The empty lot where the proposed stadium will be built Christchurch (Radio NZ, Nate McKinnon)
The empty lot where the proposed stadium will be built Christchurch (Radio NZ, Nate McKinnon)

The BulletinJuly 23, 2021

The Bulletin: Christchurch stadium design downsized amid cost blowout

The empty lot where the proposed stadium will be built Christchurch (Radio NZ, Nate McKinnon)
The empty lot where the proposed stadium will be built Christchurch (Radio NZ, Nate McKinnon)

Good morning and welcome to The Bulletin. In today’s edition: Christchurch stadium design downsized amid cost blowout, FMA gives damning insurance industry assessment, and mental health pilot programme fails to get near targets.

A new design will be needed for the proposed stadium in Christchurch, after cost-overruns caused the original design to be shelved. Steven Walton from The Press has been covering this story closely, with an extraordinary council meeting taking place yesterday, to vote on whether to commission a new design. Originally the stadium was going to be a 30,000-seater, but that was going to go tens of millions over budget, so now it has been cut back to 25,000 – with designers told to look for “efficiencies” to try and bump that up a bit more. There will also be discussions around the regional council and neighbouring district councils putting more money in.

The stadium is billed as multi-use, and maybe it will be, but rugby has loomed large over this whole process. Walton again for Stuff reported yesterday morning that Christchurch will face increased payments to secure major All Blacks tests in the city with a smaller stadium. Christchurch has traditionally been a rugby city, and the reporting included discussion about whether it was sensible to build in capacity that’d realistically only be filled once a year. The NZ Herald reports approval for a smaller design has come from the Crusaders. They simply want to escape their current stadium, which fans largely hate, especially on cold nights. There are also concerns in Christchurch that without a covered stadium, the city will continue to lose out on major event bids to Dunedin, and the Ed Sheeran murals that come with that.

It’s not really a rugby story though – it’s really a story about infrastructure capacity and commodities. The stadium has become more expensive in large part because the price of steel has boomed – for example, in the US it is currently at record prices which is slowing down other construction projects, and in New Zealand price increases are being seen all throughout construction supply chains. In light of that, the council’s decision has been forced somewhat by circumstances outside of their control. But questions should also be asked about the opportunity costs: Resources going towards a stadium at a time of intense housing shortage and a packed infrastructure spending pipeline, the real estate in the city and if it could be used for other purposes, the carbon emissions created by pouring massive volumes of concrete, and whether the stadium still represents value for public money.

For a counter-view to those questions, here’s an argument from a member of the Christchurch rugby public. Newstalk ZB’s Mike Yardley has laid the blame for the cost overruns on the council, which he said dithered too long amid growing costs. He also accused the council of putting too much focus on transport infrastructure like cycleways, as opposed to the stadium.


The FMA has given a damning assessment of the conduct of the insurance industry in a new report. The story is covered by Katie Bradford at One News, with almost the entire industry displaying conduct “well below” expectations. That includes stuff that hurts consumers, like overcharging and promised discounts not being received – those affected may be due a payout. The Insurance Council said their members are constantly looking to make improvements, but does not believe the report accurately depicts the current state of the industry.


A pilot programme aimed at getting mental health inpatients into housing has barely moved anyone, reports Henry Cooke for Stuff. It was meant to assist about 100 people initially, but eighteen months later just three people have been housed. It was uncovered by questions from National’s spokesperson Matt Doocey, who said it was another example of the government’s big rhetoric on mental health not being matched with action.


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An announcement will be made today on whether the trans-Tasman bubble will stay open. Our live updates had the update as of yesterday afternoon, when a cabinet meeting took place to discuss it. The bubble is closed to Victoria, New South Wales and South Australia already, with questions hanging over Queensland as well. To sum up the Australian situation, New South Wales is still hitting daily updates of above 100 new cases.


