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Hipkins said the Auckland lockdown cost Labour votes. (Photo: Getty Images)
Hipkins said the Auckland lockdown cost Labour votes. (Photo: Getty Images)

The BulletinJuly 22, 2021

The Bulletin: Stocktake of the vaccine rollout

Hipkins said the Auckland lockdown cost Labour votes. (Photo: Getty Images)
Hipkins said the Auckland lockdown cost Labour votes. (Photo: Getty Images)

Good morning and welcome to The Bulletin. In today’s edition: Stocktake of the vaccine rollout, social housing waitlist stretches to another new record, and cargo ships building up in Tauranga port traffic.

Progress on the vaccine rollout is starting to speed up, but the overall rollout is still lagging behind the rest of the world. Yesterday at a press conference, Covid-19 minister Chris Hipkins said 628,000 people are now fully vaccinated, with 1.5 million doses administered overall, and Hipkins is confident of that “ramping up” – our live updates at 1.00pm has further details. Oxford’s Our World In Data tracker has New Zealand below both the global per capita average of doses given, and very low relative to other OECD countries. The disclaimer for that stat is that Covid isn’t currently circulating in the community. The NZ Herald had a story yesterday about the slow start to the rollout, which impacted the current situation.

Bookings for the general public will open next week. There may be some teething issues, and are probably to be expected in a complex job. One came out on Stuff, where Sophie Cornish reports thousands of people in Wellington got a text carrying incorrect information, and telling them to book via a dead website or disconnected phone line. The actual website is expected to go live next Wednesday.

Public confidence is crucial to the overall success of the rollout, and we’ve got a new poll that gives a fair idea of how people are feeling. The Stickybeak/Spinoff survey shows there’s much less positivity towards the vaccination programme than the overall government Covid response – on this, respondents were split roughly into thirds over positive, negative and neutral views. On whether people would actually get the jab, 65% of respondents said they would, against about 15% who said they would not.

Meanwhile, in a bright spot: Some rural or remote areas are doing mass-vax days, and Radio NZ’s Tom Kitchin went along to see one in the predominantly Māori community of Te Araroa in Tairāwhiti. The day isn’t part of the ministry’s priority group programme – rather the idea is to get everyone done in one go. Misinformation about vaccines was a topic being discussed by locals in the report, but it appears to have had wide uptake.

Finally, to avoid shortages, a suggestion has been made for New Zealand to start producing vaccines. Stuff’s Hannah Martin reports that came from college of GPs medical director Dr Bryan Betty, who argues that is is necessary to develop capacity because of the likelihood “booster” jabs will be needed as the virus mutates. Director general of health Dr Ashley Bloomfield said there are no current plans to start producing vaccines, but more cooperation might be possible with Australia who are looking to do so.


Well over 10,000 people on the social housing list are waiting more than six months to get a home, reports Stuff’s Henry Cooke. That overall list is now 24,010, the highest it has ever been. Even with several hundred people being moved off the list into housing, and with a house building programme underway, demand isn’t being met. The story has a concerning post-script: rental inflation is rising faster than both income and general inflation, meaning that for renters the share of their income going into housing is increasing.


More than a dozen cargo ships have built up in a long wait around Tauranga’s port, reports Mathew Nash for Sun Live. There are logistical issues up the chain causing problems, and it comes at a time of very high timber and kiwifruit exports. Meanwhile, these sorts of issues are causing an effective breakdown in what’s known as “just in time shipping”, and Newsroom’s Anuja Nadkarni reports this is providing a boom for domestic storage facilities, which are seeing unprecedented demand.


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The Public Service Association is disappointed with a lack of progress on a reform aimed at helping parliament’s workers. Newsroom’s Sam Sachdeva has reported on criticism that two years on from the damning Francis Review, an independent commission to oversee MP behaviour has been delayed. Currently there is a serious lack of accountability for how MPs treat staff, with public scrutiny difficult, and a lack of recourse for mistreated staff. Only the Greens have actively supported the recommendation, with other parties non-committal.


Auckland Council and the United Church of Tonga is at an impasse over an iconic but derelict building in Grey Lynn, reports Caroline Williams for Stuff. Carlile House is currently fenced up, hasn’t been used for years, and anyone stepping inside would be running the risk of a bit of roof falling on their heads. The church took over the building in the 70s, but can’t afford to repair it. And because it has heritage status, it can’t simply be knocked down.


There has been speculation the government is looking at introducing an inheritance tax, but revenue minister David Parker has again hosed the concept down, reports Newshub. A statement said it was “not being considered”, and Labour campaigned in 2020 on very limited tax system changes over this term. It’s an interesting call for Parker to make, as an admirer of economist Thomas Piketty, who argues inherited accumulated wealth actively works against a meritocratic society, amid a rapidly growing gap between asset owners and the rest.


