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Flooding at Porters Pass as a result of the torrential rainfall in May. Photo: Radio NZ
Flooding at Porters Pass as a result of the torrential rainfall in May. Photo: Radio NZ

The BulletinMay 31, 2021

The Bulletin: Drought broken as flooding smashes Canterbury

Flooding at Porters Pass as a result of the torrential rainfall in May. Photo: Radio NZ
Flooding at Porters Pass as a result of the torrential rainfall in May. Photo: Radio NZ

Good morning and welcome to The Bulletin. In today’s edition: Drought broken as flooding smashes Canterbury, Morrison and Ardern to have serious diplomatic discussions today, and Tauranga group launches to retake control of local government.

Serious flooding has swept through the Canterbury region, after weeks of rain fell in just a few days. Stuff reports that more than a hundred evacuations have taken place, amid a state of emergency being declared across the region. Selwyn, Ashburton and Timaru are particularly badly hit. Motorists are being asked to take “extreme care” out there, and many roads are closed, along with dozens of schools today. The damage from this flood will be lasting, not least because several bridges have been washed away. Looking ahead to today, live updates from One News report the Selwyn River could still break its banks, and thousands more people in Ashburton are waiting for a call on whether to evacuate.

The danger is particularly severe for farmers and their animals, who can end up cut off from help more quickly. Radio NZ reports some local farmers ended up putting their own lives on the line to rescue trapped animals, and get them to higher ground. Sometimes it has been the farmers themselves who have needed rescuing. In one instance, tweeted out by TVNZ reporter Lisa Davies, an Ashburton man was winched out of a tree by a helicopter. To date, it doesn’t appear that anyone has been killed by the flooding. But to give a sense of how unusual this event is, I’ll share this tweet from local Caroline Amyes, who took a video of the Selwyn at Coalgate, and said “this isn’t a normal event, please move stock as far away from rivers as possible. Areas that have never flooded before are flooding.”

The bad weather is not yet over. After a rare “red warning” was issued by Metservice over the weekend, their forecasters have kept a heavy rain warning in place until this evening. What makes the rain worse is that much of Canterbury has been in drought conditions this year – the rain will be welcome for water storage and reservoirs, but this sort of volume falling can be really bad for dry paddocks.


PMs Jacinda Ardern and Scott Morrison will today hold their first formal in-person talks for more than a year. You might recall last week there was a bit of concern that Morrison’s trip over the Tasman would be cancelled, but in the end he made it. Political editor Justin Giovannetti was there for the pōwhiri yesterday afternoon in Queenstown, and looked ahead to the issues that will be up for discussion. You probably already guessed it, but a major one will be Australia’s current trade tension with China, and where New Zealand stands on that.


A new group including old councillors has formed in Tauranga with the intention of taking back the city if elections return next year. They’re called the Tauranga Ratepayers Alliance, and they’re motivated by the steep rates rises being imposed by the commissioners, who were appointed after local government minister Nanaia Mahuta sacked the council for dysfunctional infighting. I’ve been following this story reasonably closely, and filed this report from the launch event. Unfortunately, parts of the crowd also appeared to be motivated by racism, both against Mahuta herself, and against Māori more generally.


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Cycling protesters caused the temporary closure of two Harbour Bridge lanes to cars yesterday, to highlight the lack of cycling infrastructure in the city. The NZ Herald’s Zoe Holland reports the direct action took place after a rally in Pt Erin Park, when cyclists breached barriers put up by police. The location was chosen because of the lack of progress on any sort of cycling path between Auckland CBD and the North Shore. Speaking of the way transport infrastructure is set up, this piece from Hayden Donnell about Auckland Transport’s current work priorities is a must-read rant.


Two men have been arrested over alleged death threats made towards National MP Simeon Brown. The NZ Herald has a short story on the second arrest. It’s not directly clear why the alleged threats were made, but it follows Brown campaigning against gangs. It’s not the first recent incident of such threats – Green MP Golriz Ghahraman has also been targeted in this way, for example – but suffice to say, it’s deeply concerning that the alleged threats to a politician were serious enough for police to intervene.