The maritime union is defending sailors with Covid, after 43 cases were found in the space of a month. The union’s Victor Billot told One News it was wrong to blame the individuals, and New Zealand has an obligation to care for people on the water – but that policy changes might be needed to prevent dangerous situations developing. “A lot of those crews coming in haven’t been vaccinated because they’re coming from areas in the world where it hasn’t been rolled out properly yet. It’s actually a major international problem trying to get those crews on vessels or all types of vessels vaccinated,” he said.


The Spinoff has been sent a legal threat by Dr Simon Thornley of Plan B regarding an article on the site by Dr Siouxsie Wiles. Political editor Justin Giovannetti has written up the letter and the context, with Thornley arguing that a reference made to him was defamatory, when considered alongside other statements. The Spinoff has in turn defended the article, and declined to make changes suggested by Thornley.


A correction and apology: Earlier in the week there was a link out to the Substack blog The Terminal, and a reference to the author “Josh Hennessey”. I’m embarrassed to say, but his name is actually James, so my apologies for that – Mr Hennessey appears to have taken it in good humour.


If you want to do my job, time is running out. Applications close on Sunday to be Editor of The Bulletin, which has been a very cool and rewarding job for me, and could be for you too!


Got some feedback about The Bulletin, or anything in the news? Get in touch with me at thebulletin@thespinoff.co.nz

Which of the opening ceremonies reigns supreme? The result may (or may not) surprise you. (Image: Tina Tiller)

Right now on The Spinoff: Bernard Hickey looks at the ways New Zealand could try and get the vaccine rollout above the plateaus it has hit in other countries. Toby Manhire reports on more Stickybeak polling conducted for The Spinoff – this time about whether the country is on the right track over opening up. Michael Andrew reports on the costs and benefits of the amazing salaries currently being offered amid a tech worker shortage. I spoke to an expert about how that whole “wobbly moon” thing is actually a climate change story. Alexia Santamaria has a really interesting story about an accounting firm whose founders made the decision to be proudly brown in a largely white industry. And Sam Brooks has put his world-class talent for this sort of thing to good use, ranking all the Summer Olympic opening ceremonies.


For a feature today, a change in rhetoric from the American right regarding vaccines. The Atlantic has looked at the pro-vaccine messaging coming out of Fox News in particular this week – when previously the message had been quite a bit less clear. Anti-vax views in the US are heavily concentrated in conservative states. Here’s an excerpt:

Carlson, the network’s leading personality, was initially a lonely voice in taking the pandemic seriously, but has since become a merchant of doubt. This editorial tack comes even though owner Rupert Murdoch was quick to get his own shot in December. Fox has also reportedly encouraged, though not mandated, employees to disclose their vaccination status, even as Carlson has likened vaccine passports to Jim Crow laws on air.

Why the shift is happening now, and so abruptly, is not clear. One possible factor is that, as CNN’s Kaitlan Collins reported, “there have been regular, high-level conversations between the White House & Fox News regarding pandemic & vaccine coverage.” Fox quickly denied the report.

Another possibility is the emergence of a new COVID-19 surge, fueled by the Delta variant. Scalise, like some of the others, cited Delta as a reason to get vaccinated now. The more infectious strain has led to rising case numbers in the United States, overloaded hospitals in some states with low vaccination rates, and reinstated lockdowns around the world. Fear about Delta is spreading around the U.S., and it was blamed for a swoon in the stock market yesterday. The Delta variant is also spreading particularly in red states, which lag more liberal areas in vaccine uptake. Yet widespread death and suffering among conservatives and Republican voters has not inspired such a unified response.


Both NZ and Australia have pulled out of playing in the Rugby League World Cup in Britain this year, reports One News. The unions say their concern is the difference in how Covid is managed between the UK and Australia, and player welfare concerns have been top of mind.  It’s an enormous blow to the tournament, given both teams are theoretical trophy challengers, in a sport with a very small number of elite nations.