Got some feedback about The Bulletin, or anything in the news? Get in touch with me at thebulletin@thespinoff.co.nz

Toa of Plimmerton. Photo by Marty MELVILLE / AFP via Getty Images

Right now on The Spinoff: Mirjam Guesgen writes about the various fates that might befall Toa the orca. For good measure, Mirjam Guesgen has also reported on an animal welfare activist case against rodeos. Max Rashbrooke in partnership with the Productivity Commission writes about the inquiry into why some lead lives of persistent disadvantage. Leonie Hayden looks back on three largely forgotten moments from the 81 Springbok Tour. And Simon Bridges is the latest guest on FIRST, talking about first school memories and first concerts.


For a feature today, a concerning story about how long-term warfare creates generations of men with few skills outside of fighting. World Politics Review (soft paywall) has looked at the proliferation of Colombian mercenaries in conflicts around the world – including alleged involvement in the recent assassination of Haiti’s president. The country has been fighting internal wars for decades, and the army is now functioning almost as a pipeline for young men with limited opportunities to private security forces. Here’s an excerpt:

The private security industry took a big reputational hit in 2007, when armed guards working for Blackwater, founded by Erik Prince, massacred 17 Iraqi civilians and injured 20 more in Baghdad. But Prince continued to expand his empire, reaching an agreement to build a private standing army in partnership with Saudi Arabia in 2011. The corporate mercenary industry had gone global, and some of its most attractive recruits were Colombian veterans and ex-paramilitary members.

“The selling point was not only that Colombian soldiers were ‘battle tested,’” said Sergio Guzman, director of Colombia Risk Analysis, a research and consultancy firm in Bogota. “They had worked with U.S. special forces. They had been trained by U.S. advisers.” As if to underscore his point, the Pentagon announced Thursday that at least some of the 21 former Colombian soldiers arrested in connection with Moise’s assassination in Haiti had been trained by U.S. advisers during their time in the Colombian military.


In sport, a celebration of heart and endurance to keep battling for the win well beyond the final whistle. The ODT’s Hayden Meikle has reported on what is believed to be the longest game of rugby ever played in New Zealand, with 113 minutes being needed to separate Union and Kurow in the North Otago President’s Grade final. Extra time wasn’t enough, so the teams went to golden point, before a penalty put Union over the top for an 18-15 victory. Many of the players were reportedly “really buggered” by the end of it all.


That’s it for The Bulletin. If you want to support the work we do at The Spinoff, please check out our membership programme.

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UK PM Boris Johnson delivering a recent speech (Getty Images)
UK PM Boris Johnson delivering a recent speech (Getty Images)

The BulletinJuly 21, 2021

The Bulletin: ‘Freedom Day’ in England, and the consequences

UK PM Boris Johnson delivering a recent speech (Getty Images)
UK PM Boris Johnson delivering a recent speech (Getty Images)

Good morning and welcome to The Bulletin. In today’s edition: Consequences for “freedom day” coming in England, Chinese embassy responds to hacking allegation, and exclusive new polling on government’s Covid response.

“Freedom” has come to England, with the lifting of all coronavirus restrictions. It is happening at a time when the rolling 7-day average of new cases is above 40,000 a day, and that’s just in England alone, let alone the entire UK. Even in a country that has done an exceptionally poor job of managing the pandemic – especially from a health perspective but the economy hasn’t done much better – this represents a new phase. Logistically, there are plenty of complaints being heard about a new “ping” system, which tells people when they need to be isolated, reports the BBC.

The reasons for the move are entirely political. England’s lockdowns have always been implemented soft and late as it were, and as such the population has spent far longer living with some form of restriction than it should have. PM Boris Johnson wants to avoid more restrictions in the northern hemisphere winter, and said in a speech yesterday “there comes a point where further restrictions no longer prevent hospitalisations and death but simply delay the inevitable”. I hate to say it, dear reader, but death is inevitable for all of us, and most public health policy is geared around delaying it. Johnson himself was forced to go into isolation this week, after his new health minister Sajid Javid tested positive.

One saving grace of the situation in England is relatively high levels of vaccination, and the death rate hasn’t risen alarmingly yet. But it’s almost certain there’ll be an explosion of people that end up affected by “long Covid”.That detail came out of an interview on Q+A with epidemiologist Dr Deepti Gurdasani, who said it is hitting people of all ages and can be debilitating for months afterwards – and possibly longer, we don’t yet know if everyone will recover from it. We published a piece last year by a Covid long-hauler explaining how sick they remained four months after testing positive.

And the wider world is at risk from England’s policy. Johnson has provided the perfect conditions for new vaccine-resistant variations to emerge, which would be a huge danger when so many countries are fatigued by the pandemic. Radio NZ republished a Conversation piece by AUT law professor Kris Gledhill, who speculated England could be taken to an international court on charges of failure to protect the human right to life.


The Chinese embassy has strongly condemned an accusation from the New Zealand government and others over alleged state-sponsored cyber-attacks. Newshub reports an embassy statement described it as a “malicious smear”, said it was an accusation made without proof, and that a “solemn representation” had been made to the NZ government. “We urge the New Zealand side to abandon the Cold War mentality, adopt a professional and responsible attitude when dealing with cyber incidents, and work with others to jointly tackle the challenge through dialogue and cooperation rather than manipulating political issues under the pretext of cyber security and mudslinging at others.” Meanwhile, Rebecca Howard at (paywalled) Business Desk reports exporters are on edge about what the fallout of this all could be.