A bit of media news: From today, you’ll no longer hear reporters “sign off” their news packages on Radio NZ. According to an internal company directive, the aim is “to make the transition from one item to the next as smooth as possible for the listener”, and to increase the pace of news bulletins. It is also more consistent with the style used by international broadcasters like the BBC and ABC. Personally, I think it’s a bit of a shame, especially since most reporters have started doing their sign-offs in te reo, and because it’s nice for the reporters to be able to put their name to the story.

And a bit more media news: The Voyagers were on the other night, and it seemed like everyone had a pretty good time, both during and especially afterwards. The NPA has published a full list of winners, and with pretty much all of them you just have to look at the work to see why. We at The Spinoff had some wins and some losses, but if there’s just one win I could highlight it’d be opinion writer of the year Leonie Hayden, who made cases last year that meticulously built up to storming conclusions.


Got some feedback about The Bulletin, or anything in the news? Drop us a line at thebulletin@thespinoff.co.nz

Anna Chrichton

Right now on The Spinoff: took the Te Huia train service from Auckland to Hamilton and got both a review and a slightly limp cheese toastie out of it. Alice Webb-Liddall meets the outspoken educator in charge of Mt Albert Grammar, one of the country’s biggest and most diverse schools. Redmer Yska looks back on when Sir Arthur Conan Doyle toured New Zealand, at the height of his interest in the spirit and supernatural world. Catherine McGregor reviews a new documentary about an “unremarkable monster” who ran the Centrepoint commune. And Michael Appleton breaks down the stats that give a steer on who will win cricket’s first ever World Test Championship.


For a feature today, a terrifying use of technology that seems likely to actively make the world a more fearful and dangerous place. Vice technology site Motherboard has looked at the Citizen app, which basically crowd-sources vigilantism against alleged criminals. If that doesn’t sound frightening enough, consider the fact that often vigilante mobs end up targeting the wrong person. Here’s an excerpt:

“It’s basically an anxiety sweatshop,” a Citizen source said. “On days when things are ‘slow,’ they relax the standards around incidents because a dip in incident count is really bad,” they added. The company sends congratulatory emails announcing which analysts reported the highest number of incidents, another source added.

This results in Citizen warning users about “everything,” according to one former employee. This includes lost dogs, minor car crashes, unsubstantiated reports of gunshots, and domestic incidents, they said. This week in Los Angeles, incidents ranged in severity from “assault” to “gunfire” to “two men brawling” to “injured bird,” “firefighter activity,” and “crowd gathered.”

“In a healthy society we are typically not incentivized to sensationalize mundane events and code them as crime. I can’t help but think it plays into people’s anxieties and fears and magnifies people’s fears of the other,” Gilliard said. “What’s really dangerous is the ways they’re starting to serve as infrastructure, where people start to feel like they have to use them to maintain society and order.”


The Australians have finally won a game of trans-Tasman Super Rugby, and all it took was one of the best players in New Zealand getting red carded. The NZ Herald reports the Reds managed to hold onto a 40-34 victory over the Chiefs, who spent periods of the game with as few as 13 players on the field, after Damian McKenzie was sent off for a bad hit. Under the new rules, the Chiefs were able to bring on a replacement after 20 minutes, and when that happened they demonstrated that on a normal night, they probably would have won easily.

And the dream isn’t yet over for the Wellington Phoenix, but it’ll take a lot of luck to qualify from here. Their trip to Eden Park to host the Perth Glory didn’t quite go to plan, with the Phoenix having to score late to save a 2-2 draw – and then missing a penalty very late in the second half. Stuff reports that because of how the table looks, it is a near-fatal blow, and they need both one more win to round out the season, and for other teams to lose. As for the atmosphere – I can report it wasn’t quite as intense as the Wellington game, with a pre-match hailstorm dampening the previous expectations of a big walkup crowd.


That’s it for The Bulletin. If you want to support the work we do at The Spinoff, please check out our membership programme.