And those two football games that were teased a few days ago: The men’s team claimed their first ever Olympic win last night, with a gutsy and grim 1-0 win over Asian giants South Korea. Burnley poacher Chris Wood managed to wrangle one in midway through the second half, after a totally dour first half. I take back everything I said about wanting to see nice football, winning is now everything. Unfortunately, the Football Ferns couldn’t do the same, going down 2-1 against Australia.


That’s it for The Bulletin. If you want to support the work we do at The Spinoff, please check out our membership programme.

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Hipkins said the Auckland lockdown cost Labour votes. (Photo: Getty Images)
Hipkins said the Auckland lockdown cost Labour votes. (Photo: Getty Images)

The BulletinJuly 22, 2021

The Bulletin: Stocktake of the vaccine rollout

Hipkins said the Auckland lockdown cost Labour votes. (Photo: Getty Images)
Hipkins said the Auckland lockdown cost Labour votes. (Photo: Getty Images)

Good morning and welcome to The Bulletin. In today’s edition: Stocktake of the vaccine rollout, social housing waitlist stretches to another new record, and cargo ships building up in Tauranga port traffic.

Progress on the vaccine rollout is starting to speed up, but the overall rollout is still lagging behind the rest of the world. Yesterday at a press conference, Covid-19 minister Chris Hipkins said 628,000 people are now fully vaccinated, with 1.5 million doses administered overall, and Hipkins is confident of that “ramping up” – our live updates at 1.00pm has further details. Oxford’s Our World In Data tracker has New Zealand below both the global per capita average of doses given, and very low relative to other OECD countries. The disclaimer for that stat is that Covid isn’t currently circulating in the community. The NZ Herald had a story yesterday about the slow start to the rollout, which impacted the current situation.

Bookings for the general public will open next week. There may be some teething issues, and are probably to be expected in a complex job. One came out on Stuff, where Sophie Cornish reports thousands of people in Wellington got a text carrying incorrect information, and telling them to book via a dead website or disconnected phone line. The actual website is expected to go live next Wednesday.

Public confidence is crucial to the overall success of the rollout, and we’ve got a new poll that gives a fair idea of how people are feeling. The Stickybeak/Spinoff survey shows there’s much less positivity towards the vaccination programme than the overall government Covid response – on this, respondents were split roughly into thirds over positive, negative and neutral views. On whether people would actually get the jab, 65% of respondents said they would, against about 15% who said they would not.

Meanwhile, in a bright spot: Some rural or remote areas are doing mass-vax days, and Radio NZ’s Tom Kitchin went along to see one in the predominantly Māori community of Te Araroa in Tairāwhiti. The day isn’t part of the ministry’s priority group programme – rather the idea is to get everyone done in one go. Misinformation about vaccines was a topic being discussed by locals in the report, but it appears to have had wide uptake.

Finally, to avoid shortages, a suggestion has been made for New Zealand to start producing vaccines. Stuff’s Hannah Martin reports that came from college of GPs medical director Dr Bryan Betty, who argues that is is necessary to develop capacity because of the likelihood “booster” jabs will be needed as the virus mutates. Director general of health Dr Ashley Bloomfield said there are no current plans to start producing vaccines, but more cooperation might be possible with Australia who are looking to do so.


Well over 10,000 people on the social housing list are waiting more than six months to get a home, reports Stuff’s Henry Cooke. That overall list is now 24,010, the highest it has ever been. Even with several hundred people being moved off the list into housing, and with a house building programme underway, demand isn’t being met. The story has a concerning post-script: rental inflation is rising faster than both income and general inflation, meaning that for renters the share of their income going into housing is increasing.


More than a dozen cargo ships have built up in a long wait around Tauranga’s port, reports Mathew Nash for Sun Live. There are logistical issues up the chain causing problems, and it comes at a time of very high timber and kiwifruit exports. Meanwhile, these sorts of issues are causing an effective breakdown in what’s known as “just in time shipping”, and Newsroom’s Anuja Nadkarni reports this is providing a boom for domestic storage facilities, which are seeing unprecedented demand.


