was conducted inside. Each of these characteristics was rated on a scale of 0 to 100, where 0 meant this never happened in the context of a particular job, and 100 meant that it was always a part of the work. 

There are, of course, other things that matter as well – ventilation seems to be the sewage system of the 21st century – but we don’t have this information available at this stage. 

So what does the information that we can access tell us? Click on the arrow below to sort jobs by industry.

Among the 50 most common jobs in New Zealand, the one with the highest total score across those four characteristics is a cafe or restaurant manager, with a total score of 376 out of 400 across the four metrics. They score extremely highly on being in an indoors environment, as well as being in close physical contact with others and being in contact with external customers, often in a face-to-face environment. 

After cafe or restaurant manager, the jobs with the highest total scores across all four characteristics are hairdresser and nurse manager, with scores of 360 and 354 out of 400, respectively. Of course, following government announcements yesterday and earlier in the month, all these occupations will now be subject to vaccine mandates. 

The job with the lowest total score across these four characteristics is a farm worker with a total score of 222.5. As well as not often working in an indoor environment, these workers score low on interactions with external customers and physical proximity to others. They do, however, engage in face-to-face interactions on a reasonably frequent basis. 

Other jobs with low scores on these characteristics include trades workers and software engineers. Painters often work outside and rarely deal with external customers, while software engineers score low on physical proximity and interacting with external customers.

Overall, we can see that most occupations in New Zealand include some risk factors. Many people work in retail and hospitality, where close contact with large numbers of people in indoor settings could fan the flames of Covid transmission. While I wasn’t able to find data on the ages or ethnicities of people in each occupation, I think it’s safe to say that many of these higher-risk industries employ younger people, who are less likely to be fully vaccinated. Some may also employ more Māori or Pacific people, where vaccination rates are lower as well. 

Whatever the industry in which they operate, employers need to become aware of the risk factors their work environments present to their employees and customers. As we ease out of lockdown, it’s no longer enough to assume Covid isn’t in our workplaces. 

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BusinessOctober 22, 2021

Covid traffic light framework: NZ business and advocacy groups respond

FeatureImage_850x510_TrafficLight_V2

Jacinda Ardern this morning outlined a new framework for NZ’s Covid response, conditional on vaccination levels (read our explainer here). How did that, and the associated business support and hardship assistance announcements, go down?

Judith Collins denounced this morning’s big announcements as a betrayal of business and an “utter disgrace”, but the consistent message among business lobby groups has been a cautious but clear welcoming of the new framework and the boosted support payments, which will see a doubling of resurgence support payment.

The framework, which kicks in for Auckland when its DHBs hit 90% double-vaccinated, and for the rest of the country when all DHBs reach the same level, provided “much needed clarity on moving beyond lockdowns and enabling the reopening of the economy”, said BusinessNZ chief executive Kirk Hope. It was “encouraging to see further support being offered to Auckland businesses currently struggling under level four restrictions”.

“They listened,” was the response from Michael Barnett, CEO of the Auckland Business Chamber. “We have a balanced response that considers health and wellbeing and getting back to business and more normal lives are now within our grasp as Auckland’s vaccination rates will hit the magic 90% within weeks.”

The support package was a boon to “desperate businesses”, he added, “by not only providing cash but recognising that help is needed through transition from restrictions to greater freedoms and will require employers to be in better shape financially, strategically and emotionally”.

There was a note of concern, however, from the EMA. The employers’ group again “welcomed” the framework and the support package, but chief executive Brett O’Riley was less confident that the 90% double-vax target would be easily achieved. “Getting to the 90% target in Auckland is going to be a challenge and while the $120m allocated to targeting our Māori community is great news, we’d like to know particularly how the government plans to reach other communities, such as those who are opposed to this vaccine but would have one of the others,” he said.

Hospitality NZ was especially impressed by the doubling of the resurgence payment, which was “desperately needed” by the sector. “We’re happy that the government has heard our demand that it will only happen once legal protections are in place for those who refuse entry to non-vaccinated people and introduce staff mandates,” said CEO Julie White. “This is better late than never. I sincerely hope it’s enough to stop more businesses going to the wall – but for some it won’t be enough.”

The financial support and confirmation that retail will be able to open at all stages of the traffic light framework were good news, said Retail NZ. It was disappointing, however, that “there is still no firm date when we will transition to the new system, which makes it difficult for businesses to plan and stay afloat”, said CEO Greg Harford. “We absolutely need to get people across the community vaccinated, and the government should set a date so that the unvaccinated appreciate the urgency.”

Another welcome came from Leeann Watson, CEO of the Canterbury Chamber of Commerce.

“It is positive to hear a plan for re-opening the economy and a pathway out of lockdown that instead focuses on vaccinations. This will provide businesses a degree of certainty and confidence to start planning ahead,” she said. “While there will be some frustration that we are to stay in alert level two until we reach the 90% double vaccination target, Cantabrians have done a great job over the last few weeks of getting our rates up, including the highest vaccination rates in the country on Super Saturday. However, this announcement reinforces the need for us to encourage those people who remain unvaccinated to get the vaccine, to protect our communities, workplaces, friends and whānau – and economy.”

She was pleased to hear, too, “that this framework will set up legal protections for businesses to refuse non-vaccinated people and employers for staff mandates, as this is an area that we receive numerous enquiries about from our members and wider business community. Businesses also need approaches and guidance to be able to take defendable decisions in preparing their workforces moving forward and we look forward to continuing to work with government to gain greater clarity on this.”

Another package announced today was a temporary lift in income limits for hardship support. For four months from November 1, hardship assistance from Work and Income will now be available to a single person working up to 40 hours at the minimum wage, or $800 per week and $1600 per week for a couple with or without children, up from the previous 30-hour limit.

That simply wasn’t good enough for the most vulnerable, said the Child Poverty Action Group, which called for an promised benefit increases to be brought forward.

“The government continues to say it is monitoring the situation, but 10 weeks into the lockdown we are still waiting for meaningful income-related support for children and their families,” said spokesperson Mike O’Brien. “Today’s announcement will make very little difference to families as they are one-off payments: families need adequate regular income they can rely on.”

He added: “Children living in families with inadequate resources – particularly disadvantaged tamariki Māori and Pacific children – are among those being made to bear the heaviest Covid-19-related burdens. Children are hurting now, and the longer their need is left, the worse the consequences will be for everyone.”