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Former MPs Dr Jian Yang and Raymond Huo (Radio NZ)
Former MPs Dr Jian Yang and Raymond Huo (Radio NZ)

The BulletinMay 28, 2021

The Bulletin: Mystery surrounds resignation of two MPs

Former MPs Dr Jian Yang and Raymond Huo (Radio NZ)
Former MPs Dr Jian Yang and Raymond Huo (Radio NZ)

Good morning and welcome to The Bulletin. In today’s edition: Mystery surrounds resignation of two MPs, travel bubble pause with Victoria extended, and gap narrows slightly in latest poll.

The story broken on Wednesday about National and Labour agreeing to retire two MPs with links to the Chinese Communist Party has developed. If you missed it at the time, the initial work was done by (paywalled) Politik, regarding the departures of National MP Dr Jian Yang, and Labour MP Raymond Huo. To quote:

POLITIK has learned from multiple official and political sources that the retirements followed intelligence briefings of both parties. The almost simultaneous announcements were orchestrated by the offices of Jacinda Ardern and Todd Muller working together.

To be clear, there is no evidence of direct wrongdoing by either or both MPs while in office. But in both cases, there were incidents that will raise eyebrows. Yang effectively stopped speaking to English-language media after the story about his past involvement with an elite Chinese spy school was broken by Newsroom. And as chair of the justice select committee, Huo was involved in a decision to block (which was subsequently reversed) the appearance of trenchant Chinese government critic Dr Anne Marie-Brady, who intended to speak about her research on Chinese government interference in New Zealand’s political system.

Yesterday, further corroboration of the initial Politik story came out. Radio NZ’s Craig McCulloch reported that “another source also confirmed to RNZ that an agreement was reached during a meeting attended by the parties’ chiefs of staff.” The revelation about senior staffers being involved came as part of a wider story about both major parties refusing to comment on the allegation, citing policies against confirming or denying anything that may or may not be contained in security briefings. The story was further analysed in a column on the (paywalled) NZ Herald, by lobbyist and commentator Matthew Hooton.

You might also note that this week trade minister Nanaia Mahuta has given a warning to exporters about over-reliance on China, in an interview with the Guardian.On one level, this might simply be sound business advice to diversify markets. Or it might be a coded message that a cooling in diplomatic relations is coming, with a country that has a well documented history of using trade as a way of sending diplomatic signals. These stories may be related, or they may not be.

To round this section off, I’d like to make some personal observations about this story. People occasionally ask me why I’m quite sympathetic towards conspiracy theorists. Well, here’s a good example why. What we know is a few details that suggest the two major parties colluded with each other, both in the removal of the two MPs and the subsequent cover-up of the reasons why, and that the security services might have been involved. And that’s all we know – the rest of the story is a void of information, making it inevitable people will draw their own conclusions. That void will be filled by bad actors and those spreading misinformation, but also by those who can rightly see that our political class has lied to us. We in the public are entitled to demand answers.


The travel bubble pause with Victoria has been extended, in a late afternoon update from parliament. Justin Giovannetti reported from parliament that the pause will last a further seven days, as the Melbourne outbreak continues to grow. New Zealanders in Victoria have been asked to follow the instructions of local health authorities. Causing additional concern is the fact that the cases are the Covid variant that caused so much devastation in India. Stuff reports a planned visit by Australian PM Scott Morrison may be affected.


The political landscape is largely unchanged after the latest poll, though the gap has closed slightly. The One News Colmar Brunton survey shows Labour down to 46%, National up slightly to 29%, Act up a point and the Greens down a point. Within that broad sweep, there were a few interesting data points: Three National MPs appeared in the preferred PM stakes, along with Act leader David Seymour (up to 6%) and Green MP Chlöe Swarbrick. And in the party vote, The Opportunities Party recorded 2%, making them the best of the rest for parties outside parliament.


Our members’ contributions provide jobs and hope to all the journalists, editors, designers, podcasters and freelancers who make The Spinoff every day. If you enjoy what we do and want to help us do more, please donate today.