A paid message from our partners at the Productivity Commission:

The Productivity Commission is investigating how some New Zealanders end up leading persistently disadvantaged lives, and what can be done to break the cycle. They want your help to shape their inquiry. Click here to have your say


The Public Service Association is disappointed with a lack of progress on a reform aimed at helping parliament’s workers. Newsroom’s Sam Sachdeva has reported on criticism that two years on from the damning Francis Review, an independent commission to oversee MP behaviour has been delayed. Currently there is a serious lack of accountability for how MPs treat staff, with public scrutiny difficult, and a lack of recourse for mistreated staff. Only the Greens have actively supported the recommendation, with other parties non-committal.


Auckland Council and the United Church of Tonga is at an impasse over an iconic but derelict building in Grey Lynn, reports Caroline Williams for Stuff. Carlile House is currently fenced up, hasn’t been used for years, and anyone stepping inside would be running the risk of a bit of roof falling on their heads. The church took over the building in the 70s, but can’t afford to repair it. And because it has heritage status, it can’t simply be knocked down.


There has been speculation the government is looking at introducing an inheritance tax, but revenue minister David Parker has again hosed the concept down, reports Newshub. A statement said it was “not being considered”, and Labour campaigned in 2020 on very limited tax system changes over this term. It’s an interesting call for Parker to make, as an admirer of economist Thomas Piketty, who argues inherited accumulated wealth actively works against a meritocratic society, amid a rapidly growing gap between asset owners and the rest.


Got some feedback about The Bulletin, or anything in the news? Get in touch with me at thebulletin@thespinoff.co.nz

Toa of Plimmerton. Photo by Marty MELVILLE / AFP via Getty Images

Right now on The Spinoff: Mirjam Guesgen writes about the various fates that might befall Toa the orca. For good measure, Mirjam Guesgen has also reported on an animal welfare activist case against rodeos. Max Rashbrooke in partnership with the Productivity Commission writes about the inquiry into why some lead lives of persistent disadvantage. Leonie Hayden looks back on three largely forgotten moments from the 81 Springbok Tour. And Simon Bridges is the latest guest on FIRST, talking about first school memories and first concerts.


For a feature today, a concerning story about how long-term warfare creates generations of men with few skills outside of fighting. World Politics Review (soft paywall) has looked at the proliferation of Colombian mercenaries in conflicts around the world – including alleged involvement in the recent assassination of Haiti’s president. The country has been fighting internal wars for decades, and the army is now functioning almost as a pipeline for young men with limited opportunities to private security forces. Here’s an excerpt:

The private security industry took a big reputational hit in 2007, when armed guards working for Blackwater, founded by Erik Prince, massacred 17 Iraqi civilians and injured 20 more in Baghdad. But Prince continued to expand his empire, reaching an agreement to build a private standing army in partnership with Saudi Arabia in 2011. The corporate mercenary industry had gone global, and some of its most attractive recruits were Colombian veterans and ex-paramilitary members.

“The selling point was not only that Colombian soldiers were ‘battle tested,’” said Sergio Guzman, director of Colombia Risk Analysis, a research and consultancy firm in Bogota. “They had worked with U.S. special forces. They had been trained by U.S. advisers.” As if to underscore his point, the Pentagon announced Thursday that at least some of the 21 former Colombian soldiers arrested in connection with Moise’s assassination in Haiti had been trained by U.S. advisers during their time in the Colombian military.


In sport, a celebration of heart and endurance to keep battling for the win well beyond the final whistle. The ODT’s Hayden Meikle has reported on what is believed to be the longest game of rugby ever played in New Zealand, with 113 minutes being needed to separate Union and Kurow in the North Otago President’s Grade final. Extra time wasn’t enough, so the teams went to golden point, before a penalty put Union over the top for an 18-15 victory. Many of the players were reportedly “really buggered” by the end of it all.


That’s it for The Bulletin. If you want to support the work we do at The Spinoff, please check out our membership programme.