Public sentiment towards the government’s Covid response has slipped slightly, but is still strongly positive, according to exclusive new polling conducted by Stickybeak for The Spinoff. Within that picture, there has been a sharp fall in respondents rating the government’s performance as “excellent” (the highest rating) though a plurality of respondents have still picked that option. We also asked about bubble plans, and the vast majority of respondents have no plans at all to go to Aussie any time soon. Speaking of Australia, thoughts and prayers for our very own Alice Webb-Liddall who is currently stuck there, after making an “impossible, failed rush to get home”.


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Officials are worried about the boom in “buy-now, pay-later” services since lockdown, reports Madison Reidy for Newshub. The big concern is a lack of assessment for repayment that gets made – it’s upfront, easy money given to people who haven’t necessarily been made aware of the consequences. Now MBIE officials say some of those taking it up have been pushed into financial hardship. BNPL companies have defended the terms in their models.


Former RBNZ chair Arthur Grimes has accused the Reserve Bank of presiding over a “wellbeing disaster” with their monetary policy, reports Jenée Tibshraeny for Interest. His comments came in the wake of figures showing fast-rising inflation, along with a year of wild increases in house prices. Grimes was also critical of the government’s wish for the RBNZ to target “maximum sustainable employment” in setting interest rates, and said more should be done to make the RBNZ consider asset prices.


A complaint has been laid with the ombudsman over the workability of the managed isolation booking system, reports the NZ Herald’s Chris Keall. Jonathan Brewer is an NZer living in Singapore, and as a tech expert could probably find a technical fix not available to others, but intends to play by the rules. In case you missed it, David Farrier wrote about having similar problems.


The New Zealand economy has come out of hosting the 2021 America’s Cup worse off, according to a new cost-benefit analysis. The NZ Herald’s Tom Dillane reports that has been put down to a range of factors, including Covid-19 and lack of interest from a wide array of syndicates. But even so, the total economic deficit has been put at $293 million. Higher than expected public expenditure also contributed to that. Imagine the savings if Emirates Team NZ make good on their threat to take the cup overseas.


Got some feedback about The Bulletin, or anything in the news? Get in touch with me at thebulletin@thespinoff.co.nz

Photo: SOME BIZARRE MONKEY/Tina Tiller

Right now on The Spinoff: George Driver has a detailed explainer on SNAs – a bit of legislation that has farmers up in arms. Tom Doig talks to John Summers about his exciting looking new book of essays about Old New Zealand. Alice Webb-Liddall, in partnership with TradeMe, writes about the Kindness Store getting kids what they need for winter. Megan Dunn spends an afternoon with the surrealists at Te Papa’s blockbuster exhibition. And Chris Schulz looks back at some of the weirdest and wildest press conferences given in New Zealand by rockstars.


For a feature today, an expose of a hacking and spying scandal, with allegations a spyware company had clients in governments around the world. The Guardian and other major media outlets have been calling it the Pegasus Project, named after the particular spyware produced by the Israeli-based NSO Group. Pegasus effectively allows iPhones to be turned against their owners, and was used to target activists, lawyers, journalists and opposition politicians. Here’s an excerpt:

In India, the numbers of a variety of activists were found in the data.

Umar Khalid, a student activist at Jawaharlal Nehru University in Delhi and the leader of the Democratic Students’ Union, was selected ahead of a possible targeting in late 2018, shortly before sedition charges were filed against him. He was arrested in September 2020 on charges of organising riots, and police claimed the evidence against him included more than 1m pages of information gleaned from his mobile phone, without making it clear how the information was obtained. He is in jail awaiting trial.

The mobile numbers of writers, lawyers and artists who advocated for the rights of indigenous communities and low-caste Indians were also in the data. Members of the network have been arrested over the past three years and charged with terrorism offences, including plotting to assassinate the Indian prime minister, Narendra Modi. The network included an 84-year-old Jesuit priest, Stan Swamy, who died this month after contracting Covid-19 in prison.


In the next two days, both of New Zealand’s representative football teams will begin campaigns that could end up surprisingly successful. The Football Ferns have the tougher path to the playoffs, facing Sweden, Australia and the mighty USA in their group, and Radio NZ reports optimism in the camp is high. Meanwhile the All Whites have been given a comparatively easier draw, being drawn with South Korea, Honduras and Romania. Both teams will be bolstered by players currently performing on the world stage, including Burnley’s Chris Wood, Liverpool’s Meikayla Moore, and North Carolina’s Abby Erceg. My personal hope: I’d rather see both teams take a risk and play some lovely footy than just grimly hang on for 0-0 draws.


That’s it for The Bulletin. If you want to support the work we do at The Spinoff, please check out our membership programme.