Because of the nature of how it would be paid out, there’s a very wide range in the estimates of how much the proposed social insurance scheme would cost. Radio NZ’s Sarah Robson reports it could be anywhere from half a billion to five billion dollars a year, depending on unemployment levels. It’s interesting to think about what would happen in a severe recession – the scheme would cost the government a lot up front, but the payouts might also have a stimulatory effect and prevent even worse economic damage, like with the wage subsidy last year.

On the philosophy of social insurance, which is very interesting: Unionist Sam Gribben writes about the criticism that has come from the left, on the grounds that it creates a two-tier welfare system, but defends the scheme as something that will give workers who lose their jobs meaningful breathing room to find something else. Bernard Hickey writes/podcasts this morning about why the idea is such a game-changer for the whole social safety net. And in terms of the rises in benefit rates generally, economist Michael Fletcher runs the ruler over whether the new rates will actually be enough to live on with dignity.


Wellington City will spend a lot more on cycleways over the next decade, after the council signed off on the long term plan. Stuff’s Damian George reports it comes amid a wider burst of infrastructure spending, which many councillors argue is necessary because of previous under-investment. The whole process was not without controversy – the NZ Herald’s Georgina Campbell reports that in a typically bizarre move, mayor Andy Foster emailed out a round of changes after one in the morning on the day of the vote. And speaking of cycle lanes, this is a great piece by Axel Downard-Wilke about “guerilla” lanes that have been popping up, as a result of cyclists not wanting to be killed by car drivers any more.


Civics educators are concerned at how the new curriculum is being developed, reports Justin Latif. In particular, they’re concerned about a lack of consultation and engagement. There are also concerns that the education might end up being targeted just towards those in year 13, when many rangatahi leave school well before that.


Got some feedback about The Bulletin, or anything in the news? Drop us a line at thebulletin@thespinoff.co.nz

Right now on The Spinoff: Chris Schulz reports on a concert scam which seems absurd on the face of it, but could have serious consequences for those sucked in.Fiona Farrell writes about the revitalisation and refreshing of libraries that are showing their age. Sam Brooks picks out the highs and lows of the Friends reunion, which was on last night. Tara Ward reviews and ranks the best Suzanne Paul cameo appearances. We’ve got exclusive commentary from the Blood Moon about being attacked by broadcaster Mark Richardson. And here’s a touching documentary about a group of dentists who graduated together in 1950, and then 30 years later started having reunions – but age being what it is, there may not be many more.


For a feature today, a strong column about the evidence currently being given in the UK by former prime ministerial staffer Dominic Cummings. You may have only half followed this story, but essentially the man credited as the architect of Boris Johnson’s rise has now turned on him, and spent hours on live TV raining down blows against Johnson’s competence and credibility. But as journalist (and noted Johnson critic) Ian Dunt writes on iNews, the credibility of Cummings himself is also suspect. Here’s an excerpt:

It was an extraordinary sight. We were witnessing a war fought by a man who concealed the truth, directed against a prime minister who concealed the truth, about whether the health secretary concealed the truth. The accusations and denials bounced around different rooms on the parliamentary estate.

It was like watching a moral fable play out in real time. But beneath it, there was a gaping sense of horror. It was not about political principles, but about human lives.

That was the price of the incompetence Cummings laid out today. And this part is not open to doubt. It has been extensively documented by investigative journalists, experts, and health bodies. But these facts gain no purchase. They make no impact. Because reality no longer impinges on politics.


The Victorian outbreak has forced some changes in the sporting schedule. The NZ Herald reports a Super Rugby game previously scheduled for Queenstown will now take place in Sydney, with the Highlanders having to travel to play it. And the Supercars motorsport event has been postponed, and is now likely to take place in late July. But you know what hasn’t yet been cancelled or postponed? That’s right – the Wellington Phoenix vs Perth Glory game at Eden Park on Sunday. Get amongst.


That’s it for The Bulletin. If you want to support the work we do at The Spinoff, please check out our membership programme.